|
|
|
The speech — ending with the words “Let us therefore brace ourselves to our duties, and so bear ourselves that if the British empire and its Commonwealth last for a thousand years, men will still say, ‘This was their finest hour’ ” — has resonated ever since. ... Seventy years ago, on June 18, 1940 [John Burns, New York Times, Jun 18] The Portland Development Commission has chosen five prominent business leaders to help launch a seed fund for regional startups, aiming to boost to the city's entrepreneurial class. [Mike Rogoway, The Oregonian, Jun 4, 10] On writing grant applications, Mandala Biosciences’ (San Diego, CA; $800K SBIR) Larocca adds, “My advice is to be passionate. You have to be able to write your grant in a way to make it sound exciting.” [Bruce Bigelow, signonsandiego.com, Jun 8] it takes two politicians to change a light bulb (one to change it, another to change it back again) [Eamonn Butler, Adam Smith Institute] pour large sums of money at the problem. The United States is badly lagging in basic research on new forms of energy, deepening the nation’s dependence on dirty fuels and crippling its international competitiveness, a diverse group of business executives [American Energy Innovation Council] warn in a study to be released Thursday. The group, which includes Bill Gates, the co-founder of Microsoft; Jeffrey R. Immelt, chief executive of General Electric; and John Doerr, a top venture capitalist, urges the government to more than triple spending on energy research and development, to $16 billion a year. And it recommends creation of a national energy board to guide investment decisions toward radical advances in energy technology. [John Broder, New York Times, Jun 10] The Patent Office said yesterday that it has signed a two-year deal with Google to provide bulk downloads of patent and copyright data to the public. Google will provide the service at no charge to the government or to users of the data. [Hiawatha Bray, Boston Globe, Jun 2] Enlisting support from industry, policymakers and academics, Gov. Deval Patrick unveiled an initiative to help the state's manufacturers evolve with changing technology, adopt new innovations, and grow their operations through a new multi-tiered loan program. The Advanced Manufacturing Initiative is a public-private collaboration designed to maximize job creation within the manufacturing sector, which added more than 19,000 jobs last month, according to the governor's office. A new loan program from MassDevelopment will offer up to $50,000 for planning loans and up to $500,000 for growth initiative loans to reduce interest rates on real estate and equipment lending to manufacturers allowing companies to pursue expansion opportunities [SSTI, May 26] The Obama Administration has released guidance on a new tax credit for medical research conducted by small biotech businesses. Claims for the credit could total $1 billion. Eligible companies must apply by July 21. [AAAS, May 26] A paper by MIT physicist Ted Postol and Cornell physicist George Lewis published in Arms Control Today analyzed the reliability of the interception capability of the Pentagon's SM-3 antimissile and found that the success rate of the program was 10-20 percent, far lower than previous government reports. The Pentagon criticized the analysis as "flawed" and "inaccurate". [AAAS, May 26] The United States wastes at least $6.4 billion each year in "forgone innovation" - legitimate technologies that cannot get licensed and start-ups that cannot get funding - because of backlogs and dysfunction at the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, the agency that's supposed to protect and encourage innovation in America. [John Schmid, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, May 22] Every society develops a layer of complexity to deal with a new problem but eventually the solutions beget more problems in non-linear ways we cannot foresee because we have such a poor understanding of the dynamics of the system into which we deploy them. The persistent short-term thinking of governments and the public mean we will lurch from crisis to crisis. It is precisely because our solutions beget more problems that we are forced to innovate. The fact that we can develop solutions to problems we create through our previous solutions only tells us we are not especially good at creating sustainable solutions. [commenter super_critical, The Economist, May 15] U.S. trustbusters have set their sights on Silicon Valley, with a growing number of investigations targeting possible anticompetitive behavior by technology companies. Now they are having to deal with potential witnesses using blogs to blurt out details of inquiries. [Wall Street Journal, May 21] Small life-sciences companies in the U.S. will soon get details, expected to emerge in the next few days, of a federal program that will give a $1 billion boost to the industry. .... The funds will come in the form of tax credits, or as a grant for the many unprofitable companies, covering 50% of project-development costs in 2009 and 2010 for companies with fewer than 250 workers [Thomas Gryta, Wall Street Journal, May 21] New seeds near Ground Zero. the Varick Street incubator, run by the Polytechnic Institute of New York University with help from the New York City Economic Development Corp., is one of five that the city has founded with hopes of nurturing a robust start-up culture. ... "there are no garages in New York…you start out of your living rooms or bedrooms," Mr. Mody said. [Joseph de Avila, Wall Street Journal, May 20] Planning to plan. Minnesota Science and Technology Authority was established to develop and implement a comprehensive strategy for growing the state's economy through investments in science, technology and innovation. [SSTI, May 19] Prescribing for Others. Taking matters into his own hands. Mike Pence, the House GOP conference chairman, is on the forefront of the deficit-reduction campaign—for the European Union. He is drafting legislation that would require the Treasury to vote against any IMF assistance to euro-zone nations until every member of the broader European Union has brought its debt-to-gross-domestic-product ratio below 60%. [Wall Street Journal, May 14] How about getting his constituents to belly-up to deficit reduction at home? Potentially opening the way to greater freedom in stem cell research, the U.S. patent office has reversed a key decision that enabled a Wisconsin research foundation to maintain patents on all embryonic stem cells used for research within the United States. ... But the Wisconsin Alumni Research Foundation said it would challenge the ruling [Dean Calbreath, San Diego Union Tribune, May 4] Dilemma. Illinois lawmakers were in disarray Thursday as they groped for stopgap measures to address a $13 billion deficit equaling nearly half of the state's general-fund revenue. The state faces one of the nation's worst budget crises. … little appetite for drastic spending cuts. An income-tax increase is going nowhere … And California officials said this week that April personal income tax-collections lagged projections by 30% [Amy Merrick, Wall Street Journal, May 7] Prime candidates for drastic cuts are programs with long term (if any) payoff and few active political defenders. The good news at the federal level is that politicians can pass out money to small business without making any voters mad since SBIR taxes only federal agency programs. voters approved a four-year, $700 million bond to extend funding for the Ohio Third Frontier initiative through 2016. Established in 2002, the initiative offers programs for emerging and established high-tech companies, including grants for pre-seed funding, research initiatives, product development and commercialization. [SSTI, May 5] The Massachusetts Life Sciences Center, the quasi-public agency that seeks to promote the life sciences industry in the Bay State, said that is now accepting applications for the 2010 Life Sciences Tax Incentive Program. [Boston Globe, May 4, 10] Montgomery County [MD (DC burbs)] Council's unanimous approval of a plan to spur creation of a $10 billion, 17.5 million-square-foot center for bioscience research. .... The county is home to almost 300 biotech companies and institutions [including NIH], ... " in a highly competitive industry. We had to do something to really up the ante," [said one council member] [Washington Post, May 5] And where will $10B come from in America's richest county? the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) and the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) issued a memorandum on standardized Research Performance Progress Reports for federal grantees, to be universally applied across federal agencies so that "researchers spend less time managing paperwork and forms" and more time on research. Details of the new standards are posted on the NSF web site, and federal agencies have nine months to post implementation plans. [AAAS, Apr 28] To remain the world’s pre-eminent nation, the U.S. is going to have to develop energy sources that are plentiful, clean and don’t enrich the worst people on earth. That means in the short term, the U.S. has to unleash the tens of billions of dollars of potential energy investments now being pent up by uncertainty and regulatory hurdles. To make a difference in the long term, the U.S. is going to have to invest more and differently in energy research and development. ... It’s clearly going to take legislative action to catalyze private investment and to increase federal research to where it should be — about $25 billion a year, according to Mark Muro of the Brookings Institution. It’s going to take some equivalent of the Pacific Railroad Acts to kick this into gear. [David Brooks, New York Times, Apr 30] Visible cost, invisible benefits. Issue 1, a ballot proposal, would allow Ohio to issue $700m of bonds to finance research and development, the so-called “Third Frontier” programme. ... Voters, however, have reason to be wary of spending and empty promises. It is unclear that they will support a vision that is, for most, still hazy. ... The programme spends nearly $58,000 for each new directly created job, though the state points out that increased tax revenue outweighs these costs. A bigger challenge, however, is that few Ohioans feel that Third Frontier has affected them. [The Economist, Apr 29] What if SBIR were put to a direct public vote? Even Congress doesn't want to vote on it. Two decades of federal agencies serving themselves and of beneficiaries suppressing economic evaluations have guaranteed the invisibility of results other than temporary jobs. And even those jobs were taken from other citizens. Don't cut us. The federal government wants to save taxpayers billions of dollars by reducing spending on crop insurance [below last year's $3.8B] after years of big profits [26% last year] by insurers , Oh no, say the beneficiary farmers and insurers. And even if insurance is reduced, vice president of government relations for the National Farmers Union, said any savings should be put back into other risk management tools for farmers [Steve Karnowski, AP, Apr 28] Another group with a fair share attitude that keeps government spending rolling. Meanwhile, Bernanke said the USG. needs a quick plan to cut the deficit. The aggies response: cut deficits but not farmers. SBIR has a similar response: More is better! The USA.gov Web site, which serves as a virtual front door for thousands of citizens accessing government services, is undergoing a comprehensive redesign to encourage more public interaction. ... already installed new search tools that are 10 times as fast as the old ones and that suggest popular phrases as users type in keywords ... considering adding mobile applications to its site [Washington Post, Apr 28] The biggest threat to Democracy comes from the People when they start believing they can demand more and more public services from government while simultaneously demanding ever decreasing taxes. The end result is debt slavery. [commenter, The Times, Apr 28] The Senate passed a bill to extend SBIR until July 31, says SBIR Insider Rick Shindell
The CIA announced a five-year strategic plan that would invest heavily in new technologies to combat nontraditional threats such as cyber attacks from overseas and gain better intelligence on rogue states. ... Officials said the agency would boost the technology budget by tens of millions of dollars. [Siobhan Gorman, Wall Street Journal, Apr 27] No, CIA has no SBIR, but it does have a VC - In-Q-Tel. The giant federal deficit and debt—the subjects everybody loves to talk about but nobody likes to do anything about ... Don't expect much to actually happen this year, an election year in which political leaders will grow increasingly allergic to making hard decisions. ... Most political will in Washington is devoted right now to prevailing in this fall's midterm election, Looking for the culprit? Try the mirror. Nearly everybody in America expects more from government than taxpayers will pay for. [Gerald Seib, Wall Street Journal, Apr 27] And if you think more SBIR is a great idea, look in the mirror again. Washington's habit of spending today the money it hopes to collect tomorrow is getting worse and worse ... The short term looks awful, and the long term looks hideous. Under any likely scenario, the federal debt will continue to balloon in the years to come. .... Whether on taxes, entitlements, military retooling, financial reform, energy policy or climate change, Washington is mired in a political enmity that makes tough decisions nearly impossible. [Joel Achenbach, Washington Post, Apr 25] The SBIR advocates have an answer - more for us! Subsidy. Massachusetts is giving A123 Systems a $5 million forgivable loan in return for creating 250 jobs and expanding operations for making large batteries that connect to the electricity grid. [Boston Globe, Apr 22, 10] Companies with jobs exploit inter-state competition to pull in government subsidies. Free Access means fewer archival journals. Committees in both the House and Senate are reviewing the Federal Research Public Access Act (H.R. 5037 and S. 1373). The bill would require agencies with research budgets of $100 million or more to provide online access to research manuscripts stemming from federal funding within six months of publication in a peer-reviewed journal. The bill gives individual agencies flexibility in choosing the location of the digital repository for this content, as long as the repositories meet conditions for interoperability and public accessibility and have provisions for long-term archiving. [AAAS, Apr 21] Spend Today, Pay Tomorrow. America’s fiscal picture is even worse than it looks. The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office just projected that over 10 years, cumulative deficits will reach $9,700bn and federal debt 90 per cent of gross domestic product – nearly equal to Italy’s. Global capital markets are unlikely to accept that credit erosion. If they revolt, as in 1979, ugly changes in fiscal and monetary policy will be imposed on Washington. [Roger Altman, Financial Times, Apr 19] Meanwhile of course, beneficiaries of government handouts scream for more. Are there any adults out there? NIST-TIP (the re-named ATP program that the free-market Republicans hated) is seeking proposals for high-risk, high-reward research projects $25 million in first-year projects in "Manufacturing and Biomanufacturing: Materials Advances and Critical Processes." http://www.nist.gov/tip/cur_comp/index.cfm or http://www.nist.gov/tip/. As the dust settles on healthcare reform, Stewart Lyman helped show readers one of the overlooked elements of the new law that will provide a windfall of tax benefits for biotech companies. [Luke Timmerman, Seattle Times, Apr 15, 10] Tax Before Profit. BioBehavioral Diagnostics (no SBIR) raised millions of dollars in venture capital and invested heavily in its technology to get its medical device to market. Now, with revenues just beginning to roll in, the six-year-old start-up faces another hurdle as it reaches for success: a new federal tax that will take a cut of every sale it makes. ... developed a system that tests for attention deficit and hyperactivity disorder, is an example of why Massachusetts business and political leaders worry about the medical device tax, recently enacted as part of federal health care reform. The 2.3 percent excise tax, which takes effect in 2013 to help finance the expansion of coverage, will be levied on sales, not profits, [Boston Globe, Apr 14, 10] Once a Program, Hard to Change. experts say U.S. manned space travel will likely be grounded for years longer than previously expected. The [NASA] Florida summit comes amid an escalating battle between the White House and Congress over the fastest and least expensive way to revitalize the space program. Mr. Obama has been pushing ambitious plans for start-up companies to ferry astronauts into space on private rockets. Congress, meanwhile, is bent on defending NASA's traditional rocket and spacecraft programs, which the Obama administration wants to kill. Meanwhile, China's manned space program aims to leapfrog the U.S. by deploying advanced spacecraft and in-orbit refueling systems as early as 2016, when American astronauts still may be relying on rides on Russian spaceships. [Andy Pasztor, Wall Street Journal, Apr 15] The reality is that a lot of things have to be cut, because the public won't tolerate big tax increases. Look for much pontificating. Jobs Today or Pensions Tomorrow? Maine is diverting money from its pensions funds to speculate in creating jobs today. a new Innovation Finance Program that allows the Maine Public Employees Retirement System to invest its pension funds into venture capital funds, in an effort to boost venture activity and spur innovative startup growth in the state. [Mass High Tech, Apr 14] Whatever happened to fiduciary responsibility wherein the pension fund has only one mission - providing secure funds for tomorrow's pensions? Venture activity is interesting and sometimes rewarding, but risky beyond a standard of prudence for public pension funds. And sub-optimizing by directing the venture funds to Maine startup enterprises adds even more risk. The future pensioners should object to such political shenanigans that pretend to create local jobs. Betting on Government as Commercial Customer. Both Boeing and Lockheed were stung during the last burst of optimism for the commercial space business about a decade ago. They invested several billion dollars — Lockheed to develop its Atlas V, Boeing for the Delta IV — in the hopes that the huge market for commercial satellites would supplement their traditional business of launching American military spy satellites. The market did not materialize, and what business there was went to European and Russian rockets that were cheaper. With the United Launch Alliance, Boeing and Lockheed Martin share costs and profits equally. The joint venture now operates in the black, but the companies did not recoup their original investments, and much of the infrastructure they built remains underused. [Kenneth Chang, New York Times, Apr 12] Government is about to lose its cachet as a honey pot as the deficit hawks gain traction. Russia’s rich scientific traditions and poor record of converting ideas into marketable products are both undisputed, cited as causes for the Soviet collapse and crippling dependence on mining and petroleum. Not surprisingly, then, its leaders look longingly at Silicon Valley. ... [a new town is intended to incubate scientific ideas using generous tax holidays and government grants until the start-ups can become profitable companies. ... an effort to blend the Soviet tradition of forming scientific towns with Western models of encouraging technology ventures around universities. Skeptics see a deeper strain of Russian tradition: trying to catch up with the West by wielding the power of the state. ... conceived by the Commission on Modernization, deep within the Kremlin bureaucracy ... still a thriving tradition of government crackdowns on private business with capricious enforcement of the tax laws [Andrew Kramer, New York Times, Apr 9] Government going to create innovation? Look at the economic record of SBIR for expectations as government serves itself. $150K and 1000K. The SBA announced new "limits" for SBIR awards. SBIR winners cheered, as should the agencies. SBIR wannabes can't tell whether it matters or not. The practical effect is that the agencies will continue to do whatever they please because no loser can make a certain case of damage and SBA has no teeth. Small Business in R&D. NSF released an InfoBrief last week highlighting indicators of U.S. R&D performance by the size of the performing company. From 2003 to 2007, small businesses (less than 500 employees) increased their share of U.S. industrial R&D investment from 17.9 to 18.7%. Over the same period, they increased their investment in R&D from 3.1% of sales revenues to 8.6%, while medium-to-large companies saw their percentage of R&D investment decrease from 3.6 to 3.4%. [AAAS, Mar 24] Since the federal agencies want to spend their SBIR money on life style companies that make the government smarter, let's hear Tim Kane suggest, We've long advocated here at the Kauffman Foundation for something like a Startup Visa, a program that would grant citizenship to migrants who want to (and are able to) create new firms and jobs in America (but be sure to read this counterpoint). [growthology.org blog, Mar 23] Tim Kaine also says, conventional wisdom assumes a linear link between more R&D spending and more innovation. What about entrepreneurs? Most startups I know don't have an R&D budget -- the whole company is a tech gamble! How can government officials measure that? They can't. [growthology.org blog, Feb 25] The Administration wants your opinion. is interested in working with all stakeholders (including universities, companies, Federal research labs, entrepreneurs, investors, and non-profits) to identify ways in which we can increase the economic impact of Federal investment in university R&D and the innovations being fostered in Federal and private proof of concept centers (POCCs). ... This RFI is designed to collect input from the public on ideas for promoting the commercialization of Federally funded research ... should be sent to NECGeneral@who.eop.gov with the subject line ‘‘RFI Questions.’’ Deadline. Apr 26. [http://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2010-03-25/pdf/2010-6606.pdf ] Be sure to tell them they should push more money your way and cut your taxes. Otherwise they won't think you're serious about capitalism. The serious R&D people could also say that if SBIR cannot prove that it does a better job of economically useful innovation than the rest of the agency budget, that the money should go back into the general agency R&D pool. Prove, not just blather platitudes. Enduring Myths. Elect me for tax cuts and job growth! [The candidate] called for incentives to bring American jobs back from overseas. That includes creating what she called “jobs for Americans zones” where business in targeted geographic areas would receive a 10-year “tax holiday” for facilities brought back from abroad and a five-year one for startups and expansions. also proposed lowering the tax rates for businesses that reinvest overseas profits in creating jobs and purchasing equipment in the United States. [John Marelius, San Diego Union Tribune, Apr 1] If all that worked and didn't involve blatant protectionism, they would have been done long ago. Of course, Republicans genetically see tax cuts as the universal solution to any public dilemma. And every party is for job growth, good job growth with great pay and benefits. But the world is too competitive to allow infinite good American jobs at America's standard of living. To get good jobs we have to raise productivity (which reduces total jobs) and out-innovate the foreign competition. Unfortunately, passing out government money for pretend innovation of no economic portent simply raises the national debt for no gain. Come on voters, give us politicians based in reality and admit that we have to pay for the free lunch of the last three decades. A Funding Proposition for SBIR. It’s hard to imagine a more naked example of rent-seeking than this one. A group representing Arizona hospitals is pursuing a ballot initiative that would tax the state’s high-income earners to help pay the health-care tab for the state’s neediest kids and adults. The Arizona Hospital and Healthcare Association expects to file paperwork for the initiative later this week, aiming for a place on the November ballot. It asks voters to raise the state income-tax rate 1 percentage point on income exceeding $150,000 per individual and $300,000 per couple. The association estimates the initiative would raise more than $140 million each year to pay for health insurance for low-income children and adults, graduate-school medical education and reimbursement to hospitals that care for the poor. In other words, the government will take the money and hand it over to hospitals to do the things they are already doing. [Warren Meyer, coyote.blog, Mar 30] Oh wait! That's how SBIR is already funded: rich agencies get taxed to spend money on a political class to do what the agency would do anyway. If there has been a theme to the Obama administration’s disparate domestic policies, it has been to invest more in public goods. The administration has increased spending on schools, highways and scientific research and tried to play a more active role in energy policy and health care. “They’re all a necessary part of the network of what makes market economies work,” Timothy F. Geithner, the Treasury secretary, told me recently, “and we have not been good enough about doing them in recent years.” [David Leonhardt, New York Times, Mar 28] Music to the ears of beneficiaries of public handouts. Maybe Innovation, Maybe Here. The new $232.3 million N.C. Innovation Fund plans to take a multipronged approach to investing in businesses with a North Carolina connection. ... Although the fund's primary focus is making money for the pension fund, it also aspires to support economic development in the state. [David Ranii, Raleigh News & Observer, Mar 24] What'll it be? Home cooking or fiduciary responsibility to the pension fund? Haven't we learned enough about the meager ROI from government investment in innovation? When politics "invests", it's mostly for votes. Any politician been caught investing his own money in the schemes after proper laundering? Collection Outruns Analysis. flow not only exceeds capabilities to interpret and exploit the data, the GAO told lawmakers, but probably soon will exceed the bandwidth available to carry it to ground stations. Service peculiar collection jealously guarded, shortage of language capability on the ground and in the US, Army won't share until 2014, Marines don't even have a sharing date. [Walter Pincus, Washington Post, Mar 23] Technology advancing faster than human system can absorb. ‘How big of a bong is he smoking?’ Seeks $5 Billion (With a “B”) from Feds to Support VCs ... “Tom’s approach [is] to have the federal government fund VCs,” Roth wrote in an e-mail in response to my query. “I proposed that the private sector fund early stage (pre VC) and that the federal government would match at the same terms and conditions as the private sector.” [Bruce Bigelow, San Diego Union Tribune, Mar 22] Isn't a fair-share for VCs as compelling as a fair-share for SBIR companies whom VCs wouldn't touch? If economic gain from innovation is the objective, why not help the most likely to get there? Not to worry; no VC worth the money wants to tangle with government as a partner. Where's the Innovation? From the empty BioValley site in Malaysia to the many [SBIR]grants won by DC-area firms that produce few real innovations, the pattern is depressingly familiar. ... The big winner of the Department of Energy's battery funding orgy, A123 Systems, spent about a million dollars on Washington representatives from 2007 through early 2009. ... The only sure way to prevent political and other pressures from distorting public efforts to boost innovation is to look carefully at which firms private investors think are viable. By focusing on supporting firms that have raised matching funds, public officials can boost innovative entrepreneurs far more successfully. [Josh Lerner, MIT Tech Review, Mar/Apr 10] Josh has been watching SBIR from its beginnings, first at GAO, then at Harvard's School of Government, and now as professor of investment banking at HBS. In the same issue, James Surowiecki of the New Yorker reviews Lerner's latest book Boulevard of Broken Dreams: When Public Efforts to Boost Entrepreneurship and Venture Capital Have Failed - and What to Do About It . Perhaps Nydia Velazquez's staff has been reading Lerner seriously and sees no compelling reason to repeat the last two decades of SBIR. Perhaps also the SBIR advocates could come up with a new story that promises some decent ROI for the public dollars being poured into life-style companies beyond job for the boys. Here We Go Again. Meg Whitman will "root out fraud" and "cut wasteful spending." Carly Fiorina wants to eliminate "the billions of dollars of waste and bloat that sits in our federal budget." Ho-hum. Is it campaign time again? ... One fact Whitman doesn't mention is that California's government workforce is already among America's leanest -- the ratio of state employees to population is the third lowest in the country, according to 2008 figures from the U.S. Census. [Michael Hiltzik, LA Times, Mar 21] Does it work? It's a way to claim government efficiency without making anyone mad. Does it ever happen? Only to programs with politically weak advocates. But there are few such programs after decades of accretion of government benefits for "all shall have prizes." Just count all the SBIR defenders, for example, and listen to their passionate speech with claims as vague as cutting waste, fraud, and abuse. Defensive Maneuvers. Shifts in Chinese policy are making it harder for foreign companies to succeed and suggest Beijing is reassessing the liberalization it made when it joined the World Trade Organization in 2001. [Andrew Browne and Jason Dean, Wall Street Journal, Mar 17] Meanwhile, Do Like We Do. A bipartisan group of senators on Tuesday introduced legislation aimed at forcing the Obama administration to take action against China over its currency policy, reflecting growing anger on Capitol Hill over the issue. [Corey Boles and Shayndi Raice, Wall Street Journal, Mar 17] The Chinese view is that we dug ourselves into a hole and we want them to do likewise. And since isolation is better politics than cooperation and responsibility, our politicians haste to make speech. All the while, our angry Tea Party citizens want us to do extreme austerity which would raise the value of the dollar and make our trade balance even worse. Be careful what you wish for. But giving up earmarking would not be "in the best interests of the Congress or the American people," [the Senator]added, because some earmarks had produced outstanding results." [RJ Smith. Washington Post. Mar 15] Sound familiar and hollow? It's the same argument being made for SBIR. If your child spent 10% of allowance on books and 90% on candy, should you increase the allowance to get more books? House Democratic leaders banned budget earmarks to private industry, ending a practice that has steered billions of dollars in no-bid contracts to companies and set off corruption scandals. [New York Times, Mar 11] Senate not so enthusiastic. End of an Era. This year, for the first time since the 1980s, when Congress last overhauled Social Security, the retirement program is projected to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes — nearly $29 billion more. [Stephen Olmacher, AP, Mar 14] Now Congress has to find more revenue than it appropriates rather than less as it invades the trust fund of nothing but IOUs. President Barack Obama laid out plans Thursday to help U.S. businesses double their export sales and add what he said would be 2 million more jobs at home during the next 5 years. [Stephen Thomma, McClatchey Newspapers, Mar 12] Domestic politics. Every elected national leader wants to increase exports in what classic mercantilism treats as a zero-sum game. Since America's main competitive industrial asset is technology innovation, and our leaders won't tolerate lowering wages, net exports aren't going to grow unless American continually hones that edge. In that spirit, among baser political motives, SBIR was supposed to be a small engine. But after two decades plus, there's little evidence that it is coming close to even a net gain over doing nothing about steering federal R&D toward economic goals. No matter, the mini-battle over SBIR is purely political now. Corporate Welfare? SBIR Insider Rick Shindell reports in high dudgeon that House SB Committee Velazquez said, Without the participation of venture-backed companies, the SBIR program has become little more than corporate welfare for marginal companies who are unable to secure external market-based funding. Shindell counters that, This statement is not only an outrage, but is untrue and ignorant! Velazquez is debasing thousands of small businesses and SBIR projects that have provided significant results, more often than not resulting in innovations exceeding that of any other sector including large business and academia. SBIR success is universally acclaimed by numerous sources, including extensive studies by the U.S. General Accounting Office (GAO) and the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences, not to mention many other countries that are now emulating the program. The bad news for SBIR advocates is apparent agreement among the Committee with the chair's opinion. Says Shindell, There were no objections nor amendments so the document was approved/passed by unanimous consent with only a few committee members present. While only Velazquez knows what's really motivating her, taking on the myth that small business is America's economic savior is pretty brave stuff. Perhaps the SBIR advocates can reflect that their two decades of opposition to economic evaluation of SBIR has finally come to haunt them. Stay tuned for developments. Fund Us, or Else. Britain will suffer decades of economic decline if the next government cuts science spending to help to contain the £178 billion national debt, an influential panel of researchers, business leaders and former ministers warns today. [Mark Henderson and Suzy Jagger, The Times, Mar 9] The same argument made by every beneficiary in S&T. How's a Congress to decide how much for whom is enough for a reasonable return? Who's going to argue against science since no one has a vested interest in less funding? Senators Kerry and Lugar introduced a bill (S. 3029) that would provide a new type of visa to allow foreign entrepreneurs to enter the U.S. The proposed EB-6 visa would allow foreigners to enter the U.S. for two years if they can secure at least $250,000 from U.S. investors in support of a start-up venture. This proposal builds upon the EB-5 visa program, which allows foreigners to enter the U.S. if they invest at least $1 million of their own money in a new venture which creates at least ten jobs. [AAAS, Mar 5] Science Wins One. A prominent [religious] conservative lost his seat on the [Texas] state education board, a shift that weakens the board's powerful social conservative bloc. ... to challenger Thomas Ratliff, viewed as a moderate, on the board that shapes what millions of students read in textbooks. [Wall Street Journal, Mar 4] But Religion Soldiers On. South Dakota Legislature Considering Resolution on "Balanced" Teaching of Climate Change.By an 18-17 vote, the South Dakota State Senate passed a concurrent resolution on the teaching of climate change in public schools, urging that the subject be taught in a "balanced and objective manner" and stating that the debate on global climate change is "subject to varying scientific interpretations." The Senate amended an earlier resolution (HCR 1009) that passed the state's House of Representatives 36-30, which had included a recommendation to include in classroom instruction discussion of "a variety of climatological, meteorological, astrological, thermological, cosmological, and ecological dynamics that can effect [sic] world weather phenomena and that the significance and interrelativity of these factors is largely speculative." The bill now returns to the House. [AAAS, Mar 5] "Balanced" apparently includes superstition, holy scripture, faith, and astrology. Need Government Support? Viktor Petrik shows off what he describes as his discoveries: a cell that generates electricity when you breathe on it. A new way to produce silicon for computer chips from fertilizer waste. A filter that cleans the toxins—and the color—from red wine. "This is real, serious science here," he says ... He has won some high-level support. United Russia, the ruling party, regularly gives him prominent roles in events on innovation, while officials including Boris Gryzlov, the speaker of Russia's parliament and No. 2 in the party, have publicly endorsed his products ... Mr. Petrik's detractors say he's the latest in a long history of false experts who owe their success to their ability to fool people in power. Says Petrik critic Rostislav Polishchuk, a member of the pseudoscience commission: "Russia is especially vulnerable to this." [Gregory White, Wall Street Journal, Mar 5, 10] Give cold-fusion another whirl and invoke your US Representative. Political Help Claimed. NeuroDx Development (Bensalem, PA; no previous SBIR) received a $143,000 SBIR to continue its development of improved diagnostic tests for children and adults with brain injuries and diseases. ... “This grant supports the vital research that NeuroDx is conducting to help those suffering from this brain condition, as well as supporting employment in this cutting-edge field,” said U.S. Rep. Patrick Murphy, D-Bucks, who helped the company secure the funding. [Philadelphia Business Journal, Mar 1, 10] calls for the Small Business Administration to help business owners find willing lenders and, as a last resort, issue the loan directly. While this provision passed a House vote in October, the direct-lending provision has an uncertain future as it awaits consideration from the Senate. ... The president, in his response, said that the SBA "does not have the infrastructure to go all across the country in every region and process loans." He added that creating a direct-lending system would make a "massive bureaucracy." .... If businesses are being told 'no' because they are not creditworthy and lenders won't make the loan with a 90% SBA guarantee, why should the taxpayers do it with a 100% guarantee?" says Jonathan Swain, an SBA representative [Emily Maltby, Wall Street Journal, Mar 4] Medicare vs Moonshots. NASA chief Charles Bolden has asked senior managers to draw up an alternate plan for the space agency after members of Congress indicated they wanted to reject a White House proposal to hire private companies to ferry U.S. astronauts into orbit and beyond. In an internal memo viewed by The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Bolden ordered officials to map out "what a potential compromise might look like" to satisfy critics on Capitol Hill. By calling for an alternative plan, Mr. Bolden threatened to undercut White House efforts to get its proposed NASA budget through Congress. [Andy Pasztor, Wall Street Journal, Mar 4] Florida's efforts to boost its biotechnology sector may not be paying off as quickly as originally hoped. ... $449 million invested through the Innovation Incentive Program has yet to result in industry growth in counties where the program's grantees have their facilities. ... suggests that the state's lack of early-stage capital for biotech startups may be contributing to the sluggish pace of development. [SSTI, Feb 24] Government "investment" always sounds good, until ROI time comes. In R&D particularly, the sci-techs have more interest in good science than in economics and profit. SBIR Insider Rick Shindell fulminates on the House's old-trick blatant attempt to get all its pet SBIR ideas into law by default as a rider on the "must pass" jobs bill. Says Rick: virtually unlimited majority ownership and control of small businesses by VC syndicates; no limitations on the overall percentage of award dollars made to these larger entities; elimination of mandatory phase I (allows direct to phase II); allowing and encouraging "Jumbo Awards", award amounts with no ceilings, only loose guidelines not requiring justification (makes possible $10B, $20B or more awards,); allowing earmarking of SBIR award dollars; only 2 year reauthorization (contributes to continued destabilization of the SBIR program but acts as a fund raising mechanism for incumbent house members, bipartisan at that); no allowance to raise the SBIR allocation (Senate raises from 2.5% to 3.5% over 10 years). There are many additional issues beyond the scope of this article. For those who believe SBIR is the greatest advance since sliced bread, Rick goes on the repeat the usual arguments for SBIR. NIH is proposing to expand its definition of human embryonic stem cells, enabling the university researchers it finances to work with cells derived from a very early human egg. The proposal will benefit several academic researchers and a company, Advanced Cell Technology (Santa Monica, CA and Worcester, MA; $500K SBIR) , that has filed a request with the FDA to test a treatment for macular degeneration, an eye disease. If approved, it would be among the first clinical tests of embryonic stem cells, which were first discovered in 1998. [New York Times, Feb 20, 10] Last month the Department of Defense (DOD) asked SBTC to come up with a list of possible improvements to make the DOD's SBIR program more efficient. The parameters for SBTC's recommendations were that the improvements had to be non-legislative and could be quickly implemented. To address this issue, SBTC formed a committee of about 16 small businesses that have had experience working with the DOD SBIR program. After coming up with a number of good ideas, the committee whittled the recommendations down to five main topics. 1) The Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and the Director of Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) should direct DOD to prioritize the use of SBIR technology in acquisition programs. 2) Simplify and streamline the SBIR contracting process. 3) Provide incentives and rewards to government organizations and prime contractors for successful transitioning and commercialization of SBIR technology. 4) Educate DOD contracting, management, and technical personnel. 5) Increase SBIR allocation in the DOD from 2.5 percent to 5 percent, and implement scheduled 1 percent increase in SBIR transitioning funding immediately, rather than over 10 years. [SBIR Alerting Service, Feb 19] In other words: lobbyists say give our clients more money (from somebody else's wallet), and pay more attention to their whining. I suppose that's responsive to DOD's request if they adopt a twisted idea of efficiency, which should mean more output per unit of input. If they really wanted efficiency (instead of just more money) they would recommend picking companies and ideas with a future. None of those recommendations would make any efficiency from a rocket plume model project, and passing out money faster to the wrong places won't help efficiency. How about starting with: 1) give some experienced VCs and financially successful SBIR business execs a voice in selections and project structures; 2) toss out every year the bottom some percent of companies with no financial success after an SBIR technical success; 3) give a specified portion of the money to managers who will go for, and be willing to measured and rewarded by, economic success from tech success for a military objective; 4) institute some kind of structure that forces every successive SBIR for a company's technology to meet a steeply progressive requirement for third-party co-investment. Anyway, if DOD were serious about efficiency, it wouldn't be asking such question of lobbyists. Since Marc Stanley is retiring, ... NIST is seeking qualified applicants for the director of the Technology Innovation Program (TIP). ... to support, promote, and accelerate innovation in the United States through high-risk, high-reward research in areas of critical national need [SSTI, Feb 16] Applicant needs steady nerves to withstand Republican free-market drumbeat. Replenishing the Innovation Incentive Fund and investing in space industry, public research, and green energy technologies are among Gov. Charlie Crist's FY11 budget recommendations to grow the state's innovation economy and establish Florida as a pre-eminent global hub. ... includes $100 million for the Innovation Incentive Fund, which was established in 2006 to attract R&D companies and create high-wage jobs ... The fund was depleted in 2008 [SSTI, Feb 16] When in doubt, re-organize. The Oklahoma Center for the Advancement of Science and Technology (OCAST) is among a list of 16 state agencies slated for consolidation in Gov. Brad Henry's budget proposal, which he says will result in cost savings of $5.3 million. Under the proposal, OCAST would be moved to the Department of Commerce, along with Aeronautics, Indian Affairs and the Oklahoma Space Industry Development Authority. Funding for OCAST would be reduced by 3 percent [SSTI, Feb 16] Let's Have an Industrial Policy? The U.S. is down to four world leading industries: entertainment, out of Los Angeles (heavily indebted to Democrats); information technology, out of the Bay Area (likewise); energy, out of Houston (heavily indebted to Republicans); and financial services, out of New York (indebted to both parties). That's it, folks. We're otherwise second- or third-rung suppliers across the range of manufactured products—except for biotech, a small industry—and we can still (mostly) feed ourselves. ... We've never systematically used government incentives to help U.S. industry compete across the board. It's time we did, like everyone else. [John Hofmeister (formerly of big oil), Wall Street Journal, Feb 8] SBIR advocates would be for it, even though they cannot prove economic success after nearly three decades of handout. The industrial policy advocates similarly cannot prove that their ideas work better in a competitive world than free markets. Like most advocates, they believe in sub-optimizing and pretend that it's global optimizing. even if TARP saved our financial system from driving off a cliff back in 2008, absent meaningful reform, we are still driving on the same winding mountain road, but this time in a faster car. [Special Inspector General for the Troubled Asset Relief Program (SIGTARP), Jan 30] And the Republican ardor for free markets and anti-Democratic brakes will probably block any effective USG regulation to control the car. Why should the world richest nation not have the best Congress money can buy? Since TARP was of course a bonanza for fraudsters as government passed out money as fast as it could without the usual procurement type safeguards that fill the volumes of the Federal Acquisition Regulations, the TRAP IG has 77 ongoing criminal and civil investigations. To see all SIGTARP actions www.SIGTARP.gov A Confidence Game. "Everyone is depending on sovereign and fiscal authorities to keep the music going," he says. However, because the huge government deficits eventually act to slow economic growth, "people know that eventually the music is going to stop playing." The key unknown is at what point bond markets force governments to cut back on the stimulus. The answer, Mr. Brynjolfsson says, "is purely a function of confidence." [Tom Lauricella, Wall Street Journal, Feb 8] The Russian finance minister on Wednesday floated a new approach to catching up with the West in technology ... The government will order ministries and state companies to use more of their procurement budgets to buy products that qualify as “innovative” and that are made in Russia. [New York Times, Feb 4] A national security state going to enliven useful and advanced technology? Certainly no better than the US DOD does with its national security SBIR. Public growth, private shrinkage. NSF, NIST laboratories, and the Department of Energy's Office of Science continue on the path to doubling their budgets. [SSTI, Feb 4] As always, scientists believe that deficit reduction beef must come from some other sacred cow. But, GSK plans to expand previous cost-cutting efforts by saving nearly $800 million more a year by 2012 than previously planned. Half of that savings will come from reducing research and development spending, which will affect its R&D hubs, including the one in Research Triangle Park [Raleigh News &Observer, Feb 5] Ready, Set, Continue. Congress is extending non-DOD SBIR again, until Apr 30. Which, unfortunately, gives the agencies that don't like SBIR an avenue to interrupt the flow of proposals and awards. Obama wants to offer tax credits to companies that hire new workers, a plan that drew a cool reception from Congress last month despite the nation's double-digit unemployment rate. With polls showing that jobs are Americans' top priority [AP, Jan 29] Some things the government does not do well, including stimulus by creating jobs that lasts only as long as the money. Wealth creation belongs in private hands after the government has built a safe and invigorating milieu. But until people stop rewarding their politicians with re-election for handing out public money, the inefficient machine will grind on at least at the federal level where running bills up on the national credit card is rewarded with hands on the levers of power. For a view of what can go wrong, look at Venezuela. Any program to fund private business must be done with great restraint and a structure that provides support only at critical junctures where there is a clear path beyond the barrier to privately based development. A greatly scaled down and highly targeted SBIR, for example, might - might - qualify; not the broad and loose handout of the last almost three decades. federal deficits have only climbed to 5% of GDP four times since the end of World War II—in 1946, under President Harry S. Truman, and three years under President Ronald Reagan. Why are deficits labeled by president when the president has so little to do with it? One reason: Congresses are ID'd by a number that no one knows nor remembers. What's the number? Subtract 1787 from the year and divide by two to know that we now have the 111th Congress. Anyway the whole business of deficit is enfogged with attitudes that keep changing. The widening deficit and growing federal debt show how the political ground has shifted. During the Clinton administration, deficit concerns were pre-eminent. "Rubinomics," named for then-Treasury Secretary Rubin, said balanced budgets helped the economy flourish and kept interest rates down. By the time Vice President Dick Cheney famously said deficits didn't matter, the pendulum had swung back. Republicans passed tax cuts totaling nearly $2 trillion over 10 years and approved a Medicare prescription-drug benefit, the largest entitlement expansion since the 1960s. Now, there is a new orthodoxy. Democrats argue that fiscal discipline must be restored—but not before the nation regains its economic footing. The debate is how quickly to shift from fiscal stimulus to fiscal austerity. [Jonathan Weisman, Wall Street Journal, Jan 30] The quasi-public agency Connecticut Innovations Inc. today released a report indicating that the 20-year-old authority has brought about a $23.80 return — measured in impact on the state’s gross domestic product — on each dollar invested in local companies. ... CI invested $152 million in 84 companies [1995-2008]. .. CI’s investments helped to create an average of 1,610 jobs each year, including 563 direct jobs and 1,046 indirect jobs. The activity also brought in more than $209 million in state tax revenue, an average of $14.9 million a year, according to the report. The report also said that CI’s investments led to an additional $1 billion in outside investments. [Mass High Tech, Jan 21, 10] Yet Another Subsidy. The highly lucrative market for radioactive isotopes used in cancer scans and other medical procedures is at the center of a political struggle in Congress ... over the uncertain future of a $4 billion market now controlled by foreign suppliers with aging nuclear reactors .. [Markey's] bill, which the House overwhelmingly passed and the White House supports, would require the Department of Energy to provide at least $130 million to encourage the creation of domestic manufacturers of the special compounds. [Bryan Bender, Boston Globe, Jan 29] Governments are good at home cooking [protectionism] and spending public money, but terrible at wealth creation [competitive markets] and paying for the subsidies. Over the past five years, Washington has tried to reform Social Security, immigration, health care and energy policy. All of these efforts have either failed or are close to failure — thousands of people working millions of hours and in all likelihood producing nothing. .. as each party interprets victory as a mandate to grab everything [David Brooks, New York Times, Jan 29] Continuing Irresolution. SBIR Coach Fred Patterson reports that the House Small Business Committee has chosen not to respond to the Senate's compromise proposal, and we'll have a sixth Continuing Resolution, this one for 90-days. Since SBIR is mainly a political program, why be surprised that the politicians want to extract the most from it? And the advocates are still in angst over the $200M "stolen" by NIH in the stimulus handouts. If you're looking for a model of responsible political restraint, look to...... The board of the Massachusetts Life Sciences Center, a quasi-public agency formed to oversee the state's $1 billion life sciences initiative, today approved up to $3 million in new matching grants to small businesses in 2010. ... will focus on emerging life sciences businesses with production-ready products and high potential to create jobs in Massachusetts. It will begin accepting online applications for the grants on Feb 1 through its website, www.masslifesciences.org. [Robert Weisman, Boston Globe, Jan 27] Pay Me Now, Or ... Debt for jobs now, settlement later. The world has issued so much debt in the past two years fighting the Great Recession that paying it all back is going to be hell--for Americans, along with everybody else. Taxes will have to rise around the globe, hobbling job growth and economic recovery. [Daniel Fisher, Forbes, Feb 8] No problem: politicians always prefer Pay Me Later when they will be out if office. We voters apparently believe the same thing because we keep re-electing them. But there are practical limits to the return on more debt: says Carmen Reinhart, a University of Maryland economist. The coauthor, with Harvard professor Kenneth Rogoff, of This Time It's Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly (Princeton, 2009), Reinhart has found that a 90% ratio of government debt to GDP is a tipping point in economic growth.
[John Schmid, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Jan 26]
Bailout and stimulus "mandatory", deficit terrible,
elect a Republican to Kennedy seat, bailout and stimulus
bad, tax breaks to the angry middle class while freezing
domestic spending (fat chance), jobs not being created,
... Politicians grope to find a solution to the free
lunch dilemma. Bring back an adult president! For
clues as to what that means, read Michael Korda's
biography "Ike."
between 1941 and 1960, she observes,
the government’s share of R. & D. funding went up
13-fold until it supplied a whopping 64 percent of the
country’s research funds
A possible new twist on SBIR: since the
Supremes said that corporations are people too and can
give all the money they want to politicians, perhaps
corporate America will argue effectively that SBIR isn't
needed since DOD contractors already put 37% of their
money into small business. With DOD and NASA removed
from SBIR, it would revert to Roland Tibbetts's initial
idea that non-mission agencies like NSF and NIH, who
formerly put almost no money into small business, should
avail themselves of small tech's innovation strength.
There is hard evidence that the idea worked for NIH
which has a boatload of SBIR awardees making big
economic splashes.
The freshly inaugurated governor reeled off a litany of new actions to increase college graduates, double the Governor's Opportunity Fund and target bioscience companies, invest in renewable energy, and provide tax credits for green job creation [SSTI, Jan 20] How will he pay for all that plus a $4B starting deficit? Don't ask, nor how all that fits into his required Republican limited government. Aurora Flight Sciences (Manassas, VA (R&D in Cambridge, MA); $15M SBIR) to develop technology for a hot air balloon to operate on Saturn’s moon, Titan. [Brendan Lynch, Mass High Tech, Jan 18, 10] NASA and the SBIR advocates will no doubt continue to bleat about commercialization while the Centers fund R&D for outer space. The company's website does standard R&D spin for government-use stuff. It must be good stuff to get $15M and growing SBIR over twenty years from DOD and NASA. BTW: what would you consider a decent nursery period for small high-tech companies before they can compete on their own for government R&D work. What really happens is that the mission agencies won't let them compete for much of that work because the agency must put at least 3% of their outside work into SBIR. "Go get SBIR," say the agency managers to such companies. NASA and InnoCentive, which operates a global network of 200,000 potential problem solvers, [to apply the principles of crowd-sourcing to solve the research and development problems that face its corporate customers] are collaborating to open a new NASA Open Innovation Pavilion designed to provide the public with the opportunity to solve difficult problems in human health and performance facing the US space program. ... seeking input from the public on [among others]: How to keep food fresh in space and how to develop an effective aerobic exercise program that keeps astronauts fit in space, [Boston Globe, Jan 15] $16.56 Impact for Each State Dollar, says North Dakota. Providing strong evidence for how public investments in research and TBED pay off even on a short time horizon, a recent impact analysis calculated the total impact from the first $19.9 million North Dakota spent over the past four years for the establishment of 20 Centers of Excellence across the state. Analysts from North Dakota State University reported a combined cumulative impact of $329.5 million for the 30 months ending June 2009. The total includes both direct reported results and estimates for indirect impacts .. seven new spin-off companies were created, five companies expanded within North Dakota, and five companies expanded to the state [SSTI, Jan 13] Let me control the assumptions and the "indirect effect" and I can give you any impact you want. Thousands of Massachusetts small business owners who have been pummeled by rising health insurance costs should see some relief under a program approved yesterday by state regulators. The Health Connector board voted to take over the administration of health insurance plans for roughly 17,000 small businesses, a task that had been handled by a private company, Worcester-based Small Business Service Bureau. The new program is aimed at the smallest of small businesses, those that employ between one and five workers. There are roughly 40,000 such employers in Massachusetts that offer health insurance to their workers, according to state figures. [Kay Lazar, Boston Globe, Jan 15] The Government Accountability Office has recommended that the U.S. government establish a central national security budget and then set aside money by responsibilities, breaking with the current arrangement of letting departments and agencies decide how best to arrange their budgets. [Walter Pincus, WashPo, Jan 18] The investigating arm of Congress ignores the legislating arm of Congress where committee turf is guarded even more ferociously than the Executive Branch departmental turf. The conservatives' focus on ideology, they say, is an opportunistic way of distracting attention from the mistakes of the Bush years and the role conservative policies played in bringing us to this point. To cite ideology rather than the economy in explaining the poll numbers is like analyzing the causes of Civil War without any reference to slavery or the rise of the New Deal without mention of the Great Depression. ... many, especially political independents, are upset that the government has had to spend so much and that things have not turned around as fast as they had hoped. [EJ Dionne, WashPo, Jan 18] The nation of instant gratification wants to know why the financial and economic mess isn't cured yet. T'row da bums out; bring back da odder bums?
Jobs, or else. [NY Gov] Paterson and other state
officials have repeatedly said they want to replace
Empire Zones with a new set of incentives called the
Excelsior Jobs Program. Paterson and other critics have
attacked Empire Zones for supplying millions of dollars
of tax breaks to companies that generate few jobs in
return. [Adam Sichko, The Business Review
(Albany), Jan 7] Administrations everywhere want
to put their name on any jobs program.
Polspeak Laying out her goals for the year, [NC Gov] Perdue promised to push tax incentives for small businesses and use federal training dollars to give small employers administrative support they wouldn't otherwise get. She also challenged business and education leaders to guarantee that every public school student is prepared for college or a career. .. "We're tired of business as usual." ... I am, and will continue to be, known as the 'jobs governor'." [Raleigh News & Observer, Jan 14] She's looking forward to $400M federal handout for education (while Texas declines $700M). We are no closer today to SBIR reauthorization than we were when the House and Senate SBIR legislation was passed back in July of 2009 with conference talks starting in August. [SBIR Insider Rick Shindell, Jan 12] Rick sees a pure political stratagem by SB Chair Velazquez of two-year re-authorization which aligns with her bi-annual need for campaign contributions. But since SBIR is mostly a political handout anyway, where's the great injustice of playing both sides of it? the N.I.H. currently prohibits its funds from being used to support the graduate or the postdoctoral training of foreign-born science students, who make up the majority of our talent pool in many fields. In addition, the N.I.H.’s conservative review panels make it very difficult for young scientists to secure funding for creative, risky basic research, once they establish their own labs. This affects senior scientists as well. [David Anderson, letter to the New York Times, Jan 13] We are seeking submission of white papers that bring forward new and innovative science & technology ideas and/or educational programs that could support the future efforts of DoD biometrics and forensics capabilities. Details. Helping the Neighbor. Beavercreek-based UES (once called Universal Energy Systems (Dayton); Beavercreek, OH; about $40+M SBIR) was awarded a $22.7 million [USAF-AFRL] contract [for] research, development and technology transition on advanced metallic and ceramic structure materials. In September, UES snagged a six-year, $44.5 million deal to provide research and development for the nano and biological materials. [Dayton Business Journal, Dec 31, 09] in 2009, it was still getting Phase 1 SBIR awards, its 140th Phase 1 following about 40 Phase 2s. DOD's due diligence on SBIR must not include a check on whether a firm is ready to compete for mainline DOD R&R funding and thus does not need nursery funding. Did the Congress intend such situations in SBIR? Well, the Dayton Congressional delegation will certainly not be complaining about a firm parked outside the DOD gate getting a lot of contracts. What are neighbors for anyway? I do hope that the big contracts do not include consulting work on SBIR topics and selection of winners. the federal research and development investment for FY 2010 is an estimated $150.5 billion, 2.0% more than FY 2009 [AAAS, Jan 7] any stimulus money would be extra what should we expect to be a good return on public investment in research? A new working paper available from the National Bureau of Economic Research helps clarify the range of possible answers, though, and strongly suggests the investment is worthwhile. Reviewing studies from the past half century, the authors conclude the rates of return for R&D are "usually higher than those to ordinary capital" and social returns "are almost always estimated to be substantially greater than the private returns" - both conclusions supporting an increasing role for public research investment. ... Prepared as a chapter for the Handbook of the Economics of Innovation, the December 2009 NBER Working Paper is available for purchase at: http://www.nber.org/papers/w15622. [SSTI, Jan 6] The Ohio Business Roundtable’s independent assessment of the outcomes and impacts from the first $473 million invested from Ohio’s Third Frontier (OTF) Program since its creation in 2003 shows the program providing an annualized return of 22 percent – and climbing. .. the report reveals product sales of OTF-funded projects already equal $440 million alone, nearly matching the state’s investment. An additional $3.2 billion of follow-on funding has been secured for OTF projects as well. [SSTI, Jan 6] The Missouri Science and Reinvestment Act (MOSIRA) would dedicate an annual portion of new tax revenues generated by biotechnology companies to a newly-created state fund administered by the Missouri Technology Corporation. Funding would be reinvested in a wide-range of technology-based economic development programs designed to grow science and technology companies across the state. More information regarding MOSIRA is available from the governor's office. [SSTI, Jan 6] Gov. Pat Quinn's Illinois Economic Recovery Plan .. would establish an Angel Investment Tax Credit program to allow investors making an early-stage investment in a technology startup to receive a capped credit against their Illinois tax bill. [SSTI, Jan 6] Need an Investor? Look Abroad. Since October 2006, U.S. companies have raised more than $1 billion and have created over 20,000 jobs (directly and indirectly) through EB-5, estimates the USCIS. ... foreign investors--through the so-called EB-5 program--can snag a slice of equity and a quick-and-dirty U.S. visa in just three-to-six months; plus, unlike other immigrant visas that might expire in a few years, the EB-5 flavor promises permanent residency. EB-5 minimum requirements: a $1 million investment from a lawful source in a new or existing commercial enterprise that directly creates at least 10 U.S. jobs. Investors can put up as little as $500,000 if the company is in a rural area or in a county sporting 150% of the average national unemployment rate. [Katy Finneran. Forbes.com, Jan 6] Meanwhile, A group of technology investors is trying to make Silicon Valley friendlier to foreign entrepreneurs. The group is lobbying lawmakers for a new visa for noncitizens who want to found technology start-ups in the U.S. Dubbed the Startup Visa, it would allow entrepreneurs sponsored by a venture capitalist to come to the U.S. for two years to start their business. [Jessica Vascellaro, Wall Street Journal, Jan 7] Command economies [think China] are good at spending money on infrastructure, less good at getting a return on capital. [Paul Maidment, Forbes.com, Dec 31] USG mission agencies do the same since they don't see their R&D as capital that should have a measured return. But then, real capital investors don't have to get elected. The economy is a complex, intricate subject. It is highly doubtful that the current crop of attention-seeking, power-grabbing legislators whose sole concern is their own re-election are equipped or inclined to tackle it in any meaningful and effective way, beyond, perhaps, reinstitution an old law [Glass-Stiegel] that they never should have rescinded to begin with. [carouzer blogging on thedailybeast.com, Jan 4] Patent Mining. to pay for a fraction of its largesse [pork], Congress added one late change to the budget: It slapped a restrictive spending ceiling on the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, further cramping an agency that was already incapacitated by more than a decade of congressional raids on its fees. [John Schmid, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Dec 29] Congress is urging the federal government to take a larger role in helping small businesses with exports. The Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship this month approved legislation to bolster small business trade opportunities, and asked the [SBA] to appoint an official to focus on international trade programs. Federal lawmakers have also asked Ronald Kirk, the United States trade representative, to appoint a top-level official to open overseas markets to more American small businesses. [Elizabeth Olson, New York Times, Dec 31] The board of the Massachusetts Life Sciences Center awarded $25 million in tax incentives to 28 life sciences companies that commited to creating a total of 918 new jobs in the coming year. The tax breaks were established under the Patrick administration's 10-year, $1 billion life sciences initiative. [Robert Weisman, Boston Globe, Dec 23, 09] Several "SBIR involved" companies in the list. The Ohio's $1.6 billion Third Frontier [an unprecedented and bipartisan commitment to expand Ohio's technological strengths and promote commercialization] will award $17 million to companies developing biomedical and medical imaging technology. Proposals due Mar 1. [Dayton Business Journal, Dec 14, 09] The Obama administration is setting aside $30 billion from the financial bailout fund for a program designed to encourage lending to small businesses to aid the economic recovery. [AP, Dec 19] The biggest problem will be finding willing and qualified borrowers since banks prefer to lend to people who don't need loans, and the banks already have a lot of burned fingers from government-encouraged landing. It's becoming clear that the government's attitude to the beleaguered greenback can only be described as benign neglect. [David Rosenberg, BusinessWeek.com, Dec 17] SBIR Coach Fred Patterson http://sbircoach.blogspot.com/ says, As predicted, Omnibus Appropriations bills were rushed through this week, but SBIR reauthorization was not included among them. So it'll be January before any more attention is paid NIST Market Intervention Still Alive. The FY10 Consolidated Appropriations Act that passed Congress during the past week includes $124.7 million for the Manufacturing Extension Partnership (MEP) and $69.9 million for the Technology Innovation Partnership (TIP). [SSTI, Dec 16] Patrick Clemins, director of the AAAS R&D Budget Policy Program, said in a briefing on Capitol Hill that the $147.5 billion federal science budget proposed for next year, an increase of 0.3%, or $ 491 million over the previous year’s funding levels, is an all-time high. [AAAS, Dec 17] Scholar and columnist Norman J. Ornstein told an AAAS audience that despite strong support from the White House, science policy and research funding could face challenges due to a weak economy and a sour national mood. Ornstein said that the public frustration with elected officials and financial and corporate executives has thus far spared S&T leaders, but in a sharply polarized political environment, issues such as climate change, science funding, and visa reform may face significant opposition. Read more about the current challenges and possible options discussed during the seminar, held 16-20 November. [AAAS, Dec 17] The University of Wisconsin-Madison has landed a $10.1 million, five-year [NIST] grant for research into use of nanotechnology in metal castings, the university said. [Joe Taschler, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Dec 16, 09] The government has been sponsoring research on composite materials for a long time with a lot of money, but they are still too expensive, however wonderful. The story does quietly say Bringing down the cost of producing the materials also is a goal of the research. But scientists who do great research don't do economics. "Christmas is a time when children tell Santa Claus what they want, and we pay for it. Now, with budget deficits, we tell the government what we want, and our children pay for it." -- Josef Ackermann, CEO of Deutsche Bank [Wall Street Journal, Dec 14] The DOE hopes to lend or give out more than $40 billion to businesses working on "clean technology," everything from electric cars and novel batteries to wind turbines and solar panels. ... By contrast, venture-capital firms -- which have long been the chief funders of fledgling tech firms, taking equity stakes in the start-ups that will pay off if they go public -- poured just $2.68 billion into the sector in that time, according to data tracker Cleantech Group. [Neil King, Wall Street Journal, Dec 14] Guess which "investor" will be around to help with future management and equity funding? Oh right, these companies are so smart and agile that they don't want any business guidance from their investors? GREENHOUSE-GAS emissions targets can be implemented through three sorts of policy instruments—regulation, carbon-pricing and subsidies. Governments generally like regulation (because it appears to be cost-free), economists like carbon prices (because they are efficient) and businesses like subsidies (because they get the handouts). [The Economist, Dec 3] Subsidies, Meet Prizes. Recently a scientist named Andrzej Bartke made a laboratory mouse live 1,819 days. He did it to win the Mprize, run by the Methuselah Foundation, which aims to find ways of extending human life. Prizes work, and they are cheap. In return for its $10m, the X Prize Foundation stimulated $100m in private-sector rocket research. A $30m X prize is now being offered for the first private-sector robot on the moon, $10m for a superefficient car and $10m for a way of giving your doctor an instant readout of your DNA. And so on. [Brian Appleyard, The Sunday Times, Dec 13] Subsidies generate a horde of government junkies; prizes stimulate private risk. all depends on policy. Nothing is written. It is for elected politicians to decide. They are vote-maximisers, and will calculate whether [downgrading American public debt] is more threatening to their futures than the hard steps necessary to rein in spending and avoid a downgrade. ... Meanwhile, the off-balance-sheet liabilities of the federal government are rising — the debts of troubled states, underfunded pension plans, the unbooked obligations to an ageing population. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Dec 13] So, do the American thing: argue for a subsidy that diverts government spending into politically dictated inefficiencies that favor you. How Slow the Mill Grinds. Many health IT firms that were promised stimulus funding [ARRA announced Feb 09] have yet to take action on their plans. The ARRA does not begin offering incentives to doctors and hospitals to implement electronic medical records until 2011, and providers are waiting for guidance on so-called “meaningful use” rules, which are expected to be finalized next month. [Julie Donnelly, Mass High Tech, Dec 9, 09] Federal officials alleged that Nova Gen (LaJolla, CA; no SBIR) bamboozled investors [through fraud and the unregistered sale of corporate securities] out of $2.3 million with promises of a new technology that would covert coal into green fuels and make trillions of dollars. [Onell Soto, San Diego Union Tribune, Dec 5, 09] Note that you can still make outlandish promises of future benefits in SBIR proposals as long as you don't lie about any of the supporting facts. Sometimes the government wants to hear wild promises so it can pass out "stimulus" money for favored political programs like working on algae-based fuel technology, [with] a $50 million grant from the Department of Energy and a $54.5 loan guarantee from the Department of Agriculture... to expand a commercial-scale pond system in a desert state with lots of dust and sunshine but little water. [Thomas Kupper, San Diego Union Tribune, Dec 5, 09] There is no doubt that politics and science make uncomfortable bedfellows. Politicians sell certainty. Science lives off doubt. [The Economist, Nov 28] Raw fear has given way to anxiety that the recovery will be feeble and drab. Companies are hoarding cash. Banks aren’t lending to small businesses. Private research spending is drifting downward. ... What should USG do? ... education reforms, pay for basic research, rebuild the nation’s infrastructure, find a fiscal exit strategy, gradually address global imbalances, loosen the so-called H-1B visa quotas, encourage regional innovation clusters, lower the corporate tax rate ... Direct funding of innovation? National Economic Council argued that the U.S. should not be in the industrial policy business. Governments that try to pick winners “too often end up wasting resources and stifling rather than promoting innovation.” .. [David Brooks, New York Times, Dec 8] As the military shifts its focus toward more high-tech and specialized warfare, experts predict that contractors will continue to rely heavily on the new technologies coming out of small and startup companies. ... “Small businesses tend to be the sources of innovation in technology and large primes are always looking for potential partners,” said retired Brig. Gen. Donald Quenneville, executive director of Defense Technology Initiative, a regional trade group. ... [DOD] requirements that 37 percent of large contracts go to small businesses [Mass High Tech, Dec 2] Social Investing. [North Carolina] is starting a $250 million equity fund to invest in North Carolina companies with two goals in mind: make money for the state pension fund and create jobs in North Carolina. [Mark Johnson, Raleigh News & Observer, Dec 3] Present and future state pensioners should question the fiduciary responsibility of sub-optimal investing for political purposes. Fortunately for SBIR, which is the same kind of political targeting, no pensioners are at risk except in the grand sense that federal investments are also sub-optimal, regardless of all the hoopla about small business virtue. But vote-getting always takes priority over efficient finance. Now, attention is turning to longer-term reform of the economic system (the good news) by hysterical populist politicians (the bad news) who just might destroy the system in their effort to save it. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Nov 29] With equally hysterical vested interests in danger. Democratic state legislators plan to hold hearings, possibly as soon as next week, on a proposed $15 million economic growth package that would bulk up Wisconsin's angel investing tax credits, better connect businesses with university research, and include other measures to rebuild the state's economy. [Kathleen Gallagher, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Nov 29] As the [New York] Times notes, “Nothing stirs passions for a massive public-works project like a wad of federal cash.” [CATO's downsizinggovernment.org, Nov 10] Department of Commerce Office of Innovation and Entrepreneurship issued a notice seeking nominations of individuals to serve on a new Advisory Council on Innovation and Entrepreneurship. ... who have "proven experience in innovation and entrepreneurship." Nominations are due November 30. [AAAS, Nov 25] 91% for SBIR. The internet overwhelmingly favors SBIR 91-9 according to What Does the Internet Think? Not surprising that SBIR has few enemies on such a poll since the many beneficiaries love it and no one has to pay for it. But since we have a democracy with a popularly elected legislature, the people will probably get what they say they want. The University of Rochester's Center for Emerging and Innovative Sciences has added $600 million to New York’s economy in the last five years by creating jobs, saving companies’ money and spurring spending on new equipment and infrastructure, the center reported ... The center is funded through the New York State Foundation for Science, Technology and Innovation. .... roughly $5 million in state funding ... The state measures economic impact using a formula in which companies report how many new people they hired, new pieces of equipment they purchased, new sales they made and projects they started due wholly or partly to CEIS subsidies. [Nate Dougherty, Rochester Business Journal, Nov 25] Down to Earth Travel. Downey [CA] City Council has approved an agreement aimed at luring Tesla Motors' electric car manufacturing plant to the former site of a NASA plant that helped develop the Apollo program and the space shuttle fleet. ... The city is pinning hopes that the car factory could bring $21 million in city revenues over 15 years, create about 1,200 jobs and help revitalize its reputation as Southern California's high-tech hub. ... a city of 115,000, was once a vibrant center of high tech manufacturing jobs where aerospace engineers designed and built parts for America's space program. At its height, there were some 30,000 employees at the complex, but when the plant closed in 1999, the complex fell into disrepair. .... In June, the company was awarded $465 million in low-interest loans from the U.S. Department of Energy to help build the Model S, which is designed to travel as far as 300 miles on a three- to five-hour charge. [Daisy Nguyen, AP, Nov 26] Surprise - Market Saturation. Two years ago, Congress ordered the nation’s gasoline refiners to do something that is turning out to be mathematically impossible. To please the farm lobby and to help wean the nation off oil, Congress mandated that refiners blend a rising volume of ethanol and other biofuels into gasoline. They are supposed to use at least 15 billion gallons of biofuels by 2012, up from less than seven billion gallons in 2007. But nobody at the time counted on fuel demand falling in the United States, which is what has happened during the recession. And that decline could well continue, as cars become more efficient under other recent government mandates. At the maximum allowable blend, in which gasoline at the pump contains 10 percent ethanol, updated projections suggest that the country is unlikely to be able to use all the ethanol that Congress has ordered up. So something has to give. “The market is full,” said Jeff Broin, chief executive of Poet [Matthew Wald, New York Times, Nov 27] Sound like a classic story of a great government sponsored innovation that the market doesn't need or want? New Big Science. The Obama administration's push to solve the nation's energy problems, a massive federal program that rivals the Manhattan Project, is spurring a once-in-a-generation shift in U.S. science. The government's multibillion-dollar push into energy research is reinvigorating 17 giant U.S.-funded research facilities, from the Oak Ridge National Laboratory here to the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory in California. [Gautam Naik, Wall Street Journal, Nov 25] Forty-one Nobel laureates have signed an open letter to Congress in support of the Federal Research Public Access Act (S. 1373), which would direct all major federal research agencies to create policies that would allow public access within six months to publications resulting from federally funded research. [AAAS, Nov 18] I asked Geithner what government could do to help promote innovation. Usually when I ask leaders that, they reel off some cool technologies that government should promote — windmills, nanotechnology, etc. Often they sound like children trying to play at being entrepreneurs. Geithner didn’t do that. He said that government’s limited job was to get the underlying incentives right so the market could figure out what innovations work best. That suggests a pretty constrained view of government’s role. [David Brooks, New York Times, Nov 20] In SBIR, like all government programs, the big boosters are the beneficiaries who get the money and don't have to find the money or suffer a true evaluation. And as long as Congress is treated as a source of free lunch, we will continue down the road of financial irresponsibility. Like Japan, we have an aging population, which is pushing up entitlement costs. Our government seems not to have any economically realistic or politically feasible plans either to raise revenue or cut spending, but instead plans ambitious new spending programs (notably but not only on revamping health insurance). Proposed economies seem tokens. There is an air of complacency about deficit spending and public debt--again like Japan. [Becker-Posner blog, Nov 15] Since we are not yet ready to bite the financial bullet , we continue so many government programs whose only beneficiaries are the firms that collect the money for mundane research. Lerner provides more than a dozen rules of thumb for effective government intervention in the private sector. Attesting to his own belief in capitalism, he urges governments to “let the market decide the direction” of their stimulus programs and the selection of the appropriate companies and venture capital funds to carry them out. [Harry Hurt III, reviewing Lerner's book Boulevard of Broken Dreams, New York Times, Nov 15] Unfortunately, the Congress's ongoing wrestle with SBIR shows no sign of hearing what Lerner has to say as their dominant question is how to satisfy as many interests as possible. Voices. More than a dozen lawmakers’ statements on the health care debate were ghostwritten by lobbyists working for Genentech, a biotechnology company. .. Genentech, a subsidiary of the Swiss drug giant Roche, estimates that 42 House members picked up some of its talking points — 22 Republicans and 20 Democrats, an unusual bipartisan coup for lobbyists. [Robert Pear, New York Times, Nov 15] San Diego’s free high-tech incubator, announced that it has enrolled three more startup companies: TetraVue is developing a high-resolution 3D camera and video recording system; MicroPower Technologies is developing ultra-low-power wireless video surveillance camera technologies; EcoATM plans to install self-serve kiosks for recycling mobile phones and other consumer electronics. None has SBIR. Administration officials say the Obama economic team is especially concerned that rapid deficit reduction could hurt the economy. [Wall Street Journal, Nov 12] Of course, why pay down your credit card balance if the bank isn't threatening your credit? Don't we have a no-limit card? Meanwhile, back at the ranch, After months of spending cuts and layoffs, states are drawing up plans for tax increases and an even larger round of service reductions next year as budget shortfalls continue to widen. [Amy Merrick, Wall Street Journal, Nov 12] States don't have the open credit plan; they have to balance their budgets annually (except for California's smoke and mirrors pretense that borrowing isn't deficit finance). One difference is that states can cut public programs that aren't demonstrably pulling their weight, whereas the federal government can simply defer any action that would anger any constituency. That way, everybody can keep their pet programs and pretend that someone else will pay for it. In NIST’s three year programmatic plan, the discussion of an R&D Investment Framework cites advanced materials as one research area for consideration because it is among the most strategic and enables other rapidly developing technologies. [NIST White Paper on Manufacturing] Do your proposals sound like such mush? there is a role and an opportunity for the public
sector to be directly involved in the funding of
commercialization of innovative activity, but it’s a
tricky matter and it really needs to be done right. ...
one of the real problems with many of the public
programs. They’re trying to encourage innovation, but
they’re doing stuff from a very top-down perspective,
where government bureaucrats are imagining what they’d
like to see and then chasing after it. NIST with a twist. Fred Patterson (SBIR Coach) describes NIST SBIR's new idea: Essentially, if you can show how you'll close the gap [to commercialization] in some NIST research, Clara will give you a FREE non-exclusive research license to use the NIST technology in your project. On top of that, she'll fund your project with NIST SBIR money! Just as with any other SBIR project, rights to the results of the project are yours. And you get access to NIST personnel, facilities, and knowledge regarding the invention. What a deal! FY2010 solicitation proposals due January 22. Economics and politics confront the same fundamental problem: What everyone wants adds up to more than there is. Market economies deal with this problem by confronting individuals with the costs of producing what they want, and letting those individuals make their own trade-offs when presented with prices that convey those costs. That leads to self-rationing, in the light of each individual's own circumstances and preferences. Politics deals with the same problem by making promises that cannot be kept, or which can be kept only by creating other problems that cannot be acknowledged when the promises are made. [Thomas Sowell, townhall.com, Nov 5] Pork in the Right's Places. U.S. Senators Sam Brownback, R-KS, and Pat Roberts, R-KS, applauded Senate passage of the Conference Report to the Department of Homeland Security appropriations bill. The bill includes $32 million of funding for the new National Bio-Agriculture Facility to be relocated in Manhattan, Kansas. [the DailyBell.com, Nov 3] Small-business owners I have been meeting this past week tell me they are in a state of paralysis as they follow the debate over the healthcare “reform” bill wending its way through Congress. Lurking in its 1,501 pages (the Senate version) are provisions that will markedly raise their costs and their personal taxes. So even as business gets better, they won’t take on more staff. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Nov 8] Hope, choice, and a free lunch isn't quite happening on the dreamy scale of election euphoria. Good things take time. [MI Gov] Granholm offered the company tax incentives, grants, and promises of federal funding while promoting Michigan’s charms: manufacturing expertise, a workforce loaded with engineering talent, and a population of ready-made clients. Today Mascoma, which makes a gasoline substitute from wood chips and other materials, is spending more than $200 million to build a factory in Kinross, Mich. ... Michigan is emerging as one of Massachusetts’ fiercest competitors in the race to become a hub for clean technology companies. And Massachusetts, despite being the birthplace of many of these technologies and the companies they spawn, is losing ground to Michigan’s money and determination. [Erin Ailworth, Boston Globe, Nov 9] A widening insider-trading probe is causing new tremors in Silicon Valley, as prosecutors say a network of employees at technology companies acted as paid informants for managers of a San Francisco hedge fund implicated in the case. [Don Clark, Wall Street Journal, Nov 7] The AZ TechCelerator, housed in the former municipal buildings [in Surprise AZ] is the city's attempt to grow a biotech industry by providing financial help, business mentoring and inexpensive rent. About $14 million in grant money is available to help fund start-ups for the next five years, said Ron King, president of Catapult Bio, an independent non-profit organization that has teamed with Surprise. [Cecilia Chan, Arizona Business Gazette, Oct 1] A biomass energy project was awarded $2.5 million in a congressional earmark that Utah Sen. Bob Bennett included in a pending federal budget bill. Viresco Energy (no SBIR) is a company headed by a Southern California real-estate developer who owns a ranch in Alton in southern Utah, where Jim Guthrie proposes to turn wood waste, manure or coal into 40 barrels of fuel a day. ... Bennett's office says it did some diligence before sponsoring the taxpayer-funded item. [AP, Oct 29, 09] Stryker Biotech (large firm) employees engaged in a scheme to deceive doctors into using its bone-healing devices for purposes that had not been approved by the FDA, the government alleged. [Mass High Tech, Oct 28, 09] SBIR Insider says, Today (October 26, 2009), the Senate passed S. 1929 that extends SBIR/STTR for all agencies (except DoD) as well as other small business programs for 6 months, expiring on April 30, 2010. DOE's ARPA-E will announce 37 grants totaling $151 million, mostly going to small businesses and educational institutions but also to a few corporations. Some of the ideas may be supported until they are picked up by venture capitalists or major companies, ... the grants average $4 million ... “It’s not supposed to be things that are 90 percent worked out, but more what-if kinds of things.” [Matthew Wald, New York Times, Oct 25] Funding high risk stuff will produce a high percentage of technical failures which will eventually be criticized by elements of Congress who want brand new ideas that have been thoroughly tested, and something with which to beat the administration. It takes a while for most start-up companies to gain the confidence of a U.S. congressman and the promise of federal funds. But last year, a small Illinois company accomplished its goal in 16 days with the help of Rep. Peter J. Visclosky, a little-known Indiana Democrat who sits on the House committee that funds the Pentagon. ... In rapid succession, the three-employee technology firm, NanoSonix, filed its incorporation papers in Skokie, Ill., and hired a Washington lobbying firm, K&L Gates, which boasted to clients of its close relationship with Visclosky. A week later, Visclosky wrote a letter of support for a $2.4 million earmark for NanoSonix from the House Appropriations Committee's defense subcommittee. [Paul Kane and Carol Leonnig, Washington Post, Oct 26] I'm all for progress as you know/ Long as we keep the status quo. -- line from the 1950s musical "Oh, Captain" From SBIR to health care to foreign war, everyone is for improvement as long as someone else pays for it. The reason Americans have turned against health-care reform, after electing President Obama in part for promising it, is simple: Despite protestations to the contrary, Americans don't like change. [Michael Kinsley, WashPo, Aug 28] The DOD half of SBIR re-authorized for a year, says SBIR Insider. The other half is still in the political grinding mill. The bad news is that neither half is likely to produce anything advancing an economic goal for SBIR, just more political handout to small business with neither success criteria nor economic evaluation. Even any claim to job creation is a myth since the money for the jobs is diverted from other companies that would also buy the jobs. Are SBIR companies better economic creators than non-SBIR companies? No one knows and the SBIR advocates avoid the question. Ah well, government is not a wealth creator anyway, just a guardian and political re-distributor. SSTI gave an attaboy to The TechColumbus TechStart Program supports and develops viable entrepreneurial companies from their earliest phase through their launch as significant economic contributors. The TechStart team in collaboration with its partners has invested $11.5 million directly in technology startups, resulting in the creation of 912 jobs having an average annual salary of more than $62,000. The team serves startups located in its business incubator and across the 15-county Central Ohio region. also in Ohio Since its inception (2004 in Northeast Ohio) , JumpStart has invested in 40 portfolio companies and worked with almost 400 others, assisted companies in raising $140 million in external funding, and created total economic impact of $177 million. As reported by the various local Business Journals... Since Sept. 1, the National Institutes of Health (NIH) has awarded more than 12,000 research grants totaling $5 billion, the largest infusion into biomedical research ever, as a result of an increase in federal budgets as part of the "Stimulus" funding [LARTA, Oct 20] When Government Bets on Companies. Battered by the ailing economy, stiff global competition, and plunging prices for solar panels, Evergreen Solar says it may be forced to downsize its new manufacturing plant, .... The company says it expects to burn through most of its $83 million in cash by year-end, and last month it persuaded the state to lend it another $5 million ... Once in office, Patrick sealed the deal by offering Evergreen more than $76 million in grants, land, loans, tax incentives, and other aid. It was one of the largest investments the state has ever made in the success of a private company. [Boston Globe, Oct 17, 09] When consulting group McKinsey asked executives in February where the government should direct the majority of its stimulus spending, 59 percent of respondents said on "fostering innovation and potential new industries," putting it in the top spot, even before potential solutions such as "helping workers who have been laid off" or "helping existing companies." [Daniel Harrison, Washington Post, Oct 18] Unfortunately, handing money to federal R&D agencies to do with as they please is highly unlikely to foster new industries. If economic gain is the objective, there need to be mandated economic objectives and criteria. Momentum. Hydrogen car advocates said that the vote to restore funding represented a sensible step toward funding a variety of alternative energy possibilities. But critics said the vote reflects only the difficulty of killing a government program. The money keeps alive about 190 projects around the country, officials said. "It's an insult to the American taxpayer to pretend that hydrogen cars are a practical and affordable near-term or even medium-term greenhouse gas reduction strategy," said Joseph J. Romm, a former Department of Energy official in charge of clean-technology programs. [Peter Whoriskey, Washington Post, Oct 17] The "S&T for National Security" study, conducted by the independent science advisory group known as JASON, is quoted as stating that defense basic research programs are "broken" and that "throwing more money at the problems will not fix them." [AAAS, Oct 15] While the Small Business committees argue, the Armed Services Committees agreed to extend DOD's SBIR for another year. SBIR Insider Rick Shidell observes that Almost everyone on the hill agrees that SBIR is a good program that accomplishes what it was created to do. If its purpose was to throw a fish to a section of small business, it succeeded. Whether it did much to satisfy the stated objectives can be debated endlessly. As big-company R&D spending is dropping, investment in new and innovative firms has collapsed. One dollar of venture capital yields as many patent applications as $3 of R&D spending, say Samuel Kortum of the University of Minnesota and Josh Lerner of Harvard Business School. But investment by venture capitalists in America in the second quarter of this year was 51% down on the same period last year. ... America has never been entirely faithful to the ideal of laissez-faire. In his forthcoming book “Boulevard of Broken Dreams”, Mr Lerner points out that even Silicon Valley in its early years depended more heavily on military contracts than its current denizens care to admit. Mr Lerner has no theological objection to industrial policy and believes that bureaucrats can help entrepreneurs. But as the title of his book suggests, they mostly do not. One reason is that bureaucracies need a steady stream of quick wins to reassure their political sponsors. They do not cope well with a long series of defeats, interrupted by sporadic flashes of success. [The Economist, Oct 3] DARPA Goes Long Again. In her conversations with researchers, [new DARPA Director] Dr. Dugan noted the criticism of the shortened time horizon for Darpa financing and acknowledged that increasing classification of research had lessened the impact of the agency’s technology on both civilian and military infrastructure, according to several people who participated in the discussions. ... but some Congressional opponents have proposed a $500 million cut and there is language in a Senate version of the defense appropriations bill that would prohibit the agency from starting new projects. [John Markoff, New York Times, Oct 7] The path of productivity growth will determine the nature of the new normal more than anything else. In the rich world, innovation sets the pace. Elsewhere, trade is often more important. Both are now under threat. Cash-strapped companies are skimping on research and development. Emerging economies are having to rethink their reliance on exports for growth. Both rich and poor governments will be tempted to intervene. They should avoid cosseting specific industries with subsidies or protection. Allowing market signals to work will do more to boost productivity than cack-handed industrial policy. [The Economist, Oct 3] Big Land, Big Dream. Texas gave birth to the modern oil industry, invented the handheld calculator and sent man to the moon. But can the Lone Star State cure cancer? Texas is ready to try by investing $3 billion over the next decade in cancer research and prevention, which would make the state the gatekeeper of the second largest pot of cancer research dollars in the country, behind only the National Cancer Institute. ... now putting out the call to scientists: Come and get the money. ... A sagging economy also makes some skittish about whether the state will follow through with funding for an entire decade. [Paul Weber, AP, Oct 3] States have a way of starting big programs and then not finding the money to continue after the problem isn't solved in two years. If the NIH couldn't do it the four decades, why would Texas succeed with a mere $3B? Unfortunately, Molly Ivins is no longer around to puncture the Lone Star chutzpah. Three Oregon nonprofits that specialize in helping low-income entrepreneurs are among 58 nationwide that snared $5 million in grants from the [SBA] ... The SBA received about 400 applications for grants, which run as much $250,000 and require a 50 percent match, and are funded by the Program for Investment in Microentrepreneurs Act. [Jonathan Brinckman, The Oregonian, Oct 2] The government is about to get a lot more involved in the economy, particularly the entrepreneurial sector of the economy. I am sure the lobbyists are streaming from K Street to the Commerce Department to help "shape" how the government will be "shaping" entrepreneurship in the U.S. I can't wait to see who gets a seat at that advisory panel table [National Advisory Council on Innovation and Entrepreneurship].... [drjeffcornwall.com, Sep 28] Since the new government fiscal year starts today, do you think that the government has a finance plan for the year? Not exactly, so far the only agreement is to seek as many political points are possible without actually doing anything. And since there is no fixed budget and no agreement on whether SBIR will continue in its former shape, all is uncertainity for the high tech companies looking for a handout at that door. The FDA said that four New Jersey congressmen and its own former commissioner unduly influenced the process that led to its decision last year to approve a patch for injured knees, an approval it is now revisiting. .. The agency’s scientific reviewers repeatedly and unanimously over many years decided that the device, known as Menaflex and manufactured by ReGen Biologics (Franklin Lakes, NJ; $400K SBIR a decade ago), was unsafe because the device often failed, forcing patients to get another operation. But after receiving what an F.D.A. report described as “extreme,” “unusual” and persistent pressure from four Democrats from New Jersey ... agency managers overruled the scientists and approved the device for sale in December. [Gardiner Harris and David Halbfinger, New York Times, Sep 25, 09] [The Commerce Dept ] plans to create a new Office of Innovation and Entrepreneurship and launch a National Advisory Council on Innovation and Entrepreneurship. ... The Council [expected to be comprised of successful entrepreneurs, innovators, investors, non-profit leaders and other experts] will advise the Commerce Department on policy relating to building small businesses and help to keep the department engaged in a regular dialogue with the entrepreneurship and small business communities. ... the Office is to unleash and maximize the economic potential of new ideas by removing barriers to entrepreneurship and the development of high-growth and innovation-based businesses. [DOC Press Release, Sep 24] Big old Democratic talk, big plans, perhaps big bureau probably with only a vague idea of how to pick winners with an economic future in a way that doesn't try to do what the market can do better. Sounds like a resurrection of Clinton 1993 plans. The White House instructed government agencies to keep politics away from the awarding of federal grants, a step taken as the administration sought to minimize the fallout after an official at the National Endowment for the Arts urged artists to advance President Obama’s agenda. [Jeff Zeleny, New York Times, Sep 23] The politics of earmarks and handout programs like SBIR are unmentioned. More PhDs than money. Managers at [NIH] are increasingly ignoring the advice of scientific review panels and giving hundreds of millions of dollars a year to scientists whose projects are deemed less scientifically worthy than those denied money. ... Many of the favored recipients are “new investigators,” or scientists who had never before received a grant from the health institutes. .. agency managers hope to use the scientific equivalent of affirmative action to encourage graduate students and newly minted professors to make careers in academia. .... But Peter Farnham, a spokesman for the American Society for Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, said the health institutes had gone too far. “At 19 percent, they’re taking too much from the more seasoned investigators,” Mr. Farnham said. “We would be comfortable with a somewhat lower level.” [Gardner Harris, New York Times, Sep 21] Mr. Gates's reordering of the Pentagon budget has improved the fortunes of many smaller defense companies, which account for many of the department's nuts-and-bolts technologies, as well as weapons systems used on the ground in Afghanistan and Iraq. Smaller companies focused on a narrower range of products can often react more quickly than the industry's giants, in part because they tend to be less bureaucratic. [August Cole, Wall Street Journal, Sep 22] Fred Patterson SBIR Coach sees the SBIR re-authorization negotiations going nowhere. There's as much spirit of compromise here as there is on the health care debate. Nada. Zilch. [Sep 11] The U.S. Commerce Department has awarded a $4.7 million grant to build a technology park in Whitewater that is expected to spur business growth in that area of [Wisconsin]. [Kathleen Gallagher, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Sep 11, 09] Using "economic geography", the study of the processes that make economic activity cluster in particular locations, the British government could follow in the footsteps of Silicon Valley and develop new industrial sectors to revive its economy. The trick for governments is to spot these innovation hotspots early on and facilitate their growth with an injection of investment. Innovation hotspots that occur accidentally can fizzle if they are not incubated. By spotting the spillover elements that give rise to such sectors, and helping them with tax breaks and targeted funding, the British government could seed many industrial communities for relatively little outlay. [Paul Krugman, The Independent on Sunday, Sep 6] And If you want to attract the visionary nerds who drive innovation, pay close attention to how start-up culture in your country is financed. ... Seedcamp (www.seedcamp.com) is trying to fill that gap in the UK, running a lean £3m fund to seed early-stage technology companies in the UK and Europe. Seedcamp not only provides small amounts of capital, it also mentors companies, connects them with industry heavyweights and introduces them to London's venture capitalists. [Reshema Sohoni, The Independent on Sunday, Sep 6] Heaven forfend that America gets into "injection of investment" into "innovation hotspots" - an irresistible invitation to pork. But the government might do something useful to get innovations started in disruptive technology wherever it happens to show bright potential. Let geography be no factor, but do demand some noticeable third-party investment interest. The more the interest, the better to prospects. But as good as that scheme sounds, the federal government has little skill in picking such winners, as demonstrated by its failure to make much of SBIR in 25 years (with the exception of NIH which seems to have fostered a lot of good ideas once was forced into doing business with for-profit enterprises). New York plans to invest $20.4 million in stem cell research. ... $5.4 million would earmarked to recruit research fellows and transition them into research institutions in New York. The remaining $15.4 million would be used to establish multi-institutional research facilities. The facilities would be shared by researchers from across the state. [The Business Review (Albany), Aug 28] The question is whether anyone can come up with the breakthroughs to create millions of new jobs ... The country's [R&D] leadership is no longer unrivaled. ... The key is recognizing that the future of research will transcend national boundaries and corporate walls. ... The Obama Administration has promised to make science and technology top priorities, but the economic meltdown forced it to focus on the crises du jour. Thomas Kalil, deputy director of the Office of Science & Technology Policy, says the tens of billions in stimulus money allocated for science research, clean energy, and other projects is only a "down payment." [Steve Hamm, Business Week, Sep 7] And the more Congress lets the federal agencies pour SBIR into incremental life-style companies, the more the waste of whatever percentage is diverted into the socio-political program. It's not the percentage that matters, it's how it's used. SBIR Still Delayed. With the conferees being extremely closed-lipped, it's hard to tell, but the smart money says "No," there will have to be another [continuing resolution]. The biggest sticking points are still the VC eligibility, the award amounts, the length of reauthorization, the direct to phase II path, and a litany of preferences. [Rick Shindell, SBIR Insider] Note that Rick's list does not include the idea that the SBIR is an economic waste of time. Rather it is a battle among vested interests for pieces of the pie. It's Ugly But It's Money. Georgia's Republican senators voted against the $787 billion economic stimulus package, blasting the bill as a bloated government giveaway. But their disdain didn't stop them from later asking Defense Secretary Robert Gates to steer $50 million in stimulus money to a constituent's bio-energy project. [AP, Aug 27] Status-quo anxiety: Why Americans support health care reform in concept, but grow uneasy when faced with actual change. [Loren Steffy, Houston Chronicle, Aug 25] The same reasons why they cry over a deficit (when egged on by suddenly fiscally conservative Republicans) but oppose any action that would sacrifice their federal benefits while reducing the deficit. Sacrifice? Our politicians suggesting that their constituents sacrifice anything? Not in free-lunch-land. Virtually every strategic plan ever concocted for the United States or Wisconsin economy revolves around innovation as a bastion of competitive advantage. ... the finding by two Journal Sentinel reporters that it takes 3½ years for the U.S. Patent Office to issue the average patent is unnerving. The 1.2 million patent-applications backlog is an indictment of the government's management of this critical function for maintaining our lead in the rapidly changing world of technology. [John Torinus, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Aug 23] The answer, of course, is to cut taxes and government fat. investment for the long term requires more than simply throwing money at a problem. In the modern research environment, even well-intentioned governments fail to make good investments in scientific and technological infrastructure. ... grant officers found they could no longer fund all of the promising young scientists who asked for research support and still keep the large educational programs in operation. "NIH research funding is more difficult to get now than it was before the NIH budget doubled," Michael Teitelbaum of the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation observed in Science in August 2008. ... Many of the problems with scientific research come from the uncertainty of the scientific process itself and the inability of both researchers and policymakers to predict the consequences of policy decisions. [David Alan Grier, Business Week, Aug 21] One innovation barrier in the mission agencies, who control a large majority of SBIR money, is their distaste for uncertainty of results. Better, they think, a small increment with high probability of technical success than a gamble on something really new. For fiscal conservatives [a la Hoover], the answer is equally clear: Start cutting the federal deficit and slowing the growth in the money supply now, before the binge generates a burst of inflation. Ms. Romer is "sending the absolutely wrong message -- that we can't do anything to worry about inflation until the recovery is locked in because of concern for unemployment," says Allan H. Meltzer, a political economist at Carnegie Mellon University. "The reason economists and central bankers have two eyes is so they can do two things at once." [Michael Phillips, Wall Street Journal, Aug 24] The people who believe in trillion dollar wars don't believe in trillion dollar economics. The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, the steward of the nation’s most important technologies, has been rejecting applications at an unprecedented rate during the past few years, yet it still cannot keep pace with the torrent of applications. [Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Aug 17] The JS has a long feature article on patents "New Century Cities" Spain's 22@Barcelona project, for example, involves transforming 115 blocks of industrial land in Barcelona's historic cotton district into an international hub for more than 1,000 media, information technology, and medical technology companies; research institutes; and university labs that could employ 150,000 in 15 years. Seoul's new 135-acre Digital Media City aspires to be a global ecosystem for developing and deploying cutting-edge technologies for entertainment, games, and interactive workplaces. And Singapore is pouring some $10 billion into futuristic architecture for a megadevelopment called One North, which integrates new research complexes and "living laboratories" for biotechnology, advanced materials, and medical services. [Pete Engardio, Business Week, Jun 1] Which raises an interesting question of whether an interventionist techno-hungry government should build large complexes or simply provide nursery funding for infant technologies. Nursery programs are a lot cheaper and don't develop expensive commitments to grand ideas. Not content with trusting in private incentives for innovation, University of Tennessee Board of Trustees approved last month the master plan for a 77-acre state-of-the-art research park called Cherokee Farm. The site will house technology and research-oriented centers focusing on renewable energy, supercomputing, materials science, biomedical science, and climate and environmental challenges. Construction is expected to begin in August to accommodate the Joint Institute for Advanced Materials, which will house the Tennessee Solar Institute. Approved last month by the legislature, the Institute is part of the $62 million Volunteer State Solar Initiative (see the July 1, 2009 issue of the [SSTI] Digest). Suspicious of grand schemes, Last month, the House and Senate committees responsible for appropriating money to the Department of Energy shot down Chu's proposed "Energy Innovation Hubs," with the House killing funding for all but one of the eight proposed hubs and the Senate provisionally funding only three. The House committee called the hubs redundant and criticized the Department of Energy for a lack of planning and clear communication about them. [Kevin Bullis, MIT Tech Review, Aug 7] Congressional leaders have been fixated on short-term conventional priorities throughout this entire episode. There is no evidence that the power brokers understand the fundamental transition ahead. They are practicing the same self-indulgence that got us into this mess. [David Brooks, NY Times, Jun 12] As long as Congress is going to be fiscally irresponsible to (pretend to) satisfy voters' myths, SBIR might as well argue for its "fair share" (whatever that is and whatever the uncompelling basis). [North Carolina] Lawmakers in the last hours of the legislative session Monday night began hustling through a new and unfamiliar funding mechanism to help small life-science companies expand or open shop in North Carolina. Five hours later, as debate began tilting against the bill, House leaders shelved the idea until next spring. [Raleigh News & Observer, Aug 11] Neither of the two Austin firms that had hoped to win grants received any money. Valence Technology Inc. had applied for $225 million to build an advanced battery plant in Leander, which would allow it to move production to the United States from China. The company did not return calls for comment. It also applied for federal low-interest loans to build the plant. Austin-based ActaCell Inc. is part of the National Alliance for Advanced Transportation Batteries consortium, which had hoped to win a grant to help build a plant in Kentucky. [Dana Hedgpath, Austin American Statesman, Aug 6, 09] Neither did Boston Power [Boston Globe, Aug 6] “Ohio Third Frontier” program has up to $27 million to invest and is requesting proposals for its 2010 fiscal year. The 2010 Request For Proposals [now open] for the following programs:• Fuel cell research;• Photovoltaic research (used in solar panels); and• Advanced Energy research. Closes Sep 18 [Dayton Business Journal, Aug 3] SBIR Coach Fred Patterson http://sbircoach.blogspot.com/ says: the DOE is putting a nice chunk of their ARRA Stimulus money ($8.5 million) into new Phase I SBIR and STTR projects that place an emphasis on near-term, clean energy technology commercialization. Sixty six-month Phase I projects will be funded in amounts up to $150,000. The Funding Opportunity Number is DE-PS02-09ER09-27. (CFDA 81.049) Here's the complete topic list (For details: technical topic descriptions) A major effort to revamp research and development at the DOE, which Secretary Steven Chu says is critical to solving energy-related challenges, hangs in the balance as the Obama administration attempts to make its case to a skeptical Congress. ... The House committee called the hubs redundant and criticized the Department of Energy for a lack of planning and clear communication about them. [Kevin Bullis, MIT Tech Review, Aug 7] The solution to a government productivity/effectiveness problem is rarely re-organization; moving tghe same people around into different boxes won't do much. And DOE has a hard time convincing Congress to appropriate more money for a dream machine. SBIR can get away with low productivity because no appropriation is needed. To test what Congress and the agencies really think SBIR is worth, make it either optional or requiring appropriation. $2.4 billion in stimulus grants to jump-start an electric-vehicle industry centered in the Midwest. ... will leverage another $2.4 billion in private investment by recipients. The bulk of the Department of Energy money goes to seven companies in Indiana and 11 in Michigan, two states with the nation's highest unemployment that will play a strong role in Democrats' fates in 2010 congressional races and Mr. Obama's 2012 re-election run. ... Some companies that failed to get grants questioned why most of the winners were large, well-established companies, such as GM, Johnson Controls Inc. and Saft Groupe SA of France. "Innovation in this arena frequently comes from the smaller guys," said Mark Mills, chairman of International Battery Inc., a venture-capital-backed battery maker in Allentown, Pa., that had unsuccessfully sought DOE funding for an expansion. "If we wound the clock back to 1980 and had the government funding computer operating systems, the probability that Microsoft would have been funded then would have been small." [Elizabeth Williamson, Wall Street Journal, Aug 6] If the government builds a bridge, and... [do so] by taking tax money away from somebody else, and using that to pay the bridge builder -- the guys who work on the bridge -- then it's just a wash. It has no first-starter effect. There's no reason to expect any stimulation. And, in some sense, there's nothing to apply a multiplier to. You apply a multiplier to the bridge builders, then you've got to apply the same multiplier with a minus sign to the people you taxed to build the bridge. [Robert Lucas, Council on Foreign Relations, Mar 30] An exact parallel to why SBIR creates no jobs as it taxes away money from other federal contracting. . Where Half-Truths Serve the Purpose (besides SBIR blather). In certain GOP circles, the conclusion had already been drawn that the recent fiscal stimulus had failed to cure the patient even before the patient really swallowed the medicine. [EconoSpeak blog, Jul 31] Cutting Back. The Oregon Innovation Council (Oregon Inc.) will receive $16 million over the biennium to continue R&D and commercialization efforts in nanoscience and renewable energy through the state's signature research centers. This is scaled back from the governor's recommendation of $20.5 million and $12 million less than the 2007-09 biennial appropriation. [SSTI, Jul 30] More Waiting. SBIR Coach reports that SBIR will be extended another two months while the conferees cook up a compromise (and the principles take their August break). No harm done since the only people hurt are the SBIR junkies. China can force government-owned corporate entities to borrow and spend, and spend quickly itself. This isn't some slow-moving, touchy-feely democracy. If the Chinese government decides to build a highway, it simply draws a straight line on the map. ... But don't confuse fast growth with sustainable growth. Much of China's growth over the past decade has come from lending to the United States. [Tyler Cowen, Marginal Revolution blog, Jul 27] The politics are still raging over renewing SBIR. Fred Patterson - SBIR Coach - suggests ways that you can add your half-truths to the half-truths already being promoted by the SBTC. Vested interests arise! Get Charged for Subsidy. The Energy Department is getting ready to hand out about $2 billion in grants to create a domestic industry for electric-car batteries, and 122 companies are scrambling to get pieces. ... But U.S. hopefuls face stiff competition from foreign firms such as Japan's Panasonic and Sony and South Korea's LG Chem, which already dominate the lithium-ion battery market in power tools, laptops and cell phones. Some domestic firms have recruited foreign companies as partners. Some economists warn of the perils of government subsidies. [Steve Mufson, WaPo, Jul 28] How could my getting a subsidy ever be bad? Feed Us ... Now! The Economist has a cartoon of Obama watering a small garden next to which stands a bag of stimulus fertilizer while saying “Give it time; it will grow”. Standing in a queue are a crowd of people with a plate and a fork while the front person in working clothes with a cap showing a large American flag says “No problem; we’ll come back in ten minutes.” A new study of University of Wisconsin-Madison start-ups shows more than 250 companies have been launched by the school's faculty, staff and students since 1950. [Kathleen Gallagher, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Jul 18] Since its founding in 1948, BBN (Bolt, Beranek, and Newman) government contractor has been a birthing ground for at least 100 companies, based on an informal count provided by current and former employees. [Mass High Tech, Jul 20] I'd like to see Mars become the focus, just as John F. Kennedy focused on the moon. --MICHAEL COLLINS Astronaut [time.com, Jul 20] A good bureau man: anything worth doing is worth overdoing; send money. If we must shrink government to meet our willingness to pay for it, Mars is an expendable program. After all, Collins's moon project Apollo was a Cold War gambit to beat the Russians at something in space after they beat us to the first satellite. Who or what would be our target in for a trillion dollars or so to do some Mars spectacular? Nine technologies developed at University of Texas System institutions were awarded Texas Ignition Fund grants totaling nearly $453,000. Two of the nine technologies came out of the University of Texas Austin. One is a device for inducing hypothermia, the other is designed to increase the drug absorption rate of bloodstreams. The grants are designed to migrate the advancements from the laboratory to the commercial marketplace. The winning entries were awarded grants of $48,000 - $55,000 apiece, officials said. [Austin Business Journal, Jul 14] Where's Our Handout? a string of decisions opening President Barack Obama to attacks that his administration hasn't done enough to help small businesses. Republicans, lobbyists and some small businessmen noted Thursday that the lender to many small and medium-size firms was left to fend for itself, while banks catering to major corporations and investors have received bailouts. [Jonathan Weisman, Wall Street Journal, Jul 17] Angling for max advantage, all kinds of entities want capitalism when they can profit and socialism when they get in trouble. Having gotten a stimulus handout that saved police and teachers' jobs in their districts, Republican Congressmen criticize the stimulus for enlarging the public debt. A few small businesses want more SBIR handouts and competition restriction even though they cannot come up with a story that it would make an iota of national economic difference. All this opportunism points out the grand principle that we get the government we deserve. Democrats elected from some of the U.S.'s richest districts have emerged as stumbling blocks to raising taxes on the wealthy to pay for Obama's health-care overhaul. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 20] It's the time-worn story: everyone has a great idea for a government program that someone else should pay for. Just listen to the bleating for SBIR. the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's Catalyst grant program, which, for the second consecutive year, is awarding $500,000 to research projects that have scientific promise and strong commercial potential. The grants are funded by the Lynde and Harry Bradley Foundation, the state's largest foundation. .... Seven University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee faculty members [Kathleen Gallagher, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Jul 16] A recent survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, in collaboration with AAAS, shows a large disparity between scientists' and ordinary Americans' opinions on issues such as climate change, evolution education, and federally-funded research. [AAAS, Jul 15] On Wisconsin. Tripling the Acceleration Wisconsin tax credit from $1 million to $4 million for angel and venture investors in support of startup technology companies, beginning retroactively for the 2008 tax year; ... Allowing angel investors to claim the entire 25 percent credit on their investment in the first taxable year; and, Permitting insurance companies to claim the venture capital investment tax credit against gross premium tax liability ... Creating a capital gains tax exemption for investments of up to $10 million in new businesses. [SSTI, Jul 14] the 2009-11 budget signed into law by Gov. Mitch Daniels reduces by half funding for the state's 21st Century Research and Technology Fund and appropriates only a fraction of the requested $70 million for the Indiana Innovation Alliance, an initiative to grow the state's life science industries. ... [IEDC] will receive $35 million over the next two years - half the amount appropriated last biennium. Supporting numerous entrepreneurial ventures over the last 10 years, IEDC uses the fund to offer loans and grants to companies bringing new technologies to market, to match SBIR grants, and to create University Centers of Excellence. [SSTI, Jul 14] States have little patience; they want results by the next election. The Senate passed S.1233 - SBIR/STTR
REAUTHORIZATION ACT OF 2009! .. with a petri dish for corruption When an Air Force command in north Florida sought new battlefield technologies, John P. Murtha (D-Pa.) steered millions in federal dollars its way to hire defense contractors. The research effort at the Pensacola Air Force base fell apart, however, when investigators found evidence that it was used to improperly pay a series of companies linked to Murtha. A handful of defense firms were paid for work that was never done or not called for in the contracts. Some of the companies involved, based in Wyoming, Florida and Murtha's district in Pennsylvania, had hidden owners, prosecutors allege; one was secretly owned by the Air Force official who helped approve the payments. ... "It really puts a fine point on the murky, unaccountable web that exists around earmarks," said Steve Ellis, of the watchdog group Taxpayers for Common Sense. "These earmarks, because there is very little accountability, provide a petri dish for corruption." [Carol Leonnig, Washington Post, Jul 15] Squawking Continues. First, the [House SBIR bill 2965] says that only firms less than 50 percent owned by venture capital firms are eligible to receive SBIR grant money. Previously, there had been no limit for VC-backed companies, but there had been a limit on how much each agency could give to VC-backed firms. That limitation — 15 percent of the total grant money by a federal agency — has been removed in the bill, known as HR 2965. A second change would establish a “fast track” status for Phase 2 money that would eliminate the requirement that an SBIR applicant company receive Phase 1 money first. Third, the bill puts a much stronger emphasis on commercialization, saying programs should focus on projects governed by commercial business plans, and have significant potential to produce products and services. Taken together, the focus on commercial potential, the elimination of the need to have taken Phase 1 money and the open door for VC-backed companies to elbow out other firms, could have a crippling effect on innovation, said Ann Eskesen of Innovation Development Institute, in Swampscott. “This is an absolute transformation from what has worked extremely well for 30 years,” Eskesen said. “Thousands of companies are going to go out of business.” [Rodney Brown, Mass High Tech, Jul 10] Perhaps most of those thousands of companies have no business in competitive innovation anyway; they simply service the government need for R&D as small businesses did before SBIR. Half the SBIR is in DOD which disdains economics. They add no new jobs during or after SBIR because they take money that would have bought the same number of jobs elsewhere and they create no permanent private economic activity after the SBIR. ... The other new features sound like a cry from the House to either make something economically useful out of SBIR or let it go away. What's the big problem with SBIR? The government! The companies are just doing what comes naturally - exploiting an invitation to accept free money for doing what they like to do. But I have never met any government SBIR manager who can talk in terms of companies and competitive advantage and diminishing returns. They talk only of technology, their missions, and their procedures. I've never seen any evidence that they hold a company to a progressively higher standard of ROI as the SBIR contribution to the new technology increases. It can be done (I did it) and until the mission agencies, which have most of the SBIR money, do it, SBIR will continue as a national waste of time. A coalition of U.S. scientific societies and university organizations is urging Congress not to expand a $2.3 billion research program for small businesses. To succeed, however, the coalition must overcome one of the most influential interest groups in Washington and mend fences with legislators still smarting from a recent tweak to the program. [Science, Jul 3] It will happen only if Exelon receives the generous loan guarantees for renewable-energy projects promised in this year's federal stimulus bill--funds that in this case would cover 80 percent of the project's costs. Barely viable with the loan guarantees and a handful of other federal and state subsidies, the $60 million solar plant would not be possible without such government support. [David Rotman, MIT Tech Review, J/A 09] Just like tons of SBIR projects - completely dependent on a huge subsidy. [DOE's] recommendation to slash funding for some fuel cell development projects could be seen as a blow to the industry, but New England fuel cell companies are hoping the cuts are kindest to them. .... Much of those cuts would affect projects in the transportation arena, which Energy Secretary Steven Chu has said publicly are further away from large-scale deployment. The changes would refocus funding on fuel cells for power generation and storage, [Jackie Noblett, Mass High Tech, Jul 10] TARP to Stimulus. The Obama administration is developing an initiative to take money from the $700 billion rescue program for the banking system and make it available to millions of small businesses, which officials say are essential to any economic recovery because they employ so many people, according to sources familiar with the plan. [WashPo, Jul 13] Money sitting in a government account can always find some political use if left unfenced. House Passes Christmas Tree SBIR Bill. HR 2965 passed overwhelmingly with a load of political preferences; veterans, high unemployment areas, minority education institutions, renewable energy, water delivery, Native Americans, medical technology. Chair Velazquez's preferences dominated (or what's a Committee Chair for, anyway?), including allowing VC controlled companies to compete for a (compromise) specified portion of NIH's SBIR. The Senate has to act on its different bill before it can go to conference to resolve the differences into a law. [Thanks to SBIR Insider] Weeping and wailing from companies that don't want to compete in economic competition. Not As Free as It Appears. the prospect of large flows of government money to the industry is holding up private-sector investment. New incentive programs haven't yet been defined, and uncertainty about program rules has deterred investors from backing companies that also may get government money. At the same time, companies are holding off from accepting private capital because of the possibility of getting it more cheaply from the government. [AW Matthews, Wall Street Journal, Jul 8] SBIR has the same problem of inviting firms to commit economic suicide by taking free government money and thereby avoiding facing questions about "what comes after SBIR". Former University of Tennessee-Knoxville computer engineering professor J. Reece Roth has been sentenced to four years in prison for enabling unauthorized foreign citizens to gain access to restricted military technology. Roth violated the Arms Export Control Act by giving graduate students, one from China and one from Iran, access to sensitive military arms information and by disclosing some of the information in lectures overseas. [AAAS, Jul 8] Don't play with the national security protectors; they have no sense of humor. Small Business, Big Fable. One of the most enduring lies in American politics is the myth of small-business job creation. You probably know it by heart: Small businesses create 60, 70, even 80 percent of all the new jobs in the United States. Back in the 1980s, I was a senior editor at Inc. magazine, where I worked on some of the articles in which some of the seeds of this myth were planted. Up to that point, there was a widespread tendency to conflate the success of the economy with the fortunes of big business, so it was rather useful to have some data highlighting the importance of small firms. By now, however, that analysis of net job creation has been repeated and embellished and oversimplified by so many lobbyists and politicians that it is only a matter of time before the magic number swells to 100 percent of job creation and small businesses will be demanding to be exempted from all taxes, all regulation and the Ten Commandments. [Steve Pearlstein, Washington Post, Jul 8] the "Tennessee Small Business Investment Company Credit Act" ... designed to create a pool of at least $84 million in capital, utilizes a competitive process to select several venture capital funds to make direct investments in small business headquartered in Tennessee. ... a model intended to minimize the expense to the state, provide incentives for participation by venture capital groups, and encourage funds to invest in seed and early stage small businesses in Tennessee within a designated time period. language of the Tennessee Small Business Investment Company Credit Act [SSTI, Jul 1] State funding of Small Business Development Centers across Oregon has been cut by more than half, forcing managers to consider sharp changes in how the business-training program works while scrambling for new money. [The Oregonian, Jul 2] economists are beginning to wonder whether such [state subsidy] initiatives create or save jobs at all. Companies taking advantage of lucrative tax incentives are jumping from state to state—and bringing their jobs with them. ... states are handing out an unprecedented amount of tax incentives at a time when they're living on the federal dole. States, which face a $166 billion budget shortfall this year, together are getting more than $416 billion in government aid. The money is part of the Economic Recovery Act ... The job gains, however, may prove fleeting. In 2002, Ohio lawmakers shelled out $1.7 million in tax incentives to Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) to build an eyeglass manufacturing plant in the state. Wal-Mart shuttered the operation in April, citing the worsening economy, and paid back the money. ... states often use tax breaks to poach jobs from each other. [Jessica Silver-Greenberg, Business Week, July 13] Krepinevich said the military, like many bureaucracies, was in danger of “drinking its own bathwater” and discounting new challenges, including the proliferation of precision-guided weapons and threats from space and cyberspace. ... His essay, The Pentagon’s Wasting Assets, has become essential reading for military and defence officials. ... Although Krepinevich has received encouragement from Gates, his prescription is likely to run into opposition from powerful vested interests. [The Sunday Times, Jul 5] Rockville MD developer Opus East LLC filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy Wednesday, less than two weeks after relinquishing its development rights to a massive business park at Aberdeen Proving Ground, MD (an Army installation where I worked for many years). .... In addition to general market conditions, the company cited $35 million in unpaid wages from GSA for a project it was developing in College Park for NOAA. [Daniel Semovitz, Baltimore Business Journal, Jul 1] Congress had to bribe every business or interest that could afford a competent lobbyist. Carbon permits are valuable, yet the House says only 28% of the allowances would be auctioned off; the rest would be given away. In March, White House budget director Peter Orszag told Congress that "If you didn't auction the permit, it would represent the largest corporate welfare program that has ever been enacted in the history of the United States." Naturally, Democrats did exactly that. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 3] Good news for SBIR: Congress likes corporate welfare. But, since the WSJ op-ed page opposes anything that Democrats do (even things that Republicans do when they have the power), it's hard to tell whether the alleged corporate welfare is just representative democracy in action. Once again, Velazquez with the help of major Wall Street lobbyists have turned this SBIR small business reauthorization into a Wall Street vs Main Street battle, with the deck stacked on the side of the Wall Street special interests such as BIO and NVCA. [Rick Shindell, SBIR Insider, Jul 1] House and Senate still far apart on SBIR re-authorization. Safety in Increments. The cancer institute has spent $105 billion since President Nixon declared war on the disease in 1971. The American Cancer Society, the largest private financer of cancer research, has spent about $3.4 billion on research grants since 1946. Yet the fight against cancer is going slower than most had hoped, with only small changes in the death rate in the almost 40 years since it began. One major impediment, scientists agree, is the grant system itself. It has become a sort of jobs program, a way to keep research laboratories going year after year with the understanding that the focus will be on small projects unlikely to take significant steps toward curing cancer. [Gina Kolata, New York Times, Jun 28] Bureaus, public or private, including legislatures, find comfort in statistics about percent "success"; they do not think like capitalists who want the largest return over the entire investment portfolio. Which is one explanation for SBIR's high "success" and negligible return. NASA will issue the combined STTR/SBIR solicitation (web only) starting at noon Eastern time on July 7. “Opening up the SBIR program is exactly the kind of legislation Congress should be passing to help small businesses create new, good-paying jobs,” said bill sponsor Rep. Sam Graves, R-Mo. [Mass High Tech, Jun 26] Although Republicans don't like corporate subsidies (unless their folks get a piece of the pie), Graves hits on SBIR's problem of paying for a lot of dead-end projects in life-style companies that have no economic future even if the technology worked. Incentives and Relevance. [Presidente] Chávez said that researchers should stop working on "obscure projects," such as whether life exists on Venus, and instead go into the barrios to make themselves useful. The words sent a chill through the scientific community, as did Chávez's comment that his recently appointed minister for science, technology, and intermediate industry, Jesse Chacón Escamillo, should "put the screws" on "feeble scientists" to get better results. .... Chávez's dismissal in April of science minister Nuris Orihuela, a geophysical engineer,and her replacement by Chacón, an engineer and Army lieutenant. [Science, May 29] The next time the world's most selfish lobby comes to Washington demanding drought relief, someone ought to have the good sense to tell them to go pound sand. .... True to form, [the farm lobby] has demanded another boost in his already lavish government subsidies before he'll even consider doing something about global warming. [Steve Pearlstein, Washington Post, Jun 26] No matter how big your present subsidy, demand more! After all, what's a Congress for except to grease squeaking wheels? The board of the Massachusetts Life Sciences Center, a quasi-public agency charged with implementing the state's life sciences initiative, today awarded nearly $1.4 million in research grants to seven scientists whose research ranges from malaria to neural regeneration. Each of the grants will be matched by the scientists' institutions. [Boston Globe, Jun 25, 09] Hogs, Keep Out. Last week the Senate Small Business and Entrepreneurship Committee approved a bill (S.1233) to reauthorize [SBIR] and increase the percentage of their budgets that some federal science agencies must devote to it. The legislation would require annual incremental increases in the percentage set-aside for SBIRs, from the current level of 2.5 percent to 3.5 percent over a 10-year period. Some scientific advocacy groups oppose that part of the bill, saying that SBIR funding should be increased through total agency funding boosts rather than increasing the amount of the set-aside formula. Agencies impacted by the legislation include NIH, NSF, DOE, and Department of Agriculture. [AAAS, Jun 24] The SBIR hogs must believe that if a policy isn't working, we need more of it. Like the Republicans on taxes: whatever the problem tax cuts are the answer, regardless of larger issues, like financial sanity. Aneesh Chopra, who holds the newly-created title of Chief Technology Officer in the Obama Administration, and is also associate director for technology at OSTP, said that his major goal was "economic development using government policy to create business around technology." Chopra said he wants to change how the government looks at its R&D spending, focusing more on technologies that can be developed rather than purely on basic research. Measuring how much research is being commercialized is a key part of this, he noted. [AAAS, Jun 17] If the President is serious about such an objective, SBIR in the mission agencies is in for a big shift. On the other hand, those agencies have seen bright ideas coming from many other geniuses with new White House power. The hard rules will emerge from the Congress's prescriptions and action will depend on the willingness of the White House to pressure the agencies to focus SBIR on Chopra's ideas. But since Congress will try to please everybody and SBIR is too minor to engage the agency heads, don't expect any revolution. CLEARLY, the innovation meeting [invitation-only affair was organized and moderated by John Kao, a former professor at Harvard Business School and founder of the Large Scale Innovation.] in California was a gathering of enthusiasts. ... the main participants were innovation-policy practitioners from nine countries: Australia, Brazil, Britain, Chile, Colombia, Finland, India, Norway and Singapore. ... One view not heard was that innovation policy itself is a mistake — government meddling in decisions best left to the marketplace — as free-market purists contend. [Steve Lohr, New York Times, Jun 21] Give Us More. While the pundits wring their hands about The next great crisis: America's debt (Shawn Tully, Fortune, Jun 22), the SBIR advocates cry for a bigger handout of government money. They just don't hear any call to conserve government spending, nor to maximize the economic return from government investment. Nor do they even show any sign that they understand America's financial dilemma. If there's any justice, Congress will treat them as just another grasping interest group loaded with platitudes. Concluding that the Fed is leading us into inflation assumes a degree of incompetence that I simply don’t buy. ... [The Fed] might miss and produce, say, inflation of 3 percent or 4 percent at the end of the crisis — but not 8 or 10 percent. [Alan Blinder, New York Times, Jun 21] New Albany and TechColumbus have created a business incubator in the village that will widen the organization’s reach in fostering tech development in the region and satisfy the village’s push to step up economic development. .... funded by state grants and private investments. New Albany contributed $750,000 toward its project, which was complemented by $1.5 million from the state’s Third Frontier technology development program. [First Business of Columbus (OH), Jun 18] Rick Shindell - aka SBIR Insider - has an excellent review of the bidding in the SBIR re-authorization game. Much negotiation to go. The government's massive intervention has shifted the way companies do business. Many are now are competing on the basis of their ability to tap government money, opening a divide between the gets and get-nots. [Wall Street Journal, Jun 15] Sounds like the SBIR scramble for money. Tax Revenue Drought, Services Demand Storm. States face a cumulative shortfall of $230 billion from this year through 2011, and there is little sign in bailout-weary Washington of any attempt to create yet another aid program to solve that problem. .... So far, 42 U.S. states have slashed enacted budgets to cope with rising demand for services and plunging revenue, according to the National Governors Association. About half have also raised taxes. Those policies run counter to Washington's efforts to prime the economic pump, [Jonathan Weisman, Wall Street Journal, Jun 15] The gap is a natural consequence of the competitive bidding wars among interests in representative legislatures. This month, the Supreme Court agreed to reconsider what can be patented. At stake are tens of thousands of existing patents and a rethinking of why we have patent protections in the first place. ... patent law is at the shifting tectonic plate between the fading Industrial Age and today's Information Age. ... As one Silicon Valley lawyer says, "Unlike in the Industrial Revolution, many of today's inventions would not hurt if you dropped them on your foot." ... Studies indicate that aside from the chemical and pharmaceutical industries, the cost of litigation now exceeds the profits companies generate from licensing patents. [LG Crovitz, Wall Street Journal, Jun 15] Science wins one over mythology. Anti-Evolution Bills Die in Texas Legislature. One would have required the State Board of Education to reinsert language on so-called "weaknesses" of scientific theories into the state science standards. The other would have paved the way for the Institute for Creation Research to offer its master's degree in science education, a proposal which was rejected by a state higher education board. [AAAS, Jun 10] Obama's Cancer Plan Faces Opposition. During a hearing last week, House Appropriations Chairman David Obey (D-WI) said that he opposes dedicating extra money to cancer research on the grounds that lawmakers should not pick and choose one disease over others. President Obama hopes to double the cancer research budget over eight years. "The result will be political chaos in an area that ought to be determined by science," Obey said. [AAAS, Jun 10] It used to be that Senators favored research in the diseases of white men; then the Army suddenly developed programs for breast cancer. But politics should determine where public research money will be spent. If the research agencies have a great idea on how to allocate research spending, let them convince the public's representatives who have to raise the money. Biotech Dreams, Economic Realities. At $500 million and counting, the Biopolis, officially called the North Carolina Research Campus, is a product of a national race to attract the biotechnology industry, a current grail of economic development. Cities like Shreveport, La., and Huntsville, Ala., are also gambling millions in taxpayer dollars on if-we-build-it-they-will-come research parks and wet laboratories, which hold the promise of low-pollution workplaces and high salaries. At a recent global biotech convention in Atlanta, 27 states, including Hawaii and Oklahoma, paid as much as $100,000 each to entice companies on the exhibition floor. All this for a highly risky industry that has turned a profit only one year in the past four decades. .... First, the industry is highly concentrated in established epicenters like Boston, San Diego and San Francisco, which offer not just scientific talent but also executives who know how to steer drugs through the arduous approval process. ... Second, biotech is a relatively tiny industry with a lengthy product-development process, and even in its largest clusters offers only a fraction of the jobs of traditional manufacturing. [Shaila Dewan, New York Times, Jun 11] No matter the economics, the politicians are not putting up their own money as they peddle dreams. Just like the economic nonsense peddled for SBIR. Throw Money at the Economy and Energy 46 Energy Frontier Research Centers (EFRCs) that DOE hopes will bridge the gap between basic and applied work in energy research. Eight years in the making, the $777 million program will support 1100 scientists working in interdisciplinary groups examining everything from making lighting more efficient to using photosynthesis to create new fuels derived from solar energy. [Science, May 8] Stand by for feeding frenzy. I think the best thing for the small business community is to inundate NIH with an overwhelming barrage of high quality research proposals, says Jonathan in Fred Patterson's blog on the issue of NIH not allocating the nominal 2.5% of the stimulus money to SBIR. The SBIR community weeps over every slight to their cherished "fair share" of federal money. But high quality research is merely necessary for SBIR success, not sufficient. No good case can be made for pushing money into research firms that have no prospects for future profitable technology. The only competitive advantage small business has is market agility which is irrelevant for mere high quality research. Only If Government Pays. A windmill doesn't make economic sense, even though this poor entrepreneur is gouged 19 cents per kilowatt-hour from his utility. A 121-foot, 100-kilowatt turbine from Northern Power runs $500,000, installed. The air at Driscoll's site on Long Island Sound is so still that the average output would come to only 18% of peak output, meaning that the juice would be worth $30,000 a year. It's hard to cover the interest on a $500,000 loan with a $30,000 annual payback. ... So taxpayers are going to buy the turbine for him. Or 83% of it, anyway. Driscoll's firm, Phoenix Press, is getting a $263,000 grant from the Connecticut Clean Energy Fund, plus another $150,000 from President Obama's renewable energy honeypot. [Jonathan Fahey, Forbes, Jun 22] Why not? Uneconomical technology is perfect for government subsidy where politics trumps economics. Just look at all the junque funded in SBIR. With less money to spend on risky endeavors, many states are taking more targeted approaches toward economic development, seeking out sectors of the economy they consider most likely to grow and be sustainable beyond current conditions. [SSTI, Jun 4] a pair of new [EPA] studies expose ethanol as a bad deal for consumers with little environmental benefit. The biofuels industry already receives a 45 cent tax credit for every gallon of ethanol produced, or about $3 billion a year. Meanwhile, import tariffs of 54 cents a gallon and an ad valorem tariff of four to seven cents a gallon keep out sugar-based ethanol from Brazil and the Caribbean. The federal 10% blending requirement insures a market for ethanol whether consumers want it or not -- a market Congress has mandated will double to 20.5 billion gallons in 2015. [Wall Street Journal, Jun 2] Missing in the usual anti-government diatribe is recognition that ethanol's prime advantage is replacing oil imports for national security. Where are the strident Republican voices on national security? Gotta Cut Something. Less than a year after state and industry officials heralded the enactment of the $1 billion, 10-year life sciences bill as a step toward positioning Massachusetts as a sector leader, one of more than 700 proposed amendments to the Senate version of the 2010 state budget sought to kill the program. [Mass High Tech, May 29] Money on the Table; Proposals by the Truckload. Steven Chu, secretary of the US Department of Energy, urged scientists to volunteer to review new energy projects to assure the wise investments that will help create jobs, improve energy efficiency, support advanced US vehicles, and more. Chu stated the need for three or four hundred quality reviewers in various programs during the next six months to evaluate applications for funding. Chu cited President Obama's national goal of devoting more than 3 percent of the nation's gross domestic product (GDP) to help boost public and private R&D, surpassing the level reached at the height of the space race in 1964. Read more and access a video of the comments. [AAAS, May 19] Anti-Evolution Bills Fail in Three More States. Anti-evolution bills have not fared well during 2009 legislative sessions. Bills in Alabama, Missouri and Oklahoma recently became the latest to expire with the end of their respective legislative sessions. [AAAS, May 28] Bribes in Kalamazoo. High-tech start-ups are increasingly setting up shop in places previously not known for attracting high-tech firms. A number of cities, such as Kalamazoo, Mich., and Toledo, Ohio, are offering grant money and tax breaks to high-tech start-ups, just as the usual venture-capital hot spots, such as Silicon Valley and Boston, continue to see a pullback in venture lending. Many of the nontraditional cities require that start-ups receiving grants invest in their area, leaving companies little choice but to locate -- or relocate -- their businesses. .... "In the last 90 days, we've seen 50 or 60" start-ups that are willing to relocate in order to secure funding, says Ron Kitchens, chief executive of Southwest Michigan First, a privately funded economic-development company based in Kalamazoo [Simona Covel, Wall Street Journal, May 26] A Madison venture capitalist will be nominated by President Barack Obama to be chief counsel for advocacy at the SBA. Winslow Sargeant, a managing director at Madison-based Venture Investors LLC, would have the job of protecting, strengthening and representing the nation's small businesses in the federal government's legislative and rule-making processes, Venture Investors said Friday. ... He was previously the program manager for the NSF's SBIR in electronics, and before that co-founded Aanetcom, a semiconductor chip start-up. [Kathleen Gallagher, Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, May 22] PhD Employment Program. In real terms, Holdren said, the enacted 2009 budget and the proposed 2010 budget are among the two largest R&D investments in US history. The proposed $147.6 billion for R&D represents "a real-dollar turnaround in federal research investments across the spectrum of the sciences and engineering," according to the fact sheet from OSTP, which organized the budget briefing. [AAAS, May 19] Why Government Can't Run a Business. Politicians need headlines. Executives need profits. [John Steele Gordon, Wall Street Journal, May 20] Which is also why programs like SBIR, that show no economic benefit, survive. The dropoff in biotech investing could hit Massachusetts particularly hard. Governor Deval Patrick, who championed a $1 billion life sciences initiative approved by the Legislature last year, has made the industry a key part of his economic development plans. By most rankings, the state's cluster of biotechnology companies is second in size only to the San Diego area. [Scott Kirsner, Boston Globe, May 9, 09] The global recession and tight credit conditions have cast a chill on the solar-power industry after years of breakneck growth, and could usher in long-term changes in the industry. Banks have curtailed financing for major solar projects, and Spain -- the world's second-largest solar-power market after Germany -- has slashed subsidies for the industry, leading to sharply lower demand for solar cells. Sales of the tiny chips that convert the sun's rays into electricity are expected to drop by at least 20% this year. [Leila Abboud, Wall Street Journal, May 11] [Ian Bremmer in "State Capitalism Comes of Age: The End of the Free Market?" , Foreign Affairs] says, correctly, that state capitalism "has introduced massive inefficiencies into global markets and injected populist politics into economic decision-making," that "deeper state intervention in an economy means that bureaucratic waste, inefficiency and corruption are more likely to hold back growth," and that politicians tend to develop stimulus packages with their constituencies, not economic efficiencies, in mind. Therefore, he says, the state must eventually retreat. He probably is wrong because he underestimates the pleasure politicians derive from using their nation's wealth as a slush fund for purchasing political advantage. [George Will, Washington Post, May 10] A Power Too Far. Cars powered by hydrogen fuel cells, once hailed by President George W. Bush as a pollution-free solution for reducing the nation’s dependence on foreign oil, will not be practical over the next 10 to 20 years, the energy secretary said Thursday, and the government will cut off funds for the vehicles’ development. [Matthew Wald, New York Times, May 8] Too bad; it made such good political speeches - miraculous promises that could never be delivered. Like The fight against poverty produces great programs but disappointing results. ... you look at the results from the serious evaluations and you find that these inspiring places are only producing incremental gains. [David Brooks, New York Times, May 8] Not to worry, though, the Grey Lady Times is unlikely to report a minor-league program like SBIR as such a program. Prizes vs. Funding. Call it crowd-sourcing; call it open innovation; call it behavioral economics and applied psychology; it's a prescription for progress that is transforming philanthropy. In fields from manned spaceflight to the genetics of aging, prizes may soon rival traditional research grants as a spur to innovation. "... Critics, though, dismiss the newest trend in prize-giving as a form of advertising that masquerades as public service -- and a clever ploy to attract top research talent at a discount. [Wall Street Journal, May 8] Prizes do reduce the chances for pork funding at specified locations. [The Member of Congress] cited a plan to eliminate an early childhood education program called Even Start, which the Obama administration has called ineffective. [Washington Posit, May 8] Where would SBIR be if "effective" were a dominant criterion for its existence? On April 27, the Department of Energy issued the first solicitation for research proposals to be supported as part of the Advanced Research Projects Agency – Energy (ARPA-E). ARPA-E was created by the America COMPETES Act (P.L. 110-69) as a mechanism for investing in "transformational" energy research and technology development. Concept papers may be submitted starting May 12 but not later than June 2, 2009. Full applications will be due within 31 days after notification of approval of a concept paper. [AAAS] Obama's detailed 2010 budget plan will propose to eliminate or consolidate 121 domestic and defense programs to save $17 billion, administration officials said. [Wall Street Journal, May 7] Fat chance! Every one of those programs have stout defenders, and Congress given a choice between a deficit and killing those defenders will choose deficit. smaller parts of government are already operating on bare-bones budgets. Ronald Reagan and both George Bushes found out they could not make significant cuts without significant harm. So the policy of the Republicans is to run on a platform [big tax cuts and big spending cuts]that cannot be accomplished. During the Reagan and Bush years they ran up $10 trillion dollars of debt trying to deliver on this nonworkable policy. Unfortunately for the GOP, it still thinks going back to this policy is the answer. I don't think the American people will buy it another time. [John Gorgiton, Wall Street Journal, May 7] Where's Our Share? [the U.S. Business & Industry Council ] calls Pres. Obama to task for what they view as his "almost complete neglect of the cascading crisis in domestic manufacturing, while his economic team focuses obsessively on the financial industry." ... "To date, your economic team's approach seems to be trillions for banks, but hardly a dime for manufacturing. You save wrong-doing financial houses from failure, but send good-faith, if sometimes poorly run, manufacturing companies into bankruptcy -- a formula for disaster."-[Industry Week, May 6] Religious Politics and Science. On April 23, in a close vote, the Republican-controlled Oklahoma state Senate sustained Democratic Governor Brad Henry's veto of a bill that would have criminalized the conduct of any form of embryonic stem research in the state. Gov. Henry had vetoed the bill, which had been presented as a pro-life measure, after it was approved overwhelmingly by both houses of the legislature. [AAAS, May 6] Should federal science agencies declare that federal science funds will not be sent to a state that opposes science? SBA has implemented only two of the eight provisions that were included in the economic stimulus bill to boost lending to small firms. On March 16, the SBA eliminated fees on the agency’s 7(a) and 504 loans, and increased the maximum government guarantee on 7(a) loans from 85 percent to 90 percent. The actions have stimulated SBA lending; the agency is approving28 percent more loans each week than it was before the changes. [Kent Hoover, The Business Review (Albany), Apr 28] The President is waiting to hear from you. kind of. OSTP has just opened a new blog and is open to receiving your comments on S&T issues. You'll find it at http://blog.ostp.gov/ [SBIR Insider, Apr 30] All in all, with a few exceptions, this [House SB Committee] hearing was a disappointment, mainly a myopic rehash on last year's Small Business Committee's VC/NIH dominated themes. With an all or nothing approach on the VC issue, there is likely not to be an SBIR reauthorization. [SBIR Insider, Apr 30] MIT and the UMass are among 46 newly-established "Energy Frontier Research Centers" across the nation being partially funded by federal stimulus dollars. Three groups of local researchers -- two at MIT and one at UMass-Amherst -- will receive between $30 million and $75 million in total over the next five years as part of an effort to spur scientific breakthroughs, federal officials said. [Erin Ailworth, Boston Globe, Apr 29, 09] SBIR Love Fest. When asked what time it is, he explained how the clock works. In testimony before the House SB Committee, DOD's SBIR manager/coordinator said next to nothing about what DOD has achieved toward SBIR goals in more than two decades. The NIH coordinator hinted that VC participation (codeword=flexibility) is important for health related innovation to get to market. The big difference is that DOD doesn't care about post-SBIR economic success. The DOEnergy manager said he didn't have money to explore program payoff. SBA reported "success" that would get any VC fired. Lynntech (College Station, TX; 400+ SBIR Projects) said it is the largest SBIR contractor in the State and one of the largest in the country. It is fair to say that we have found the program to be beneficial for our company. Having taken down zillions in free capital, Lynntech further says: Government is not well-organized to assist in the transition effort. That is: a new government handout program to help us pretend that the $100+M poured into our company has long term economic payoff. All of which would trigger a revitalization of the SBIR program and continue to improve an already stellar level of performance. The whole show avoided any hard questions about what SBIR is supposed to do and why it is even needed. Without a fixed, long-term, durable price on carbon, none of the Obama clean-tech initiatives will achieve the scale needed to have an impact on climate change or make America the leader it must be in the next great industrial revolution: E.T., or energy technology. At this stage, I’d settle for any carbon price mechanism — cap and trade, fee-bates, carbon tax and/or gasoline tax — as long as it real and provides consumers and investors a long-term incentive to shift to clean cars, appliances and buildings. [Tom Friedman, NY Times, Apr 26] In a nod to emerging dangers, as well as his political constituencies, Mr. Gates said the department planned to keep financing research meant to improve existing defenses against rogue states — a threat, he added, that “North Korea’s missile launch this past weekend reminds us is real.” [William Broad, NY Times, Apr 26] Don't Tax You, Don't Tax Me; Tax that guy behind the tree. like most small-business owners, Johnson reports her profit on her personal tax return. In a typical year, she and her husband make more than $500,000, according to her accountant, a figure that throws them squarely into the ranks of the richest Americans -- and makes them a prime target for the Obama administration's tax policy. ... "You hear 'tax the rich,' and you think, 'I don't make that much money,' " said Johnson ... Republicans argue that those who fall into the upper brackets tend to be firms with the greatest capacity for job creation. ... But government services "can't be paid for equally by everyone," he said. "It's a big burden, but we're fortunate to be successful." [L Montgomery & VD Haynes, Wash Post, Apr 27] And be sure to keep those subsidy programs rolling, like SBIR, that give SBs the free income to be rich. President Obama has selected Aneesh Chopra as the nation's first Chief Technology Officer, a new White House position. His purview will be overall national technology policy, including technology innovation. The position will not be part of OSTP, and how its responsibilities will relate to OSTP's is not yet clear. Chopra has been serving as Virginia's Secretary of Technology [AAAS, Apr 22] What is SBIR for? Aurora Flight Sciences (Manassas, VA; at least $7M SBIR) reports it has landed a NASA Phase 2 SBIR to develop a method for conducting multiple-spacecraft maneuvers to more efficiently synthesize astronomical images. ... will share the grant with the MIT Space Systems Laboratory, and will collaborate with the lab. [Mass High Tech, Apr 21, 09] Says the company: For twenty years Aurora's entrepreneurial culture has created an environment where innovative ideas turn into reality in the form of new aerospace vehicles. And we have only just begun! The company websites boasts more than $80.6 million of SBIR-related work for government agencies. and Bell Helicopter selected Aurora as the airframe provider of the Bell Eagle Eye UAS. A month later, Aurora broke ground for a permanent Columbus, MS manufacturing facility at the Golden Triangle Regional Airport. The company currently has more UAS development projects underway than at any other time in its history. and in 2004 had 270 employees and growing. All of which raises the SBIR question: when does a company graduate from the nursery? Or is the government using SBIR to fund contracts in established companies that would easily compete for open procurement? Depending on Government. Why are sane people trying to convert $2.70 of soybean oil into $1.50 of bus fuel? They thought they had a deal with Congress. ... The problem: economics. To make a gallon of biodiesel you start with a gallon of edible oil (palm, rapeseed or soybean) that costs, say, $2.70 today, then spend another 80 cents or so on transportation and additives. Biodiesel competes with petroleum diesel, priced around $1.50 wholesale. The biofuel gets a $1 federal subsidy. Still, it's hard to get buyers to pay $3.50, or even $2.50, for something when the alternative is $1.50. ... Imperium has stayed alive by striking a deal to store another firm's biodiesel in tanks at Grays Harbor. It hopes to get a contract from a Hawaiian utility. Imperium also produced fuel for an agribusiness concern that sold most of the fuel in Europe. That contract ended when Europe enacted a steep tariff on imported U.S. biodiesel in March. [Rebecca Buckman, Forbes, Apr 29] When private companies depend on subsidies, success depends on politics, not on economics. Which is why SBIR still lives. A state-backed bioscience organization and the Ohio Department of Development are hosting three career fairs: Cleveland – April 22; Cincinnati – May 14; Columbus – May 27. To pre-register and get more details on the fairs, click here. [Dayton Business Journal, Apr 17] I'm standing by my prediction that April 27th (the Challenge Grant due date) will be the Grants.gov Armageddon. [Fred Patterson, SBIR Coach] Don't dally, hints Fred. I've even created a special URL to take you quickly to my SBIR Coach wesbsite's SBIR Reauthorization section: www.SBIRreauthorization.com. [Fred Patterson] Something More for Every Taste. The 2009 omnibus budget, which includes nine unfinished appropriations bills from last year, was approved by Congress and signed into law by President Barack Obama in March. R&D funding will increase by $6.8 billion, or 4.7 percent over 2008, after several years in which funding declined in real terms. Every federal R&D agency will receive increased funds, with the biggest boosts allocated to energy, health, and education. [AAAS, Apr 17] All the beneficiaries will see the undoubted merit of such an increase. Technology startups are likely to miss out on stimulus funds as the $787 billion federal economic stimulus intends to favor “shovel-ready” projects that can produce immediate, though temporary, jobs. ... Startups say they need long-term financing to test their technologies at scale, build factories and move their scientific breakthroughs to market more quickly. The $6 billion in stimulus money that will fund new loan guarantees could help, but that’s not assured either. [Lindsay Riddell, San Francisco Business Times, Apr 17] a small pilot program in DOD that seeks to find and engage new or “non-traditional” companies, engineers, innovators, and scientists. We want them to provide their best ideas and build prototypes to help DOD resolve some high priority needs. ... DefenseSolutions.gov that identifies the needs ... After the best ideas are selected, we will use a funding mechanism called Other Transactions, the government's version of a commercial contract. ... to rapidly produce functioning prototypes ... funding for a project to be in the $300-500K range for 1-2 years [DOD's Dave Edwards via SBIR Coach Fred Patterson, Apr 16] In other words, DOD wants fast answers on crucial topics but doesn't want to use SBIR (wonder why?). Army had such a program before SBIR, called Advanced Concepts Team, which never got enough high level attention to overcome bureaucratic obstacles. This one may come a cropper also on procurement rules that Army apparently thinks it can run around. Wait until the losing proposers start to complain. Fast and good is great, but favoritism and running out of money before the best proposals show up could well cut the efficiency dramatically. The Army could make it work if it had a single decider with a deal that hyper-good proposals will get funded from some available pool. Unfortunately, it would take a saint for a manager with backing from flexible seniors who stay around long enough to care about results. But the frequent shift of Army officers dims long term prospects for staying power. Go to it, Army, but we'll see how much enthusiasm remains three years from now. I hope the Army publishes the list of winners as they occur. Should we also observe that the need for such a program says that Army doesn't know how to use SBIR to get new ideas going. They could, for example, have had a Surprises and Opportunities SBIR topic. Says Mr. [TJ] Rodgers, "First, Sarbanes-Oxley mandated byzantine corporate bureaucracy to 'protect' investors. Then, the SEC damaged the Silicon Valley economy by forcing companies to count stock options twice, both as dilution and as expense. As a result, Silicon Valley, for decades the bright spot of the American economy, produced only one [initial public offering] in all of 2008. Now, Geithner wants to regulate venture capital firms to protect us some more. It's like watching children deface an economic work of art." [James Freeman, Wall Street Journal, Apr 9] On Treasury soundings on treating VC funds as hedge funds. Rice Bowls Talk. Within minutes of the budget's release, Republican Senators were speaking out against the missile defense cuts as irresponsible in the wake of North Korea's missile test last weekend. There are also concerns about the loss of jobs that could result from the cuts. While congress is likely to push back against some of Gates's plan, he did win the support of longtime procurement-reform advocate John McCain. [Foreign Policy, Apr 7] What's good for (your state here) must be necessary for America. NASA started an SBIR Quarterly Newsletter The Concept with the usual inward-looking multisyllabic language and pictures of NASA bureaucrats. Free e-mail subscriptions available, worth every penny. No hint of any economic value or return, more evidence that the mission agencies just don't care about SBIR's economic goals. It does list the e-mails of the Technology Infusion Managers, but not the names and numbers of the people who make the real decisions about SBIR awards. The Technology Innovation Program (TIP) has scheduled 3 additional public meetings (Proposers' Conferences) for those interested in applying for research funding under this year's competition. These Proposers' Conferences are scheduled on Monday, April 13, in Boston, Massachusetts; on Wednesday, April 15, in Detroit, Michigan; and on Friday, April 17, in San Jose, California. These are in addition to the previously announced Proposers' Conference on Wednesday, April 8, in Gaithersburg, Maryland. For details on times, locations and registration information see www.nist.gov/tip/comp_09/2009_proposers_conferences.html. P.L. 111-8 made NIH's open access policy permanent. The provision reads in full: "Sec. 217. The Director of the National Institutes of Health ('NIH') shall require in the current fiscal year and thereafter that all investigators funded by the NIH submit or have submitted for them to the National Library of Medicine's PubMed Central an electronic version of their final, peer-reviewed manuscripts upon acceptance for publication, to be made publicly available no later than 12 months after the official date of publication: Provided, That the NIH shall implement the public access policy in a manner consistent with copyright law." This is a change from the existing policy that went into effect last year, whereby the open access requirement was subject to annual renewal by Congress. Rep. John Conyers (D-MI) is planning legislation that would overturn the newly adopted policy. [AAAS, Apr 1] AMRI up 10%% [Mar 31, 09] Buying Experience. The Army's latest list of Phase II SBIR selections featured multiple awards to companies who already have had multiple, multiple awards. One company that has already had something over $250M in SBIR from at least 760 projects got nine new Phase IIs. Four awards went to a company with 445 projects funded at least in Phase I and probably half that in Phase II. Four went to a company with 400 projects. Three went to a company with 276 projects. Three went to a company with 227 projects. Three went to a company with 117 projects. Three went to a company with 101 projects. One went to a company with 114 projects. Etc, etc. These are the types of companies that wail big tears when Congress wants to let in more money from VCs as indicators that technology success will have a future. But the advocates ignore the problem as they focus on theoretical arguments how SBIR is critical to American innovation while tons of actually innovative companies are crowded out by these SBIR junkies. Because of lax oversight, undeserving companies collected millions in federal contracts from an $8 billion government program designated for small businesses in poor neighborhoods, congressional investigators charge. The SBA repeatedly failed to verify paperwork and conduct audits to weed out sham firms claiming to have main offices in economically distressed areas, the GAO said in a report released last week, raising questions about an agency seeking to take a greater role in helping business owners stave off job losses. [Hope Yen, AP, Mar 28] [Texas Board of Education] members also deleted a reference to the scientific consensus that the universe is nearly 14 billion years old. The board's chairman has said he believes God created the universe fewer than 10,000 years ago. [Stephanie Simon, Wall Street Journal, Mar 28] Looks like he can't separate his religious beliefs from his duty to science education. If his belief isn't testable, it doesn't belong in science education. Biotech drugs that now cost thousands of dollars a month would have to compete with lower-cost generic versions after just five years on the market under a new congressional proposal. ... The proposal from Sen. Charles Schumer, D-N.Y., and Susan Collins, R-Maine, suggests generic drug makers are gaining traction for their long-sought goal: a speedy, low-cost pathway to market for generic biotech. [Matthew Perrone, AP, Mar 27] A group of Oregon investors and entrepreneurs, upset at the pace of public investment in startup companies, plans a rally today to launch a grass-roots effort to shake $100 million loose from the Oregon Investment Fund. .. However, the investment fund's managers warn that a series of rapid investments wouldn't generate the long-term return the Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund requires. The state treasurer's office says those funds are committed, and it can't use retirement funds for economic development efforts anyway. [Matthew Rogoway, The Oregonian, Mar 19] The Technology Innovation Program (TIP) of NIST is seeking proposals for high-risk, high-reward research projects in two areas of Critical National Need: Civil Infrastructure and Manufacturing. ... expects to award $25 million in first-year funding. For more information, see http://www.nist.gov/public_affairs/releases/20090326_tip_2009_comp_announce.htm. Religion-Based Science. Controversy is brewing over language that the [Texas] Senate Finance Committee put into its proposed budget Monday that would bar state funds from being used for embryonic stem-cell research. ... The language "would effectively bar some of Texas' top researchers from the state's universities and laboratories," said Sen. Kirk Watson, D-Austin. [Jason Embry, Austin American Statesman, Mar 25] Naturally, the religious objectors don't care that Texas science would be a place for scientists to avoid if science questions cannot be pursued to their fullest discovery of the laws of nature. Texas is already brewing again a religion-based treatment of evolution in its so-called science textbooks. Policymakers believe a dangerous myth. They think that start-up companies are a magic bullet that will transform depressed economic regions, generate innovation, create jobs, and conduct all sorts of other economic wizardry. So they provide people with transfer payments, loans, subsidies, regulatory exemptions, and tax benefits if they start businesses. Any businesses. ... Encouraging more and more people to start businesses won’t enhance economic growth or create a lot of jobs because start-ups, in general, aren’t the source of our economic vitality or job creation. ... To get more economic growth by having more start-ups, new companies would need to be more productive than existing companies. But they’re not. ... Very few people work in new firms. Companies with at least one employee that are less than two years old account for only 1 percent of all employment in the United States, according to analysis published in Regional Studies by economists Zoltan Acs and Catherine Armington. By contrast, companies with at least one employee that are more than ten years old account for 60 percent of all employment in this country. ... Far from being job creators, as a whole, new firms have net job destruction after their first year. .... We need to reallocate resources to programs that support high-growth companies. For instance, we could shift money into the SBIR Program, which requires federal government agencies to set aside a portion of their budgets to support commercially viable R&D projects at small companies. The recipients of these funds are much more likely than the typical start-up to contribute to economic growth and to create jobs. [The American, Dec 08] “Keynes at home and Smith abroad” The new faith in global governance is mostly wishful thinking. The G20 is unlikely to be more than a chat forum given to non-binding pledges. Even in the improbable event of a Doha conclusion any time soon, it will not contain protectionism: what is on the table is a very low common denominator and a dog’s breakfast of loopholes and exemptions. Given their records, it is not a good idea to place too much faith and too many resources in the World Bank and the Fund. As for most organisations in the UN system, they are dysfunctional bureaucracies run for the benefit of the elites of poor countries and well-heeled consultants from rich countries. [Razeen Sallly, Financial Times, Mar 19] The North Carolina Biotechnology Center has dedicated $2.6 million to help turn research ideas into new medical devices and medicines. [Raleigh News 7 Observer, Mar 18] Brief Extension. The House and the Senate compromised to extend the SBIR Program and other SBA small business programs until July 31, 2009 [SBIR Insider, Mar 16] Ann Eskesen's Innovation Development Institute reports the following SBIR stats: $26B cumulative funding to 17000 firms which got 67000 patents and supported 450,000 employees. Which no doubt impresses fans of input figures. Ann has put tons of work into advocating SBIR and collecting data about it. And she is somehow getting enough support from subscriptions to keep the service going. Techno-jolt. The economic stimulus package should generate an estimated $101.2 billion in technology spending over the next five years, according to an estimate from IDC, a Framingham firm that focuses on global market intelligence. .... includes spending on both information technology as well as spending on such technology as smart meters, in-home display devices, energy management systems, and renewable energy technologies surrounding wind and solar power, [Chris Reidy, Boston Globe, Mar 17] Cable and big phone companies have a message for federal officials overseeing $7.2 billion in stimulus money set aside for new high-speed Internet lines: Don't subsidize upstarts planning to compete with existing broadband services. [Amy Schatz, Wall Street Journal, Mar 17] Obama freed billions of dollars to help the nation's small businesses on Monday, hoping to get credit flowing again to Main Street, and showered praise on the little guys of American industry. .... spend up to $15 billion to buy the small-business loans that are now choking community banks and lenders. [AP, Mar 17] inconceivable, unconscionable and inexcusable is how SSTI describes Congress's apparent state of non-play on renewing SBIR which officially expires next week. Actually what expires is the legal mandate, since the agencies are free to continue doing SBIR if they choose with whatever rules they invent. SBTC urges all small companies involved in heath care innovations to follow the lead of the Maryland companies and contact Congress to protest this unfair and unwise move by NIH (of getting itself exempted from SBIR for a stimulus add-on) especially since SBTC claims that a recent independent study calculated that the SBIR Program delivers about one-fourth of the most important technological innovations -- including health care innovations -- in the U.S. each year. [SBTC web page] Who's In Charge of What? nodialtone writes with a Reuters report that Rod Beckstrom, director of the National Cybersecurity Center (NCSC), has tendered his resignation, citing clashes between the NCSC and the NSA with regard to who handles the nation's online security efforts. In his resignation letter (PDF), he made the point that "The intelligence culture is very different than a network operations or security culture," and said he wasn't willing to "subjugate the NCSC underneath the NSA." He also complained of budget roadblocks which kept the NCSC from receiving more than five weeks of funding in the past year. Wired has a related story from late February which discusses comments from Admiral Dennis Blair, director of National Intelligence, who thinks cyber security should be the NSA's job to begin with. [slashdot.org, Mar 7] Florida has decided to make a Texas-style bet on biotechnology. The strategy: entice world-class centers of biomedical research to establish local campuses. The Scripps Research Institute, where I am an adjunct professor, was the first taker: the La Jolla-based Institute was promised more than $500 million in state and county funds to launch a campus near Palm Beach. After several years of intense public discussion, a site was selected in Jupiter. The new campus was inaugurated on Thursday, a beautiful state-of-the-art biomedical research facility that will house over 600 researchers. .... Scripps Florida will soon be joined by a cousin from Germany, a branch of the famed Max Planck Research Institute. The Burnham Institute for Medical Research will open a campus in Orlando, while the Torrey Pines Institute for Molecular Studies will construct a facility in Port St. Lucie. In all, the state and counties will spend more than $1 billion to build international leadership in biomedical research. [William Haseltine, theatlantic.com, Mar 3] Fatter FAR Coming. Since every provision in the Federal Acquisition Regulations is designed to fix a problem, look for even more such provisions after President Barack Obama plans to change how government contracts are awarded and who can earn them, a move his aides say would save taxpayers about $40 billion a year by making the process more competitive. [Phillip Elliott, AP, Mar 4] New presidents love to attack contracting problems, until they realize that the real problem is the Congressional desire to pass out money to favored constituencies. Time Left Until SBIR Expires: 15 days, says SBTC. Most Americans believe small business, science and tech leaders will lead the U.S. to a better future, says SBTC also, which is probably true, but that doesn't mean that SBIR is an efficient way to reach that future. Trouble Sign. President Barack Obama said Tuesday that Wall Street has been hammered so hard that "buying stocks is a potentially good deal,". .... The stock market slipped ever lower, and Republicans suggested Obama was "cooking the books" in rosy recovery predictions. [AP, Mar 3] A big sign of real trouble is a president's recommending the buying of stocks because jawboning stocks does not work and looks like a sign of desperation. And the Republicans have nothing but chutzpah to complain of rosy scenarios. More Nimble Military Technology US defense expert Paul G. Kaminsky stressed the need for reforms in military technology development, noting that it can take up to 20 years to develop a missile or aircraft at today’s pace. This compares with more crisp acquisition in the past, including the three-year development of ICBMs in the 1960s and the four-year development of the F-117 stealth aircraft in the early 1980s. Read about the keys to rapid deployment of systems, including development planning and enhanced S&T education, presented at the January briefing co-organized by AAAS and the Center for Media and Security. [AAAS, Feb 23] No Help, Please. Hundreds of the country's venture capitalists this past month blogged against or otherwise rejected proposals that the U.S. government fund early-stage investing. ... They rightly brag that almost 20% of U.S. gross domestic product is generated by companies built by venture capital, such as Intel, Apple and Google. .... "The top venture firms don't want, don't need and are never going to take government money. The same is true of the top entrepreneurs," Fred Wilson of New York's Union Square Ventures wrote on his blog. "The worst firms, on the other hand, will gladly accept government money," which would go to investors who can't raise funds privately and to entrepreneurs whose ideas shouldn't be funded. "It's a problem of adverse selection." .... The lesson of accepting government involvement often is something ventured, nothing gained. [Wall Street Journal, Mar 2] Companies with poor prospects for profitable markets can always approach government programs that fund mediocrity - like SBIR. Obama wants to spend a 10-year total of $630 billion for a downpayment on a government takeover of the healthcare system, green the nation’s energy economy, make college education an entitlement and otherwise heavily involve the federal government in an education system that until now has been under the control of local and state governments. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Mar 1] Alleged Fraud. Federal investigators are accusing a University of Florida professor and three members of his family of fraudulently receiving millions of dollars from NASA and then funneling money to their personal bank accounts, court documents show. .... the university’s Innovative Nuclear Space Power and Propulsion Institute ... According to court documents, Dr. Anghaie and his family members set up a company called New Era Technology (Gainesville, FL; $2.5+M SBIR) ... Court documents assert that the company submitted fraudulent proposals to NASA for research contracts. As a result, the company received several NASA contracts. The company is also accused of submitting fraudulent invoices to NASA for hours it said were worked by employees. ... Dr. Anghaie has served on and been the chairman of several research advisory boards and review panels for the National Research Council, NASA, and the Departments of Energy and Defense. Results of Dr. Anghaie’s research have been published in more than 500 papers and reports. [AP, Feb 27, 09] Free Lunch. Obama enthusiastically perpetuates the myth that the American people can have everything they want without a dose of shared sacrifice. They can have health care, education reform, even a cure for cancer, and 98 percent of them need pay nothing. The burdens of progress will be borne by the rich while everyone else can enjoy their tax cuts and go shopping. ... the same old [Congressional] chairmen habituated by the same old interest groups will dominate everything. ... Obama blew a mighty trumpet, but after you blow the trumpet, you actually have to charge. [David Brooks, New York Times, Feb 27] Unfortunately for all the people who want the President to work magic, that's not what the founders gave us for a government. They built a legislative government in which the president is not even directly elected by the people. And we demand that our legislators tell us what we want to hear. Democrats who have spent recent weeks moaning about centrist appointments and attempts at outreach to Republicans should hang their heads in shame. This is the budget they have been dreaming about for years. [Clive Crook, Financial Times, Feb 27] Mice at Work, Last week, in a midnight "slight of hand" by special interests, SBIR & STTR were expressly stricken from the NIH portion of the stimulus bill, effectively removing almost $250 million in SBIR/STTR award funding. [SBIR Insider, Feb 24] The usual advocates call for action to save SBIR.
Missing from this legislation is anything more than token support for the long-proven source of most new jobs and new growth in America: entrepreneurs. These are the people who gave us everything -- from Wal-Mart to iPhones, from microprocessors to Twitter -- that is still strong in our economy. ... Only entrepreneurs have the flexibility, the freedom and the risk-everything ambition to find the path back to prosperity in a rapidly changing, technology-driven global economy. [Tom Hayes and Michael Malone, Wall Street Journal, Feb 24] The authors have a laundry list of government measures to liberate entrepreneurs for re-shaping American business. SBIR is not one of them. it never hurts to go on the record in opposition to a billion imaginary deaths. But I have a more immediate concern: Will Mr. Obama’s scientific counselors give him realistic plans for dealing with global warming and other threats? To borrow a term from Roger Pielke Jr.: Can these scientists be honest brokers? ... the author of “The Honest Broker,” a book arguing that most scientists are fundamentally mistaken about their role in political debates. As a result, he says, they’re jeopardizing their credibility while impeding solutions to problems like global warming. [John Tierney, New York Times, Feb 24] Not to worry: every scientist looking for a handout will dredge up a compelling story. Democracy thrives on self-interest. the spigot of defense funding opened by 9/11 is closing,” Mr. Gates said in Congressional testimony. .... But cuts cause bleeding and bleating. Among those opposed to cuts, military industry lobbyists and members of Congress are likely to question whether cutbacks in arms purchases, with the threat of shutting down production lines, would be the proper response to an economic crisis already marked by deep job losses. [New York Times, Feb 18] [The stimulus] also provides $300 million to the [DOD] to assist with the development of energy efficiency technology. Each of the Research, Development, Test and Evaluation (RDTE) offices within the Army, Navy and Air Force will receive $75 million, with another $75 million allotted for the Defense-wide RDTE office. These funds will provide financial support for pilot projects, demonstrations and energy efficient manufacturing enhancements ... NASA will receive $1 billion with $400 million targeted for earth science climate research missions and improving NASA's supercomputing capabilities; $150 million for activities related to aviation safety, environmental impact mitigation and the NextGen Air Transportation System; $400 million for exploration activities .... SBA will receive $730 million in funding for operations and programs. The majority of this allocation, $636 million, will fund the Business Loans Program for direct loans and fee reductions. [SSTI, Feb 19] States have lavished perks on private industry for decades. In recent years, though, some have brazenly crossed the line between the public and private sectors, designing strategies that look a lot like industrial policy. .... States from Pennsylvania to Oregon have become increasingly important sources of early startup capital to technology companies. .... Public officials can be bad at picking winners. .... But now, many states face vast budget shortfalls and must choose between protecting public-private R&D programs that could create jobs in the long term and slashing public education and health benefits.... [Pete Engardio, Business Week, Feb 9] that’s politics. That we can resolve research questions rationally does not mean the moral or economic consequences of science offer a clear consensus. [Peter Dizikes reviewing Varmus's The Art and Politics of Science, New York Times, Feb 15] Worry About Hangover Tomorrow. Stimulus expectations run high. Massachusetts companies could benefit from the billions of dollars earmarked for clean energy, medical research, and other industries in the economic stimulus package. [Boston Globe, Feb 13] For now, the near zero interest rates on Treasuries make the stimulus look cheap, at least in relation to the wished for results. But tomorrow, when such rates reach competitive levels, we can complain about our short-sighted politicians again. High technology and diversified tech conglomerates that made efforts to shape the stimulus plan emerged as big winners in the draft bill expected to come up for a vote Friday. ... from billions of dollars slated for technology infrastructure, environmental and educational projects aimed at improving U.S. competitiveness. ... NSF $3 billion for research [Wall Street Journal, Feb 13] Even Bigger DOD. OMB is considering shifting management of nuclear weapons production from [DOE] to [DOD]. ... would transfer two national labs, the Nevada test site, and four bomb plants to DOD and end 60 years of civilian control of nuclear weapons, ... Transfer of the huge weapons complex presumably would focus DOE more closely on its civilian energy mission. [AAAS, Feb 11] The New Mexico Congresscritters screamed protest. But some of the debate is correctly and appropriately centered on whether the SBIR program is being effective in producing results. [SBIR Coach Fred Patterson] Fred has great advice for companies thinking about using SBIR and a recognition that there is a real question about whether SBIR is worth the effort for the federal agencies as SBIR is now structured and practiced. If Congress wants to move beyond two decades of handout, it should listen to Fred's ideas on small company investment. Harin Ullal, a solar expert and senior project manager at the National Renewable Energy Laboratories in Golden, Colo., says he expects thin film's share of the solar-power market to increase to 25% by 2015, compared with the 10% to 15% market share thin-film manufacturers say they have now. A recent report on the thin-film solar market by Greentech Media, a clean-tech news agency, and the nonprofit Prometheus Institute puts the market-share increase even higher, at 40% by 2012. [Cassandra Sweet, Wall Street Journal, Feb 9] The nation’s smallest state has big ambitions for its budding biotech industry, as evidenced by the opening late last month of a $54 million life sciences center at the University of Rhode Island. [Mass High Tech, Feb 6] Forward Wisconsin, which uses public and private funds to promote the state for business expansions, is ending 25 years of selling Wisconsin to out-of-state executives. [Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Feb 7] Kansas Bioscience Authority gave Edenspace Systems (Manhattan, KS; $4+M SBIR) $360,000 to help match a $750,000 grant from the USDOE and a $350,000 grant from the USDA. The money will support the further development of technology to lower processing costs and increase yields of biofuels from sorghum, corn and switchgrass. ... The authority is a $581 million initiative created by the Kansas Economic Growth Act of 2004 to expand the state’s research capacity and bioscience clusters, support the growth of bioscience startups and stimulate bioscience business expansion and attraction. [Kansas City Business Journal, Jan 27, 09] The European Union warned the US yesterday against plunging the world into depression by adopting a planned “Buy American” policy, intensifying fears of a trade war. ..... Last night Mr Obama gave a strong signal that he would remove the most provocative passages from the Bill. [The Times (London), Feb 4] BuyAmericaSteria “The Senate may have taken longer than the House to reflect the popular hysteria over trade, but they are certainly getting there,” says Susan Aaronson, a trade expert at George Washington University. [Allan Beattie, Financial Times, Feb 1] no president in modern times has seriously attempted to reduce the size of government, and for good reason: Voters don't want it reduced. What they want is government that's "big" for them--whether it's Democrats who call for job-training programs and universal health care or Republicans eager to see billions funneled into "much-needed and underfunded defense procurement," as William Kristol recommended [Sam Tanenhaus, The New Republic, Feb 18] Kansas Bioscience Authority gave Edenspace Systems (Manhattan, KS; $4+M SBIR) $360,000 to help match a $750,000 grant from the USDOE and a $350,000 grant from the USDA. The money will support the further development of technology to lower processing costs and increase yields of biofuels from sorghum, corn and switchgrass. ... The authority is a $581 million initiative created by the Kansas Economic Growth Act of 2004 to expand the state’s research capacity and bioscience clusters, support the growth of bioscience startups and stimulate bioscience business expansion and attraction. [Kansas City Business Journal, Jan 27, 09] To be honest, nobody really knows the SBIR future, says SBIR Insider Rick Shindell. On the plus side, SBIR has been a very successful program ... [many experts] believe that the SBIR program will most likely survive, but the bigger question is, "In what form?' .... Don't think for a minute that the large special interests that lobbied congress have gone away. They've started their work! SBIR's best three reasons: it does no harm, provides an open national channel for new ideas, and every politician loves small business. All the other arguments I've heard are only half-truths which would not convince a economically thinking Congress but will suffice for a Congress that wants to be seen doing something for small business. They will ignore the ugly truth that every dollar going to an SBIR company is a dollar taken from another company (large or small) that might have produced a greater result for the agency and for the economy. SBIR has no net money for R&D. And as is true in all economics, the question is not whether an investment is good or bad but whether is is better than the available alternatives. "There is a lot of great experimentation in commercializing new technology at the state level," says CEO Dan Berglund of State Science & Technology Institute (SSTI) in Westerville, Ohio, a nonprofit that advises regional governments. "But at the federal level, there is little funding and no strategy." Incoming SBA head Mills led a 2008 Brookings Institution study that found that 14 U.S. agencies spend $76 billion a year on economic development. But these efforts are not "linked, leveraged, or aligned," Mills said in an interview prior to her nomination. "The federal people don't talk to the state people or to industry." [Pete Engardio, Business Week, Jan 29] Remember the golden rule ... If We Buy American, No One Else Will. [Douglas Irvin, New York Times, Feb 1] .... For all practical purposes there is no difference between the Smoot-Hawley tariff bill of 1930 and the “Buy American” provisions in the $819 billion spending bill that passed the House Wednesday. Smoot-Hawley was the catalyst for a pandemic of tit-for-tat protectionism around the world, which helped deepen and prolong the global depression in the 1930s. “Buy American” provisions will no doubt inspire similar trade barriers abroad and will have the same effect of reducing global trade—and therefore prospects for economic recovery [Dan Ikenson, CATO Institute] With Malice Aforethought. “President Obama, backed by the conclusions of a broad range of economists, believes that China is manipulating its currency,” wrote the then-nominee [Geithner]. Premeditation matters, and the use of the inflammatory word “manipulation” clearly was a carefully considered act. ... And Ugly Consequences. If China decides it doesn’t want to buy the new IOUs, interest rates in America will climb, offsetting the effects of much of Obama’s stimulus package. Secretary Geithner might then find that he can’t peddle the billions in IOUs he will soon be issuing, and regret emboldening the Schumers of the world to believe that the Obama administration intends to replace talk, talk, with war, war – trade war, that is. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Feb 1] Never mind, xenophobia is a regular convenient American political opportunity, which seems to be inversely proportional to the voter's education level. Academic research is a $1.1 billion industry in Wisconsin, but it's threatened by a 25-year trend toward weaker state support for higher education, a report released Wednesday by the Wisconsin Technology Council says. ... says the state must fund research and development to ensure that Wisconsin has a vibrant economy going forward. ... Read the full report. [Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, Jan 29] Note that spending on R&D says nothing about SBIR which does nothing more for R&D than divert federal agency R&D money into a politically favored class of business - small business. If SBIR cannot prove that it has a much better return than what the federal agency would do with the money, it has no case for the program. So far, after two decades, SBIR has made no such showing. To see the arguments being made by the SBIR advocates, see Fred Patterson's latest blog entry [Jan 29] which ignores the comparative ROI question. Obama won a well-timed plug for his economic-rescue plan from the U.S. high-tech industry, a group he nurtured heavily during the campaign. Mr. Obama's gathering with 13 chief executives at the White House Wednesday -- the first corporate sit-down of his presidency -- showed how much the two sides now need one another's support. [Neil King and Don Clark, Wall Street Journal, Jan 29] In a memo to staff, EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson cited openness as one of her tenets, noting "As your Administrator, I will uphold the values of scientific integrity, rule of law, and transparency every day." [AAAS, Jan 28] The vast economic stimulus package now making its way through Congress could bring a welcome bounty to New England's high-tech industries. .... at least $37 billion will go to projects aimed at upgrading the nation's digital infrastructure. ... Massachusetts has a host of companies, large and small, that are well positioned to cash in on the need [Hiawatha Bray, Boston Globe, Jan 28] former president of Fiber Materials (Biddeford, ME; $13M SBIR) agreed to plead guilty to federal charges arising from a bribery scheme .... accused of orchestrating a conspiracy that involved two officials at the Army Space and Missile Defense Command. He faces up to 20 years in prison. ... Prosecutors say [he] and the officials agreed to split and personally use money earmarked for missile defense contracts. [They] have pleaded guilty and are awaiting sentencing. .... Most of the material delivered by [sub-contractor] was worthless, a fact that [the Army officials] covered up while continuing to funnel earmarked money to [his] sham companies in return for a share of the gains [AP, Jan 24] Fiber had a very nice business in ICBM nose cones until the Cold War stopped. Federal agents raided two small Pennsylvania defense contractors that were given millions of dollars in federal funding by Rep. John Murtha, chairman of the defense appropriations committee and one of the most powerful men in Congress. Kuchera Industries and Kuchera Defense Systems (Winber, PA; $800K SBIR) shut down for the day [Wilkie, Cole, and Farnam, Wall Street Journal, Jan 23] the stimulus bill emerging in the House ... is a muddled mixture of short-term stimulus haste and long-term spending commitments. It is an unholy marriage that manages to combine the worst of each approach — rushed short-term planning with expensive long-term fiscal impact. [David Brooks, New York Times, Jan 23] Surely, some silver-tongued SB lobbyist will come up with a plea that what stimulus truly needs is more SBIR. Indeed, Feingold's proposition to put SBIR up to 10% is that kind of junk talk. DOD Commercialization. The United Arab Emirates is in the process of acquiring both the Patriot Advanced Capability (PAC)-3 and the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defense systems. ... expected to cost $7 billion, and will be an unusually large investment in THAAD, given that the first THAAD battery in the United States just became active earlier this year [Center for Defense Information, Jan 7] Spread It Around. Small businesses want to extend a set of one-year tax incentives for investing in new equipment. And a broad range of industries want to scrap a requirement that government contractors set aside 3% of the value of contracts to pay for possible cost overruns. .... The growing lobbying efforts underscore a challenge for the new president and Democratic leaders on Capitol Hill: managing the demands of lawmakers and interest groups with a stake in the outcome of the evolving economic-recovery package. [Weisman, Hitt, and Mullen, Wall Street Journal, Jan 26] Everybody's got a self-serving stimulus idea. The $825 billion stimulus plan presented this month by House Democrats called for $37 billion in spending in three high-tech areas: $20 billion to computerize medical records, $11 billion to create smarter electrical grids and $6 billion to expand high-speed Internet access in rural and underserved communities. .... Beyond creating jobs, advocates say, government investment in these technology fields holds the promise of laying a lasting foundation for more business innovation and efficiency, while helping to create new digital industries. [Steve Lohr, New York Times, Jan 26] Americans First. I am concerned that Microsoft will be retaining foreign guest workers rather than similarly qualified American employees when it implements its layoff plan, ....Our immigration policy is not intended to harm the American work force. ... Microsoft has a moral obligation to protect these American workers by putting them first during these difficult economic times. said [Sen] Grassley ... But good politics may be illegal (IAW law made by the concerned politicians) Cletus Weber, co-founder and partner with Mercer Island-based immigration law firm Peng & Weber, said determining layoffs by nationality or immigration status could violate anti-discrimination laws. "I know of no immigration law that would require Microsoft or any other U.S. company to lay off its lawfully employed foreign workers first," Weber wrote in an e-mail. "To the contrary, I believe arbitrarily laying off lawfully employed foreign workers first would subject these companies to potential legal liability under federal anti-discrimination laws." ... In 2007, Microsoft said that about one-third of its 46,000 U.S.-based employees at the time had work visas or were legal permanent residents with green cards. [Benjamin Romano, Seattle Times, Jan 24] SBIR Inaction. With the economy continuing to nosedive and less than six weeks remaining until expiration of one of the most successful federal tools for supporting technology commercialization and innovation, some analysts expected SBIR would be an easy target for immediate attention by its authorizing committees in the House or Senate. Perhaps, for no other reason than to keep the direct capital injections of nearly $2 billion flowing into the nation's small tech firms at the same time other capital sources are running dry. Instead, no action is readily visible, or being discussed through traditional SBIR news sources, such as Rick Shindell's SBIR Insider or the Small Business Technology Council. The Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship appears yet to have opened its doors in 2009 .. The committee's website has only one update since December. Separately, on Jan. 8, Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI), a member of the committee, introduced S. 177 to extend SBIR and its companion STTR program until 2022 and increase the SBIR set -aside to 10 percent by 2012. That bill was read twice and referred to the committee, which has yet to hold its first hearing. ... No SBIR-related legislation has been introduced in the House yet for the 111th Congress. ... [SSTI, Jan 21] Texas Religion v. Science. Business leaders, meanwhile, said Texas would have trouble attracting highly educated workers and their families if the state’s science programs were seen as a laughingstock among biologists. “The political games we are playing right now are going to burn us all,” said Eric Hennenhoefer, who owns Obsidian Software. [James McKinley, New York Times, Jan 22] “The corporate welfare commission and military acquisition reform are two things the president-elect wants to do very soon,” Rahm Emanuel, Mr. Obama’s chief of staff and a participant in the meeting, said in an interview. [David Kirkpatrick, New York Times, Jan 19]. Questions about corporate welfare and military acquisition cannot be a plus for DOD SBIR which pours gazillions into companies with no future beyond SBIR contracts. Not that DOD would shed a tear if SBIR disappeared anyway. Ice, mosquitoes, and taxes. The Small Business and Entrepreneurship Council’s report on the best states to launch a company ranks Minnesota near the bottom of the list- 46th out of 50 to be precise. The report bases its rankings from a public policy perspective: the more a government taxes and borrows, the less likely new businesses will flourish. In other words, government is not the solution but the problem, the council says. So from that sense, it’s not entirely surprising that Minnesota, which has a reputation for high taxes, would fare poorly. The state finished near the bottom in categories like capital gains taxes (46th) and corporate income taxes (48th) and dead last in health care mandates (51st.) To read the entire report, click here. [Thomas Lee, Minneapolis Star Tribune, Jan 20] Yet, the Minneapolis area has lots of innovative tech companies, which must mean that taxes and government are not decisive factors for entrepreneurs. "Will the highways on the internet become more few?" GW Bush Some Republicans and Democrats think the deficits the package will create will unleash inflation and a run on the dollar. ... But in the end Obama will get most of what he wants, not least because the economic situation seems to deteriorate daily. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Jan 18] If a new trillion starts floating around as stimulus, it will bid-up goods. IN NOMINATING John Holdren to be director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy - the position known informally as White House science adviser - President-elect Barack Obama has enlisted an undisputed Big Name among academic environmentalists. ... also a doom-and-gloomer with a trail of erroneous apocalyptic forecasts dating back nearly 40 years - and a decided lack of tolerance for environmental opinions that conflict with his. .... long associated with population alarmist Paul Ehrlich .... advocated the "long-term desirability of zero population growth" .... argued that "a massive campaign must be launched . . . to de-develop the United States" [Jeff Jacoby, Boston Globe, Jan 18] Conservative Hoosiers. Gov. Mitch Daniels said the state's weakening economy will require the suspension of funds for some initiatives supported by his administration. ..., delays funds for research aimed at building the state's life sciences portfolio, including elimination of a $20 million Life Sciences Fund at the Indiana School of Medicine and Purdue University and $3 million for the High Growth Business Incentive Fund to encourage high-wage companies to locate or expand in the state. [SSTI, Jan 15] Squeal or Deal? the Grand Bargain could come in. Like Humpty Dumpty, the budget is going to be broken anyway. In putting it back together, would retirees be willing to accept that idea of having more prosperous seniors pay a monthly premium to receive their Medicare health coverage? Would liberals accept cuts in their favorite social programs? Would conservatives accept the idea of a carbon tax, to both raise big money for entitlements and prod the nation to move more quickly away from fossil fuels? Those would be the big trade-offs. Washington may shy away from them once again. But the Obama era of big problems at least creates the opening for that kind of big debate. [Gerald Seib, Wall Street Journal, Jan 16] GAO has released a report stating that NASA’s Office of the Inspector General, which is charged with improving agency efficiency, returns just 36 cents for every dollar in its budget, compared to an average among 30 federal IG offices of $9.49 per dollar. House Science and Technology Committee chair Bart Gordon (D-TN) called for the removal of the NASA IG. [AAAS, Jan 14] Got Religion, Don't Need Science. Oklahoma now has a so-called "academic freedom" bill pending. Like similar bills passed by Louisiana and introduced in other states last year, it labels evolution a controversial theory. As previously reported, Oklahoma lawmakers have already reintroduced the Religious Viewpoints Antidiscrimination Act, which last year appeared designed to allow religion into public schools (including science classes) but was vetoed by Gov. Brad Henry. Meanwhile, Mississippi now has a bill that would mandate placing in textbooks disclaimers that challenge the teaching of evolution. [AAAS, Jan 14] Meanwhile, no doubt the state chambers of commerce are touting their states as great places for high-tech companies. But where will they find high class techies to live in an anti-science world? And Rising. The federal government already has run up a record deficit of $485.2 billion in just the first three months of the current budget year, the Treasury Department said Tuesday. The deficit is on track to surpass $1 trillion for all of fiscal 2009 and some economists believe it could go much higher. [Yahoo Finance, Jan 13] Hoping for a handout from the world's largest debtor? The USG lacks an effective plan for ensuring the safety of nanotechnology, a new report by the National Research Council (NRC) concludes. The report, released last week, finds that the current plan for coordinating federal research on environmental, health, and safety (EHS) risks of nanotechnology amounts to an ad hoc collection of research priorities from the 25 federal agencies that make up the U.S. National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI), which coordinates federal nanotech programs. [Science, Dec 19] Me Too. Scientists seeking stimulus. A collection of U.S. research universities is making the case for science to be included in legislation aimed at reviving the moribund economy. In a letter to President-elect Barack Obama, the 62-member Association of American Universities (AAU) proposes $2.7 billion in immediate spending on academic buildings, scientific equipment, and young researchers. [Science Insider blog] Never a shortage of great ideas when there's money available. After more than 150 years of being a destination, California is becoming a place entrepreneurs, investment capital and the hardy workers who made it a global leader in agriculture, technological innovation and scientific research are fleeing. ... Over the past few years, we've witnessed the state government's response to the capital and entrepreneur flight out of our state: Taxes remain high, and lawmakers employ all the tricks in the book to produce "balanced" budgets from shifting expenses around to borrowing ever larger sums of money. [Devin Nunes, Wall Street Journal, Jan 10] The WSJ op-ed page never met an unpleasing argument against taxes. But if Silicon Valley, for example, is the best place to make a lot of money, the tax rate will not keep entrepreneurs away. A decent fraction of a big number is a lot better than a huge fraction of nothing. The reality of high tech industry is that success will not happen alone in mid-Kansas or low tax Alabama. North
Carolina's widely lauded economic transformation of the
last three decades -- in which the state diversified
away from its dependence on agriculture and textiles and
into technology, banking and pharmaceuticals -- is
proving no match for what could be the longest and
deepest U.S. recession since World War II. ... A
record number of people in the state are now out of
work, and its unemployment rate of 7.9% for November was
the highest in 26 years [Dan Fitzpatrick, Wall
Street Journal, Jan 10]
NIST's Technology Innovation Program (TIP) is seeking
white papers to help shape the Program's
collaborative outreach and competitions in the future.
TIP is interested in receiving white papers from anyone
including academia; Federal, State, and local
governments; industry; and professional
organizations/societies. ... see the
Federal Register Notice at
http://www.nist.gov/tip/frn_seeking_whitepapers.pdf
for further details. It may help if you blather like
they do with: sufficiently large
in magnitude and barriers preventing the
successful development of solutions. Obama made promises during his campaign to create 3 million new jobs upon taking office. The problem with that statement is the verb: create. What's really happening is that we, the taxpayers, are buying jobs. ... with borrowed money, much of it coming from lenders like the Chinese government. That has consequences of its own in terms of foreign and defense policy. But a bigger issue is the temporary nature of the jobs being bought. [John Torinus, Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, Jan 12] We should note also that most of SBIR, particularly in the mission agencies, is also merely buying jobs. All the political blather about small firms as engines of growth means nothing if the SBIR "investments" don't go to the firms and ideas most likely to produce downstream growth. Military or Economic Security. When Barack Obama takes office as president, he should immediately change or even scrap many cold-war-era regulations on high-tech exports and on immigration by foreign scientists and engineers, an expert panel said. Restricting foreigners’ access to strategically important technology might have been useful decades ago, when the United States was the undisputed world leader across the technological spectrum, the panel said in a report issued by the National Academy of Sciences. But today, it said, the nation is losing scientific and engineering dominance even as militarily useful advances come increasingly from civilian research. The regulations do little for the nation’s security, the panel said, while significantly hampering economic growth and innovation. ... The report is at www.nas.edu. [Cornelia Dean and William Broad, New York Times, Jan 9] Howard Gleckman of the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center summed it up in the title of a recent blog posting: “lots of buck, not much bang.” [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Jan 9] We live in a representational democracy where interests get what they want, despite even some allegedly perfect plan that passes out money. Feds Approval is Enough. A federal judge threw out lawsuits on behalf of thousands of patients with heart-defibrillator wires that have been shown to fracture and dispatch potentially lethal shocks, concluding that a recent Supreme Court opinion made the dismissals inevitable. U.S. District Judge Richard H. Kyle in Minneapolis dismissed the lawsuits, citing the February decision that federal law "pre-empts" product-liability lawsuits under state law, effectively precluding such cases. That decision triggered an effort in Congress to change the law. [Wall Street Journal, Jan 7] ----- 2008 ---------- Stimulus Spending Won't Work? Tyler Cowen says: it is very hard to find examples of successful fiscal stimulus driving an economic recovery. Ever. Brad deLong counters: But surely we believe that if the U.S. government were to follow the Countrywide plan--to send its representatives out onto the streets to have them walk up to people and say: "Here's $500,000. You can have it if you go buy a house"--then that would drive a recovery, right? I mean it drove a recovery in 2003-2006, didn't it? [Brad deLong's blog, Dec 24] NASA administrator Mike Griffin is not cooperating with President-elect Barack Obama's transition team, is obstructing its efforts to get information and has told its leader that she is "not qualified" to judge his rocket program, the Orlando Sentinel has learned. In a heated 40-minute conversation last week with Lori Garver, a former NASA associate administrator who heads the space transition team, a red-faced Griffin demanded to speak directly to Obama, according to witnesses. .... Says blogger Mike Dunford: Mike, it's her job to look under the hood. It's not her job to take your word for anything. In fact, she's not supposed to take your word for things. A new President needs an independent view of what's happening in the agencies. You get an independent view by sending people to go look under the hood. [The Questionable Authority blog, Dec 11] Note that "has learned" doesn't meet good editorial standards for sources. Significant Progress. The NRC's study concluded that in 25 years NASA made "significant progress" towards the Congressional goals for SBIR. Hooray! But the body of the report shows that those goals don't mean much as an investment program. Although "nearly half" had market "success" of some type, the numbers would get any VC fired. Only 18% had revenues over $1M, total commercialization revenue was only $2.3B, and over half of that was sold to the government. Of course, since it is a government program, the statistics emphasize the number of projects doing anything useful, rather than a total ROI. NASA's response to such poor commercialization? Shift from a commercialization focus (as if it ever really had one) to "spin-in" (our money for our stuff). The pre-publication report is available from National Academies Press. Policy wonks will have a lot of data to consider and the politicians will fins enough juice in this lemonade report to justify keeping SBIR alive in the mission agencies as long as they don't insist that SBIR be a capital investment program. Call the Bailout Doctor. the deepening recession sends more companies lining up for a piece of the government's $700 billion bailout fund. [AP, Dec 23] How will the political system deal with the cries and the expectations? W will be glad to be gone, and his Republicans "enjoying" their cackling minority. Merely $44B. media reform group Free Press calls for the U.S. government to spend $44 billion to improve U.S. broadband infrastructure and extend broadband to rural and other underserved areas. ... according to "Down Payment on Our Digital Future: Stimulus Policies for the 21st-Century Economy," [eWeek, Dec 22] Get your plan in soon for your grand ideas on how to spend nearly a trillion dollars. Vinny Schaper, DHS SBIR Program Director re-retires from his second SBIR career; his first was 1988-2004 as the Navy's SBIR program manager. Bring me a break, Santa.
If Mr. Obama is serious about getting the country out of
this recession using something more than public
make-work projects, he should restore the integrity of
the new company creation cycle: rewrite full disclosure,
throw out options expensing, make compliance with
Sarbanes-Oxley rules voluntary, and if he won't cut it,
then at least leave the capital gains tax rate alone. Politicized Science? Deepak Hegde and David Mowery at UC Berkeley... found that, when you match each year's [NIH] grant allocation to the previous year's [House] appropriations committee (since budgets are allocated a year in advance), states with more than one member on the committee received significantly more money [for public universities and small businesses] than states with only one or no members. [Jonathan Giffin, Ars Technica, Dec 18] Giffin suggests that since NIH's peer review is so well insulated from politics that the bias comes from political influence in NIH's chosen fields of study. Lawrence Summers, incoming director of the National Economic Council, stated that R&D will not be included in the economic stimulus. Quoted in Manufacturing & Technology News (subscription), Summers noted, "it does not strike me that running up the research budget and then running [it] down...is a terribly rational way to run a country." He added, however, that there needs to be an increase in federal R&D for the long-term health of the economy. Too Entrepreneurial. At a banquet here late last month, accounting firm Ernst & Young feted a Danish software company for runaway growth under Stein Bagger, its dynamic chief executive. .... what investigators now describe as Denmark's biggest business scam in decades. .... The gist of the allegations is that Mr. Bagger used a web of phantom firms to get money from banks and then used these same companies to place big purchase orders for IT Factory software and services. He was buying from himself using other people's money [Andrew Higgins, Wall Street Journal, Dec 17] A political program advocacy organization gives an award of Person of the Year to a staff aide for the Congressional Committee that has oversight of the program while the program is in serious consideration for continuation. OK, everyone cheer! Political News: Kerry handing Small Business to Landrieu. Louisiana has no great stake in SBIR like Massachusetts. My favorite Onion headline was '95% of Americans Support Public Transit for Other People.'"
With his customary forthrightness, [Paul] O'Neill adds: "There isn't anyone in government with a clue how to run an enterprise or reinvent one."
No U.S. president has made significant headway altering America's energy habits during a period of falling oil prices. [N King and S Power, Wall Street Journal, Dec 12] Kopin won a $600,000 NASA contract for nanostructured solar cells made of indium gallium phosphide (InGaP) materials. [Mass High Tech, Dec 10] .... the second NASA contract awarded to Kopin in 2008 for the development of nanostructured solar cell technology, the company noted; in May, Kopin received a two-year, $600,000 award for the development of indium nitride-based solar cells. [Boston Globe, Dec 10] Let NASA and the SBIR advocates explain why a company with $92M cash, which just announced plans to buy $15 M worth of the company’s common stock, should get a government subsidy from a seed program for R&D with commercial prospects. Because the government disdains the seed mission of SBIR, and uses it only for the R&D it would have bought anyway if SBIR never existed. And if it had real commercial prospects, the company would not be handing over the patent rights to the government for a mere $600K when it has $92M available cash for investment. And also the SBIR advocates only want a piece of the government spending pie for their member companies. If the SBTC and the other pleaders had any care about SBIR's mission, it would be advocating some way to steer the handouts to companies and ideas that have technically risky high-potential ideas and no other way to raise the capital to start their development. Note that stock buybacks are purely financial engineering with no potential for any economic growth. As in all government handout programs, there's no interest like a vested interest. The Bailout Scrum. Plenty of companies are lining up for a share of the billions of dollars in federal economic relief, citing doomsday scenarios in the event they don't get bailed out. Few can match the worst-case scenarios set forth by cyber-security proponents. Consider remarks before Congress last year by O. Sami Saydjari, CEO of Cyber Defense Agency, a security research and consulting firm, and a former official at DARPA. Following a major cyber-attack, he told legislators, electricity, banking, and communications could all go dead, leaving Americans scrounging for food, water, gasoline-even hunks of firewood traded on the black market. Even with that chilling warning, Saydjari and his colleagues didn't make much headway with Congress and the Bush Administration. (Source: BusinessWeek) [Investors Guide Daily, Dec 9] Rent-Free Money. Treasury sold four-week notes at a 0% yield for the first time, with investors in effect giving their cash to the government for safe-keeping until 2009. [Wall Street Journal, Dec 10] It's clear that the NIH SBIR proposal submission system has evolved to be so complex that many find it too formidable to deal with [SBIR Coach, Dec 9] instead of the 250 loans a month her lender was providing earlier in the year, only 10 such loans were available in August -- and she wasn't getting one. ... Changes to the Small Business Administration loan program are hitting women and minority small-business owners like Ms. Payne particularly hard. The credit crunch has triggered an obscure congressional cap on some loans in the SBA's flagship lending program, sharply reducing the number of those loans. [Raymund Flandez, Wall Street Journal, Dec 9] Homeland Insecurity. The Department of Homeland Security has failed to secure the Internet and should no longer take the lead role in trying, say government and security experts who urged President-elect Barack Obama to create a new national office to police cyberspace. Their report also calls for new laws to protect privacy and speed investigations of cybercrimes; strong identification of all people and devices connecting to networks belonging to power plants and other organizations critical to U.S. security; and secure software for everybody who connects to the Internet - not just the military and national security agencies. The recommendations are included in a 96-page document, "Securing Cyberspace for the 44th Presidency," the Center for Strategic and International Studies. [Deborah Gage, SF Chronicle, Dec 9] Power, not Economics. the Kremlin seems to be capitalizing on the economic crisis, exploiting the opportunity to establish more control over financially weakened industries that it has long coveted, particularly those in natural resources. ... the Uralkali affair stands out for illustrating with rare clarity the willingness of the authorities to use whatever means necessary to obtain these assets, including subjecting companies to questionable investigations that they have little chance of resisting, financial analysts here say. [Clifford Levy, New York Times, Dec 8] Beware deals where autocracy rules. North Carolina's $1.2 billion dollar investment in bioscience over the past decade has helped to build a $45 billion dollar a year industry in the state, according to a new study released by the North Carolina Biotechnology Center. The report finds that North Carolina's bioscience employment numbers have grown 18.5 percent since 2001, the fastest in the nation. Much of this growth has been fueled by increased activity in research, testing and medical labs and in the agricultural feedstock and chemicals subsector. [SSTI, Dec 4] The Bailout Paradox: As a condition of getting a federal bailout, the Big Three are promising, among other things, to cut costs. Among the costs to be cut will be jobs. This is paradoxical, since the reason Congress is considering bailing them out in the first place is to preserve jobs and avoid the social costs of large-scale job loss (unemployment insurance, lost tax revenues, pension payments that have to be picked up by the Pension Benefit Guarantee Corporation, and so forth) . [Robert Reich, Dec 4] The proposal of any new law or regulation which comes from [businessmen], ought always to be listened to with great precaution, and ought never to be adopted till after having been long and carefully examined, not only with the most scrupulous, but with the most suspicious attention. It comes from an order of men, whose interest is never exactly the same with that of the public, who have generally an interest to deceive and even to oppress the public, and who accordingly have, upon many occasions, both deceived and oppressed it. [Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, 1776 (thanks to Mark Thoma, Economist's View blog)] Now, as to the compelling need for SBIR as propounded by the SBIR-mill lobby corps... U.S. scientists hope that last week's elections will usher in an era of sustained, healthy increases in the federal funding of basic research. But with yawning deficits and urgent demands on the federal treasury, those increases may not happen anytime soon. [Science, Nov 14] Bad news: such hopes far outstrip assets as US net worth plummets in bailout spree. Eric Schmidt, chief executive of Google, an internet giant, claimed that government-funded research done in university laboratories was “the core aspect of America’s competitiveness”. Without a dramatic increase in investment in such research, and in maths and science education, Americans risked becoming mere “captive consumers” at the mercy of rising Asian powers, he argued. [The Economist, Nov 22] techno-nationalism. Two of his favorite proposals — roundly endorsed by technology industry leaders and university scientists — are to double federal funding for basic research over the next several years and to train many thousands more scientists and engineers. But such steps would likely amount to well-intentioned but misguided policies that risk doing more harm than good, according to Amar Bhidé, a professor at the Columbia Business School. In a new book, “The Venturesome Economy” (Princeton University Press), Mr. Bhidé makes a detailed argument that contradicts the prevailing view of expert panels and authors who contend that the nation’s prosperity is threatened by the technological rise of China and India, and that America’s capacity for innovation is eroding. To arrest the decline, they insist that more scientists and engineers, and more government spending on research, are sorely needed. Mr. Bhidé derides the conventional view in science and technology circles as “techno-nationalism,” needlessly alarmist and based on a widely held misunderstanding of how technological innovation yields economic growth. In his view, many analysts put too much emphasis on the production of new technological ideas. Instead, he observes, the real economic payoff lies in innovations in how technologies are used. [Steve Lohr, New York Times, Nov 30] Shrinking. American cities depend heavily on corporate investment for expansion and new jobs, and that is dwindling here as capital spending grows more slowly everywhere. The Savannah Economic Development Authority, having signed up $360 million in new investment last year, has commitments this year for only $33 million. “There aren’t that many deals in the country anymore,” says Lynn Pitts, the development authority’s senior vice president. “Everyone has pulled in their horns big time.” [Louis Uchitelle, New York Times, Nov 30] if I were in charge: Technocrats love to pick winners. Leftish technocrats, in particular, love to believe that the complex operations of the entire economy choose technologies that are inferior to those the technocrat would have imposed on the economy had she been in charge. ... If you are reading this and thinking "well, if I were in charge, I would not be that stupid and I could make it work" then you don't get it. 1) No one can make it work, for the same reasons the Soviets could not plan their economy from the top -- its just too complex. At best, policy-makers are choosing between a handful of alternatives to back. [coyote blog, Nov 24] Let Banks Be Banks. The Bush administration backed off proposed crackdowns on no-money-down, interest-only mortgages years before the economy collapsed, buckling to pressure from some of the same banks that have now failed. It ignored remarkably prescient warnings that foretold the financial meltdown, according to an Associated Press review of regulatory documents. [Matt Apuzzo, AP, Dec 1] Capitalism sows the seeds of its own destruction? Eight FDA scientists wrote a private letter in May to FDA Commissioner Andrew von Eschenbach, alleging that agency officials ignored their concerns and approved for sale medical devices that may be unsafe or ineffective. [AAAS, Nov 26] The 2008-09 U.S. Department of Agriculture Commercialization Assistance Training Program (USDA-CATP) has officially kicked off. More than 30 companies representing diverse regions and industry sectors will participate in the 10-month program. A distinguished Industry Advisory Board was assembled to assist the USDA-funded companies. Board members include representatives from Dow Chemical, DuPont, Cargill, John Deere, and investors and professional service advisors. The Commercialization Training Workshop, the first event of the USDA-CATP, will take place on Jan 15-16, 2009, in Washington, DC. [LARTA, Nov 13] First the gov agency buys SBIR R&D on pig's ears, and then pretends to help the company sell silk purses. Those life sciences companies who receive state grant money to expand may also receive unwanted attention from local unions that plan to protest publicly over what they claim are unfair pork barrel giveaways. Local unions are seizing on the fact that the state’s money will fund construction projects that use non-union help. [Mass High Tech, Nov 14, 08] Bush praised technology as a key driver of the economy and worked to remove government barriers such as laws, rules and regulations to let the free market make its decisions on winners and losers. Obama, though, embraces technology as the path to innovation and the future and plans to invest heavily in technology as the key to reviving the economy. ... network neutrality, H1-B visas, patent reform, broadband penetration, spectrum, green IT, health IT, government more transparent. [Roy Mark, eWeek, Nov 16] The Federal Reserve threw a massive life-line to consumers with two new programs aimed at making it easier for them to obtain loans for homes, cars and on credit cards. [AP, Nov 25] In other words, the American dream machine floats on a sea of credit. The government wants people to go out and buy stuff for which they have to borrow money in a economic world where their future income stream is in considerable doubt. What happened to conservatism where people live within their means? Who's a conservative now anyway, and what does it mean? "A rolling loan gathers no loss," said Joshua Rosner, managing director at investment bank Graham Fisher, "but I don't think we're doing anything except increasing the ultimate level of losses by pushing them forward." [Jeff Opdyke, Wall Street Journal, Nov 25] Endemic project cost increases at NASA begin when scientists and engineers (and sometimes Congress) burden missions with features beyond what is affordable in the stated budget. The problem continues with managers and contractors who accept or encourage such assignments, expecting to eventually be bailed out. It is worsened by managers who disguise the size of cost increases that missions incur. Finally, it culminates with scientists who won’t cut their costs and members of Congress who accept steep increases to protect local jobs. The result? The costs of badly run NASA projects are paid for with cutbacks or delays in NASA projects that didn’t go over budget. Hence the guilty are rewarded and the innocent are punished. [Alan Stern, New York Times, Nov 24] Pouring on the Money. Obama and Bush are rushing to craft measures to bolster financial markets and prevent a policy vacuum during the transition. Meanwhile, Paulson is considering tapping the second half of the government's rescue fund. [Wall Street Journal, Nov 24] One thing politicians know how do for a problem is to spend money, whether or not they actually have the money. New President, Same Idea. Both new presidents have a trillion dollar idea. Bush had the grand idea of lowering taxes to return the surplus to its rightful owners ("it's your money"); Obama wants the grand idea of a big stimulus to rescue the economy from a hole. Both are willing to drive the government finances deeper into the hole so they can be seen as the guy with the big idea the voters will love. Two engineers from China were sentenced to a year in prison for stealing computer chip designs from their Silicon Valley employers and trying to smuggle the secrets to their homeland to launch a government-backed startup there. [AP, Nov 21] President-elect Obama announced the other day that the government would do "whatever it takes" to revive the economy. I suppose that made some people feel good. After all, who wouldn't want tireless effort in the face of a crucial problem? Unfortunately, the problem with the economy isn't insufficient effort or focus. The problem is that no one knows what to do next. [Russell Roberts, Forbes, Nov 20] bank credit to Ohio businesses has declined at a rate "not seen in the last 40 years," and withholding taxes are declining as unemployment grows. ... Gov. Strickland expects to ask Congress to allocate aid so Ohio doesn't have to borrow to replenish its jobless-insurance fund. A spokesman said the account is expected to be solvent only until early January. If the state has to borrow to pay benefits, it would be the first time it did so since the 1980s. ... Midwestern mayors and governors hope that long-term regional goals, such as expanding the nation's rail system, will revitalize growth. They're lobbying for an economic stimulus package that could include heavy spending on infrastructure. But even if they receive federal funding, those programs probably wouldn't ramp up soon enough to solve near-term budget woes. [Amy Merrick, Wall Street Journal, Nov 22] There kinds of times test the federalism concept where sovereign states depend on the federal government only for things they cannot do for themselves - defense and national currency and such. But when times get hard they look to their neighbors for help even though the neighbors are looking for the same help from them. Any federal help has to come from Hamilton's marvelous perpetual motion machine - a funded national debt where we borrow from ... whom? How Much Manned Space Can We Afford? Within his first 100 days, [Obama] will have to decide the fate of America's space program. ... By April 30, 2009, the new president must decide whether to shut down the Space Shuttle program--currently the United States' only way to get humans into space and to service the International Space Station (ISS)--or extend the program at no small cost. .... he will face pressure to cut costs in the current economic climate and to focus NASA's budget on environmental monitoring and climate science. [R Lemos, MIT Tech Review, Nov 20] Watch for job protection politics to hinder any clear decision. Or would you prefer to pay higher taxes to keep NASA fully pumped? We, Too. The Association of American Universities sent a letter to House and Senate leaders that argued for the critical role that research universities play in stimulating the economy. [AAAS, Nov 19] From last summer's small stimulus checks to the infrastructure projects under consideration by President-elect Barack Obama and congressional Democrats, almost everything the government has done or wants to do is justified by Keynes. That's problematic. For Keynesian solutions often fail to deliver good or even acceptable results. (Source: Bloomberg) [Investor Guide Daily, Nov 20] “The next couple of years are going to go to the pragmatists,” said Senator Mel Martinez of Florida, a former Republican Party chairman. “The problems we are facing are not amenable to ideological solutions.” [John Harwood, New York Times, Nov 23] Burrowing - In Time. The president of the nation's largest general science organization yesterday sharply criticized recent cases of Bush administration political appointees gaining permanent federal jobs with responsibility for making or administering scientific policies ... Akers, a former GOP Capitol Hill staffer who did not make the list for the three best-qualified candidates when he initially applied for a GS-15 job at the DEA, got a second chance last month when the agency advertised it was taking applications for two weeks for a soon-to-be-vacant job in the Senior Executive Service. [Juliet Eilperin and Carol D. Leonnig,Washington Post, Nov 22] Too Much Innovation. The Department of Justice is investigating the off-label use of a Medtronic Inc. implant for promoting bone growth, bringing government scrutiny of such unapproved uses to the heart of the $189 billion medical-device industry. [D Armstrong and T Burton, Wall Street Journal, Nov 19] Lobbyists are particularly frantic. All save $60 billion of the $350 billion initial authorisation under the emergency economic stabilisation act has been spent and, as The New York Times described the “mad scramble”, “the Treasury department is under siege by an army of hired guns for banks . . . and insurers — as well as from improbable candidates like a Hispanic business group representing plumbing and home-heating specialists.” [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Nov 16] The most talked-about tech job in government is one that never before existed. ... the nation's first chief technology officer who would, according to his Web site, help federal agencies use technology "to make government work better." ... While the tech community has shown excitement about the position, there's no guarantee a CTO would be effective, Arlen said. "It could go to either extreme," he said. ... Speculation about who might be named CTO has created so much buzz that Web sites have been created to take suggestions, such as ObamaCTO.org created by Seattle software firm Front Seat. [Kim Hart, Washington Post, Nov 14] Look for much hoopla before the appointment is actually made and then stiff resistance from every agency that would have to re-make its operations and take orders from a czar. DOD, in particular, would claim a unique mission, send a low level staffer to a working group, and then do whatever it wants. The University of Utah (U of U) announced last month two significant investments in TBED supported by USTAR, the state-funded initiative to grow Utah's knowledge economy. .... The Sorenson Molecular Biotechnology Building will be the first of four multidisciplinary facilities and will house advanced imaging and nanotechnology laboratories. USTAR is investing $100 million in the facility, which is slated for completion in 2012. [SSTI, Nov 12] Newly elected Members of Congress include several with science and technology backgrounds: Representatives-elect Parker Griffith (D-AL, physician), Bill Cassidy (R-LA, physician), Paul Tonko (D-NY, engineer), Eric Massa (D-NY, engineer), and Kurt Schrader (D-OR, veterinarian). Rep. Bill Foster (D-IL), a Fermilab physicist elected in March 2008 to fill the remaining term of former Speaker Dennis Hastert, was elected to a full term. The Scientists and Engineers for America (SEA) web site lists a total of 47 Members of Congress who hold undergraduate, masters, or doctoral degrees in a science, engineering, mathematics, or medical field. [AAAS, Nov 12] The Treasury Department, signaling a new phase in its $700 billion financial-rescue plan, is considering requiring that firms seeking future government money raise private capital in order to qualify for public assistance, according to people familiar with the matter. [Wall Street Journal, Nov 12] What an interesting idea - that government handouts to business require private matching of some sort. That's one great way to separate the SBIR companies and idea with economic potential from mere government R&D service companies and idea. BMDO (an old name of MDA) actually did it for Phase II SBIRs although it made a judgment in each case on the maturity of the technology and adjusted the required share ratio accordingly. The private money did not have to go into R&D; it could advance the commercial prospects however the company and any third party money thought appropriate. The political advocates of SBIR screamed because it forced dead companies to compete with live companies going somewhere. I could not help but shout back at the TV screen: “We have to subsidize Detroit so that it will innovate? What business were you people in other than innovation?” If we give you another $25 billion, will you also do accounting? [Tom Friedman, New York Times, Nov 12] SBIR needn't worry that a Friedman will discover the subsidies being poured into SBIR companies that innovate only when paid by the government for the government. They're too small to be noticed in the grand scheme and they involve small business which politicians love. The waste will more likely be swept under the rug. Me, Too. The U.S.'s financial-system rescue plans are coming under strain as an array of distressed companies ratchet up their requests for assistance. ... as academic economists are trading ideas across the world at a furious pace. Their latest effort: a salvo of 17 essays aimed at moving members of the Group of 20 large economies to act quickly on stabilizing the economy when they meet on Friday. [Wall Street Journal, Nov 11] Taxes down, handouts down. Massachusetts dinged its biotech R&D handouts by $10M out of the planned $25M this year. [Mass High Tech, Nov 7] and We've already started to see casualties of the downturn: Axcelis Technologies of Beverly, which makes factory equipment for microchip manufacturing, has cut one-third of its workforce this year and is scrambling to refinance its debt. ... Cash is king. Companies with money in the bank are effectively spectators .... Companies looking to get loans to cover receivables, or for working capital, are finding it "basically impossible to get a loan, or usurious," [Boston Globe, Nov 9] The usual suspects appear on NASA's latest list of Phase 2 SBIRs: One company with cumulative SBIR/STTR in the $250M range, one with $170M, three with over $100M; at least three over $50M. Etc, etc. [Estimates from SBA database.] These companies write great proposals for what NASA and DOD want to hear. But while NASA HQ bleats about commercialization, its SBIR deciders in the field Centers go merrily on doing their own thing with little apparent regard for SBIR's purpose to seed innovation that will have a future in the competitive world. When will NASA say to multiple SBIR companies that although their technology is good for NASA's missions, they have already had more than plenty of chance to show that they can use the SBIR money to develop their technology and graduate into the real world? No time soon, unless the Obama administration wants programs that deliver the most for every dollar spent. Then it could look to convert SBIR to its highest intended and achievable purpose - seed money for innovation with an economic future. Change in SBIR. Rick Shindell, SBIR Insider, notes that the SBIR champions in the Senate may soon be playing musical chairs right out of the SB Committee as Kerry and Snowe angle for bigger jobs. A new committee with no corporate memory may not readily accept the value claims of the SBIR pleaders. "The government is thumbing its nose at us," grouses Craig R. Barrett, chairman of chip giant Intel. "We're killing engineering and innovation." ... Their major complaints about Washington are: underfunding of basic scientific research, high corporate taxes, and immigration policies that send much-in-demand foreign-born science students packing when they graduate from American universities. They want improvements in education that will produce a more tech-savvy workforce, and they reject heavy-handed government regulation. ... On the R&D front, [Obama] has promised to double federal funding for basic research over 10 years and to set aside money for the most outstanding young researchers in the country. .... favors an increase in H-1B visas for high-skill workers as a stopgap until there's a comprehensive new policy on immigration. As part of that, he favors granting more permanent visas to scientists from overseas. Long-term, he believes the U.S. should produce its own scientists and engineers. [Steve Hamm, Business Week, Nov 17] Importing brains is a lot easier than doubling any spending (on anything) with a deficit hemorrhage. Doubling federal research makes politicians sound serious until they have to find the money. "The Democrats know they've got one shot to do something dramatic in January," says Daniel Clifton, the Washington policy analyst for broker Strategas Research Partners. "After that, the spending game is over. The focus will shift to the deficit and the need to raise revenues." [Jane Sasseen, Business Week, Nov 17] SBIR pleaders should remember that there will be a vicious scrum of program advocates with elbows. Washington is about to become a circus again. Business wants a comprehensive energy plan, and fast. [John Carey, Business Week, Nov 17] Well, of course, don't we all. We got a secret plan in 2001 whose theme came out in the 2008 campaign, "Drill, baby, drill." But we're unlikely to get any plan we want to hear because the richest source of more energy is conservation. And maybe we have learned that subsidies create too many perverse incentives as the price of natural resources oscillates wildly. And, please, no "war on (you name it)." "Uncertain times call for uncertain leadership." suggested a line spoken solemnly by the Capitol Steps' Bush impersonator. [George Will, Wash Post, Nov 9] John Doerr Says. The alpha venture capitalist has advice for President-elect on how to survive a recession. John Doerr recommends: Pick Bill Joy, who co-founded Sun Microsystems and later joined Doerr at Kleiner Perkins, as the nation's chief technology officer, a position that doesn't exist today but that Obama is said to be considering. -- Invest billions of dollars in research on developing clean energy. (Kleiner Perkins is also an investor in clean tech.) -- Double the number of science and engineering graduates in the United States to 60,000 per year, and attach a green card to the diploma of each one who's come from a foreign country. -- Restore DARPA to its former glory as a technology agency. [San Francisco Chronicle, Nov 6] BTW, no matter how good it sounds in a campaign, practical questions remain about a chief tech officer: what would it do, to which agency and oversight committee would it report, what budget power (money is all) would it control, etc. We are after all a capitalist nation where innovation emerges from the private sector that takes no direction from the government and has profit incentives, not glory incentives. SBIR Coach Fred Patterson discusses an important SBIR issue after he talked with DOD and NASA about commercialization/Phase III. And talk is what the federal agencies do the most of about Phase III which is an afterthought from which they would like to make some good press as long as they don't have to do anything about their philosophy of helping themselves first in Phase II. I've never seen any evidence that the commercialization offices in DOD and NASA have any influence in picking SBIR winners, and without making future market potential a serious working criterion for Phase II selection, Phase III is little more than lipstick on the pig. Even the administration's letter to the Senate SB Committee admits that SBIR isn't achieving its goals (other than spending the legally mandated money). You can't play major league ball with minor league players. More Research First. Anticipating a stronger emphasis on renewable fuels from Obama, oil-industry executives say they want to see a substantial increase in federal research funding before they commit considerable muscle. ... oil companies contend the technology for cleaner energy sources, such as plant-derived fuels, isn't yet ready for wide-scale deployment. Their money is better spent finding new supplies of fossil fuel, they argue. [Russell Gold, Wall Street Journal, Nov 7] Paranoia Meets Discrimination. A federal judge said he did not have jurisdiction to decide whether an Egyptian-born Muslim scientist was wrongly denied a security clearance but is still considering whether the man’s due process rights were violated. The ACLU, which sued on behalf of Abdel Moniem Ali el-Ganayni, contends that Dr. Ganayni was wrongly fired from his job in May at a nuclear warship parts plant because he spoke out against American foreign policy and the alleged mistreatment of Muslims by the FBI. .... But Judge McVerry left open the possibility that the Energy Department had violated its own procedures. [AP, Nov 7] Only 17% of Americans trust the government to do the right thing most or all of the time, according to an October New York Times/CBS News poll. So the members of my dream Obama administration understand that they cannot impose an ideological program the country does not accept. New presidents in 1932 and 1964 could presuppose a basic level of trust in government. But today, as Bill Galston of the Brookings Institution observes, the new president is going to have to build that trust deliberately and step by step. [David Brooks, New York Times, Nov 7] So, a new president walks into the Oval Office, facing a trillion-dollar deficit, a severe recession and a long list of promises he made to an expectant electorate. "The first thing I'd tell him is, 'The problems you are confronting are far worse than you expected,' " said Leon Panetta, with a laugh. ... That means back-burnering most of the initiatives the winning candidate campaigned on. .. And how will the electorate respond to this lowering of expectations? "We all know the game. Everybody promises everything to everybody. But deep down, people understand there is no free lunch." [Andrew Ross, San Francisco Chronicle, Nov 5] The Administration strongly opposes S. 3362 because it increases contract set-asides to subsidize business development, which would effectively cut the core competitive research and development activities of the Department of Defense, National Institutes of Health, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Department of Energy, National Science Foundation, and other agencies.... does not support increasing these set-asides given the current absence of systematic performance measures that demonstrate results beyond anecdotal successes. ... ... the focus should be on improving the productivity of and performance metrics for the substantial amount of current spending on the STTR and SBIR programs. [SBA letter, Sep 19] Enough is enough, says Bush, even though four administrations created the absence of systematic performance measures that Bush uses as an excuse for preventing any more SBIR. It says that "we did nothing to make the program succeed and therefore you should stop it before we do any more nothing." The letter also opposes several other provisions of the proposed Act. Bush won't get a chance to veto a re-authorization anyway since the issue has been put off until March 09. Framingham MA will get $5M from the state for infrastructure to support local life science company expansion. Robert Inlow writes that "Liberals have been responsible for gaining women equal rights" (Letters, October 24). To make such a claim is akin to crediting the diplomats who negotiate an enemy-country's military surrender for doing all the hard work that won the war. Capitalism's ethos of freedom of contract - and its creation of inexpensive washing machines, vacuum cleaners, disinfectants, and other household appliances and products - have done far more to promote women's rights than has any "liberal" crusader or politician. [Donald Boudreaux, Cafe Hayek blog] Our government projects borrowing $868 Billion in the next six months to pay for saving you from Iraqi terrorists and bankers and recession. From whom and at what rates? Meanwhile, our politicians promise to cut our taxes. When will the fantasy end? The US is made up of 40% Conservatives, 40% moderates and 20% liberals. McCain does not seem to be speaking to anyone but conservatives, writes Mark Penn [Financial Times, Nov 4] In association with the National Caucus of Basic Biomedical Science Chairs, we have tracked funding of R01 grants. We found an R01 decline, which slows progress in fundamental research and deters bright young people from entering science. [Science, Oct 10] reality will begin to dawn. Reaganomics is over - even the moderate, triangulating version of the Clinton years. It's time to embrace government again as part of the solution rather than as the source of the problem. And it's time to start paying for government again. Our future, and surely our children's, will depend on it [Jeffrey Sachs, Fortune, Oct 27] Lord, let me stop drinking (or gambling), just not yet. After years of unfettered growth in military budgets, Defense Department planners now say they are almost certain that the financial meltdown will have a serious impact on future Pentagon spending. .... they are already analyzing worst-case contingency spending plans that would freeze or slash their overall budgets [T Shanker and C Drew, New York Times, Nov 3] SBIR advocates have their perfect response: a larger share of the shrinking pie. What'll you have - war, economic security, and debt or some rational shrinking of the national idea that we can have it all. Great presidents inspire but they also deliver. The plain fact is, Obama cannot deliver what he has promised. The problems he will confront are too difficult. ... Enthusiasm among Obama’s supporters is not just naive, it borders on the deranged ... Perhaps he really believes that taxes, mandates and trade barriers can keep jobs at home and improve living standards. He has surrounded himself with advisers who think this is nonsense but they have made no detectable impression on his campaign speeches. So who knows? ... But his economic analysis often harks back to a more old-fashioned kind of liberalism, with its emphasis on redistribution, regulation and national priorities [Clive Crook, Financial Times, Nov 2] But then neither can McCain deliver what he promises. So, we will once get the government we deserve - fueled by promiscuous promises. Better to reduce the scale of what government promises by having less government rather than more. Programs to help everyone simply compound the problem of fostering a responsible and achievable prosperity. Neither candidate has owned up to the budget crunch that is certain to crimp their promises, send the country far deeper into debt, or both. Obama's assertion that his cost savings more than pay for his programs, and McCain's statement that he'll freeze most government spending and balance the budget in four years, are not believed outside their campaigns and circles of allies. [Calvin Woodward, AP, Nov 3] Belly up to the federal bar of handout programs, and don't worry about the downstream consequences. Under democracy, one party always devotes its chief energies to trying to prove that the other party is unfit to rule - and both commonly succeed, and are right. --- H.L. Mencken Taking some by surprise, NIH announced last week that scientists applying for grants will get only one chance to resubmit a rejected proposal. [Science, Oct 17] There's no money. Unless the lame-duck session takes an unexpected turn, the next shot at boosting 2009 funding levels will come after the next president is sworn in and the new Congress takes up funding the government for the rest of the fiscal year. Depending on the economy, however, advocates may find that making the case for additional spending on science could prove even more daunting than it was in the fall. As a friend from Congressional Research Service noted about change in the next administration: There's no money. Similarly in Russia Show Me the Rubles. Last week, Russia's science ministry debuted a new scheme to evaluate 2500 Russian research institutes and guide funding decisions, but some scientists say it's a mistake. Following a new policy of making science effectively contribute to Russia's economic development, the scheme includes criteria such as the number of articles published by the staff, their citation impact factor, the number of international contracts, and even the gender proportion of the staff. Alexander Naumov, co-deputy director of the ministry department for scientific, technical, and innovation policy, says the assessments "will be taken into account by federal executive bodies [and] state science academies" when setting budget and planning priorities. Russia's research funding system may need restructuring, say critics, but the new method is the wrong answer. "I tried to evaluate, according to this method, the organizations that I know," says Andrey Finkelstein, director of the Institute of Applied Astronomy of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow. "One of the biggest astronomical organizations in the country appeared to be in the last place, while a very insignificant one turned out to be the most advanced one." After public comment, the ministry plans to amend and adopt the new scheme by November. [Science, Oct 10] The Usual Silly Promise. It will be 35 years next week since President Richard Nixon, responding to an Arab oil embargo, vowed to make the United States energy independent — and do it in seven years. America is still waiting..... "As president I will turn all the apparatus of government in the direction of energy independence," McCain declared, labeling his energy agenda "the Lexington Project," after the New England town where America declared its political independence. He concedes it "has confounded" past Congresses and seven presidents. Obama also embraces the idea. He promises as president to "make sure that we finally get serious about energy independence." [HJ Hebert, AP, oct 31] A Targeted Stimulus. the case for spending doesn't look much stronger: the only people who would benefit are likely to be the best-connected special-interest groups. If a MP really wanted to help the people of her riding, she should resign and force a by-election - government money would rain down on her constituents like so much confetti. [Stephen Gordon, Worthwhile Canadian Initiative blog, Oct 30] Connecticut Innovations released a report calling Fiscal Year 2008 “another successful year,” as the quasi-public agency funded 19 companies, a 73 percent increase over Fiscal Year 2007. Of the 19, 10 companies were new to the portfolio, the report stated. Investments, which are intended to support growth in Connecticut’s tech economy, totaled $11.5 million. [Mass High Tech, Oct 28] When it comes to getting the most for your money, Texas appears to have a lock on the country. The state’s four biggest cities are among the top 10 on Forbes magazine’s list of the best bang-for-your-buck places in the United States. [Austin Business Journal, Oct 16] Choose Your Excavator. Senator John McCain’s tax and spending proposals would create larger annual budget deficits than those of Senator Barack Obama, analysts say. [New York Times, Oct 29] But this America where the government's budget deficit is a mere abstraction as our politicians tell us we can have it all, including lower taxes. We're going to talk about finally ending 30 years of failed energy policy in this nation, ... There hasn't been the political will to get us there [Sarah Palin] When Republicans say "energy policy" they mean US drilling for oil and gas. They will not talk seriously about conservation nor renewables. Herbert Hoover Economics. [HH]McCain says he's breaking with >President Bush's economic policies and would put a tight lid on government spending. ... says his plan will create millions of jobs, protect savings and get the stock market rising again. [AP, Oct 27] While the Treasury pours a trillion into banks, insurers, and home owners, McCain wants to shrink economic activity in his pre-Keynesian world view. But since it's politics, no one expects campaigns to make economic sense, only to appeal to various interest groups. His next call could be for a return to the gold standard. If he were starting from scratch with a Congress that agreed with him, he might have a case for a smaller government than we have now, provided that smaller government had safeguards against the excesses of capitalism and of any majority. But we have a history and a Constitution that have given us the government we have (and deserve) built on two centuries of experience and compromise. He has to offer some sensible way to improve that government, not start over with some remote ideal. Let Us Capitalists Alone. unfortunately in this world there is no tooth fairy. And the government doesn't create anything; it just redistributes. Whenever the government bails someone out of trouble, they always put someone into trouble, plus of course a toll for the troll. Every $100 billion in bailout requires at least $130 billion in taxes, where the $30 billion extra is the cost of getting government involved. [Arthur Laffer, Wall Street Journal, Oct 27] Laffer, you might remember, invented supply-side tax theory on a cocktail napkin. you can’t blame Mr. McCain for campaigning on trivia — after all, it’s worked in the past. ... But that was before the prospect of a second Great Depression concentrated the public’s mind. .. But the Barack Obama voters see now is cool, calm, intellectual and knowledgeable, able to talk coherently about the financial crisis in a way Mr. McCain can’t. And when the world seems to be falling apart, you don’t turn to a guy you’d like to have a beer with (George W in 2000) , you turn to someone who might actually know how to fix the situation. [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Oct 26] The City of Willmar MN has won a $1.25 million state grant that will help fund development of a bioscience research center. [Minneapolis/St. Paul Business Journal, Oct 20] European Union (EU) companies increased their research and development (R&D) investments by 8.8 percent over the past year, slightly more than U.S. companies (8.6 percent) did [AAAS, Oct 23] Never Enough Special Pleading. SBA said that $83.2 billion went to [small] companies in the last fiscal year, a record amount. And it said that the government was close to complying with a law requiring that nearly a quarter of federal contracts go to small businesses. ... But critics argued that small businesses were still not getting their fair share of government contracts. ... “As small businesses represent 99 percent of all firms nationwide and will be vital in leading economic recovery effort,” [Sen Snowe] said, “it is crucial that these enterprises receive every job-creating and capital-generating opportunity in the federal contracting marketplace.” [New York Times, Oct 23] And just what is a "fair share"? Like taxes and art, it's in the eye of the beholder. Why be for free market competition if you can get your politicians to hand you an assured share of the economic pie regardless of your inability to prove any economic superiority? the concern that political tax policy has the potential to put the dream at risk, or at the very least, make the dream’s goal less attractive to achieve. The expression of the political philosophy that “it’s good to spread the wealth” can be viewed as a direct threat to that dream. [SBIR Coach blog, Oct 19] Fred Patterson, who knows a lot about small business success, failure, and taxes, takes Joe the Plumber's side about progressive taxes on behalf of SBIR business who succeed, although Joe has never shown that he understands the principle of progressive taxation. The more you make, the easier it is to be for flat taxes. But Joe and the other small businesses and their employees ignore the burden that someone has to pay for all the things government does, including subsidies for high tech. The economic conservatives, abetted by the social conservatives, have preached for several decades that government is too big and that smaller taxes is the solution. Since they represent the higher income slice of America, they also oppose progressive taxation. But when the stock and bond markets collapse or terrorists attack, they are near the head of the line for expensive action (bailouts or war) with a side dish of lower taxes. They can always find an argument for lower taxes. Their economic arithmetic leaves out how such stuff will be paid for. Since it is futile to tax the poor to pay for government, the rich will have to bear greater burdens for the expensive action. The ugly fact of political economy is that only the people with money can pay the bills. I've only seen two guys who step up to the responsibility of the rich to support the nation: Warren Buffet and Bill Gates Senior. Would you like to join their tiny club or are you for lower taxes and more SBIR? What Price Resurgence? Fed Chairman's call for new stimulus couples with optimism that turmoil is abating to fuel a resurgence in stock markets. ... new tax cuts and extra public spending [The Times, Oct 21] Time to call in the supply-siders to explain their three-decade old theory how "fresh fiscal stimulus" (more spending and lower taxes) pays for itself. The US government’s 2009 fiscal year began 1 October, without congressional approval for nine of 12 agencies with major R&D programs. The departments of Defense, Homeland Security, and Veterans Affairs are slated to receive substantial increases, according to an analysis by the AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program. However, the other science-related agencies will be sustained for several months by a continuing resolution extending funding at or below 2008 levels. Read more about cuts in research funding for agencies including the National Science Foundation, the Department of Energy’s Office of Science, and the National Institutes of Health, and access the full R&D update. (HTML version) (printer-friendly PDF version) [AAAS, Oct 17] We're All Keynesians Now. -- RM Nixon. If governments did not take action, “we must expect the progressive breakdown of the existing structure of contract and instruments of indebtedness, accompanied by the utter discredit of orthodox leadership in finance and government, with what ultimate outcome we cannot predict.” As the world reels from a 1929-style stock market plunge and a 1931-style banking crisis, his words are a fair assessment of the dangers we face once again. Keynes, whose life’s mission was to save capitalism from itself, is more relevant than at any time since his death in 1946. [Ed Crooks, Financial Times, Oct 17] Nixon abandoned Eisenhower frugality to twist Keynes to justify running a deficit to pay for federal programs in economic good times. Keynes advocated balance over a long cycle by running a surplus in good times and a deficit in bad times. Since Nixon, only Clinton advocated surplus finance for as long as the 1990s capital gains bonanza lasted. W couldn't stand the temptation to use the temporary surplus to fund a tax cut that quickly drove the budget back into permanent deficit. Brown, Sarkozy & Co have always done what President Ronald Reagan accused his own bureaucracy of doing: “If it moves, tax it. If it keeps moving, regulate it. If it stops moving, subsidise it.” [Irwin Selzer, The Sunday Times, Oct 19] Raising taxes on some in order to give checks to others is not a tax cut; it's just another government giveaway. --- McCain. It rarely hurts in politics to insult the intelligence of the voter with half-truths and half the relevant facts. And it never hurts a Republican to be against progressive taxation while ignoring the total tax progressivity after wage taxes and sales taxes are considered. McCain of course didn't remind us that part of the "giveaway" was a bailout of the Masters of the Universe on Wall Street. Loaves, Fishes, and Earmarks. McCain’s campaign announced that the] would not freeze science funding. Although McCain has stated as part of his platform that he would keep discretionary funding flat, Ike Brannon, a campaign advisor, stated that it would not relate to science and that McCain "hopes to be able to find savings from earmarks, from unnecessary subsidies, and from other programs that could then be applied to research." [AAAS, Oct 16] The McCain economic fantasy whereby every interest with a voice can keep its benefits just by avoided earmarks. If you judge by how often he claims it, you have to conclude that he is either a complete liar or that he actually believes such math. Why not, since the rest of the government believes it, too? BTW, does unnecessary subsidies include SBIR? [Herbert Hoover] McCain was asked how he would deal with the economic crisis, he answered: “Well, the first thing we have to do is get spending under control.” But, The responsible thing, right now, is to give the economy the help it needs. Now is not the time to worry about the deficit. [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Oct 17] Where Government Spin Rules. Last week, the RTS stock exchange suffered its worst trading day on record, plunging 19 percent. The markets were hit after oil prices — the backbone of Russia's economy — slid heavily amid mounting concerns over the global economic meltdown. But in Russia, it didn't even make the evening news on the three state-controlled channels. [CATRINA STEWART and NATALIYA VASILYEVA, AP, Oct 15] Oiling the Biggest Machines. The USG is expected to take stakes in nine of the nation's top financial institutions as part of a new plan to restore confidence to the battered U.S. banking system, a far-reaching effort that puts the government's guarantee behind the basic plumbing of financial markets. Even Qatar is doing it: pledging investments of as much as 20% of each publicly traded bank's market capitalization [Monica Langley, Wall Street Journal, Oct 14] For those who grew up with only electronic gadgetry, the usual best solution for a mechanical binding problem is lubrication. Confusing the picture is that While America buckles in for years of sacrifice, the five chiefs took a different approach. The group pulled straight from the what-government-can-do-for-you school of 2006, lobbying for Wall Street tax breaks, the repeal of Sarbanes-Oxley and against the distraction of class-action lawsuits. Some of this may be sensible. But in light of a bailout already approaching $1 trillion -- including direct taxpayer injections into bank shares -- it also seemed politically suicidal. [Dennis Berman, Wall Street Journal, Oct 14] Insult Your Base. McCain's recent demonizing of Wall Street made it tough to lure contributors ... [After] a conference call with Merrill Lynch Chief Executive John Thain, J.P. Morgan Chase Vice Chairman James B. Lee Jr. and Blackstone Group CEO Stephen Schwarzman [who] urged a calm reaction to the crisis, to help reassure roiling global markets. Sen. McCain later declared on the stump: "In short order, we're going to put an end to the reckless conduct, corruption and unbridled greed that have caused the crisis on Wall Street." [Wall Street Journal, Oct 14] Where is Safety? Canada has the world's soundest banking system, closely followed by Sweden, Luxembourg and Australia, a survey by the World Economic Forum has found as financial crisis and bank failures shake world markets. [Rob Taylor, Reuters, Oct 9] If you are a hyper-nationalist, you will reject any notion that any other place could be better than America. If so, you are probably also susceptible to politicians wrapping themselves in the flag as though they owned it. Unimpressed by Charles de Gaulle's droll observation that the graveyards are full of indispensable men, Michael Bloomberg, New York City's 108th mayor, has decided that he is indispensable [George Will, Wash Post, Oct 12] Famed scientist Richard Leakey warned that the worldwide credit crisis will be "just devastating" to scientific research in coming years. [Jon Gambrell, AP, Oct 9] Hyperbole! Although it's certain that less money will produce less science, that is only "devastating" if your project gets cut. The Pentagon budget, and lucrative weapons programs, could face cuts to pay for the Wall Street bailout, defense-industry executives say. [August Cole, Wall Street Journal, Oct 10] Let Free Markets Decide. Get rid of two problems and save a pile of government spending: decriminalize recreational narcotics. The U.S. pushed NATO allies to order their troops to target Afghanistan's heroin trade to stem the flow of drug money to the widening insurgency against the international military mission. [AP, Oct 9] The lawless profits will disappear into a regular market like alcohol, and the government can reduce its costs for enforcement of drug trade and the crime that results. Unlikely, since the Republican moralists far outnumber the true free marketers with political courage. Unimpressed by Charles de Gaulle's droll observation that the graveyards are full of indispensable men, Michael Bloomberg, New York City's 108th mayor, has decided that he is indispensable [George Will, Wash Post, Oct 12] Famed scientist Richard Leakey warned that the worldwide credit crisis will be "just devastating" to scientific research in coming years. [Jon Gambrell, AP, Oct 9] Hyperbole! Although it's certain that less money will produce less science, that is only "devastating" if your project gets cut. The Pentagon budget, and lucrative weapons programs, could face cuts to pay for the Wall Street bailout, defense-industry executives say. [August Cole, Wall Street Journal, Oct 10] Let Free Markets Decide. Get rid of two problems and save a pile of government spending: decriminalize recreational narcotics. The U.S. pushed NATO allies to order their troops to target Afghanistan's heroin trade to stem the flow of drug money to the widening insurgency against the international military mission. [AP, Oct 9] The lawless profits will disappear into a regular market like alcohol, and the government can reduce its costs for enforcement of drug trade and the crime that results. Unlikely, since the Republican moralists far outnumber the true free marketers with political courage. one line currently making the rounds is that the only things anyone wants to buy right now are Treasury bills and bottled water ... we have a globalized financial system in which a crisis that began with a bubble in Florida condos and California McMansions has caused monetary catastrophe in Iceland. We’re all in this together, and need a shared solution. [Paul Krugman, NY Tines Oct 10] Where is Safety? Canada has the world's soundest banking system, closely followed by Sweden, Luxembourg and Australia, a survey by the World Economic Forum has found as financial crisis and bank failures< shake world markets. [Rob Taylor, Reuters, Oct 9] If you are a hyper-nationalist, you will reject any notion that any other place could be better than America. If so, you are probably also susceptible to politicians wrapping themselves in the flag as though they owned it. Let's elect adults this time. A draft report by American intelligence agencies concludes that Afghanistan is in a “downward spiral” and casts serious doubt on the ability of the Afghan government to stem the rise in the Taliban’s influence there, according to American officials familiar with the document. [M Mazzetti and E Schmitt, New York Times, Oct 9] Our National Command Authority took its eye off the prize in 2002 when it decided to "fix" Iraq. Now, as the enemy has re-grouped in Afghanistan and Pakistan, we have neither the strategy nor the ready forces to re-engage. The Fed said it will bypass ailing banks and lend directly to U.S. corporations for the first time since the Great Depression [Wall Street Journal, Oct 8] New York state lawmakers are bracing constituents for a third round of major budget cuts this year, a ripple effect of the crisis on Wall Street. ... New York's budget relies on the financial sector for 20% of overall state revenue. [Wall Street Journal, Oct 8] What's Fair? The Committee chair from his pulpit asked: Your company is now bankrupt, our economy is now in a state of crisis, but you get to keep $480 million. I have a very basic question for you: Is this fair? --- HENRY WAXMAN chairman of the House Oversight Committee, questioning Lehman Brothers CEO Richard Fuld over the bank's collapse last month. The victim of this political theater could have replied: Congressman, since I abided by the rules that the Congress made, it would not be fair to rescind those rules retroactively. If the rules produce a result that you don't like, then change the rules for the future. Officials pretend they’re coming up with policy responses, but much of what they do is political theater. [David Brooks, New York Times, Oct 7] The American Dream of home ownership for all is a fraud. Politicians who pimped this dream created an unsustainable mortgage industry whose collapse is only surprising because it didn't happen earlier. America's mortgage industry will not recover, nor deserve to recover, unless it is prepared to challenge this politically unpalatable reality. [an Australian, Investors Daily Guide] SBIR Insider, Rick Shindell, reports that the Senate SBIR bill is going nowhere because Dr NoPork Coburn fights passionately against bills with earmarks, and those with what he deems to be of questionable fiscal responsibility. He has a questionable reputation of support for small businesses. For now, with Congress focused on bigger problems and a need to get re-elected, SBIR has a temporary extension through March 20, 2009. Good State, Bad State. When the DCI survey participants were asked to name the most favorable state business climates, Texas got the highest overall score, followed (in order) by North Carolina, Georgia, Florida and Tennessee (tied), Nevada, and South Carolina. When participants were asked to name the least favorable state business climates, California topped the list, followed (in order) by New York, Michigan, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Illinois, and Oregon. --- Source: “A View from Corporate America: Winning Strategies in Economic Development Marketing,” Development Counsellors International, July 2008. Ever mindful of the danger that George Bush will lead us down the road to Socialism, we will be monitoring this very closely. ---BARNEY FRANK, responding to a speech by US Rep Jeb Hensarling warning about the bailout's socialistic tendencies. More Government, Please. Craig Overmiller's Austin-based company has nothing to do with banking, politics or Wall Street. ... As co-founder of Texas Solar Power (no SBIR), Overmiller has plenty to gain — or lose. Included in the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 is an extension and expansion of a solar power investment tax credit for consumers and businesses that Overmiller estimates could add $2 million a year to his company's $6 million in annual sales. [Bob Keefe, Austin American-Statesman, Oct 3] "Bailout is from when I was against the bill," the veteran South Florida Republican jokingly corrected her. "Now it's economic rescue legislation. You gotta get the lingo." Ros-Lehtinen's new perspective was one congressional leaders were hoping other lawmakers shared as well. After three days back home, ... [Allan Fram, AP, Oct 3] $100B Here, ... the newly added tax provisions of the bill alone will cost the government an additional $110.4 billion by 2018, according to a just-released study by Congress' Joint Committee on Taxation. Only $3.4 billion of that is related to the "bailout" portion of the bill. The AMT fix and the extension of certain tax incentives will cost $107 billion over the next 10 years. [Forbes, Oct 2] ... and pretty soon you're talking real money. Each $100B means $300 for every head of the population. If the flat-taxers got their wish, babies would pay the same $300 as Bill Gates, although they fantasize that a "democratic" flat-tax government would resist the urge to buy votes with handouts. The Senate saw fit to dig the national economic hole a little deeper by adding "sweeteners" to the bailout bill, and then congratulated each other on their bipartisanship. The global financial system is out of control, and in Washington no one is in charge. ... America's reputation may not recover from having forfeited leadership at the time when its leadership is most desperately needed to restore confidence in a panicking world. This is not the pragmatic, courageous America we thought we knew. [Camilla Cavendish, The Times, Oct 1] ... The era of the self-regarding, massively self-rewarding independent investment banker, the financial colossus of the past few years, is over. ... The centre of financial gravity has abruptly shifted to Washington. .... The writer and economist John Kenneth Galbraith identified the essential ingredient of financial feel-good: “Speculation on a large scale requires a pervasive sense of confidence and optimism and conviction that ordinary people were meant to be rich. [Ben Macintyre, The Times, Oct 1] President George W. Bush used Monday's drop in equity markets to argue the need for quick congressional action on a rescue plan, and said his advisers will begin working with Congress on a new solution [Wall Street Journal, Sep 30] The good and the bad news is that he long ago lost any audience. The extension of the research-and-development tax credit didn't make it through the House as it usually does, as Democrats leaned toward PayGo instead of merely adding to the deficit with every handout. Tax credits for renewable energy sources gut hit the same way. The House and the Senate conceded Monday that they were in a stalemate over proposals to provide tax incentives for the production and use of renewable energy, leaving the future of the nascent industry in limbo. [Robert Pear, New York Times, Sep 30] [SECDEF Gates] challenged those who advocate investing in smaller numbers of higher-technology weapons in a belief that war can be revolutionized, fought at long distance with American forces never getting bloodied. [Thom Shanker, New York Times, Sep 30] Rescue and Decline. The politicians happily trumpet their saving the banking system. Actually, they did the thing it is easiest for politicians to do: divide other people's money in a compromise that gives something to anyone with a veto power. They made no effort to raise the money except form vague ideas about the government making money on the deals or taxing the banks (and their lobbyists) five years or more from now. The Europeans and the Asians aren't so convinced, and their markets started down Monday morning (where they are). Anyway, the free lunch is a mirage as The success of the pending rescue of the U.S. financial system probably depends as much on the central banks of China and the Middle East as on Congress and the Federal Reserve, because The U.S. is turning to foreign governments and other overseas investors to buy a good chunk of what could total $700 billion in Treasury debt expected to finance the bailout. ... an unmistakable sign of U.S. economic decline [Bob Davis, Wall Street Journal, Sep 29] Purely Political. On one side [of the SBIR debate] are folks like John Butler, chief scientist and a principal at Image Acoustics in Cohasset, MA. Butler says the SBIR funds account for as much as 70 to 80 percent of the budget for his five-person firm, which designs underwater sound transducers for the Navy. [Jon Chesto, Quincy Patriot Ledger, Aug 24, 08] The government SBIR data bases show Butler's firm with about $5M SBIR since 1997 which is enough to support most of five people full time. Although there is nothing obviously wrong with the company, will such a firm and its technology ever make an economic return that justifies calling the $5M an "investment"? The public may never find out since the firm is private and the government managers have an incentive to ignore the ROI question as long as they get the contract R&D they are paying for. But, of course, the SBTC wants to largesse to continue. To that end, its honcho Jere Glover (tireless SB advocate) published a piece in the Buffalo News [Sep 22] touting the program's success in helping 17000 firms nationally with 3000 New York firms getting $1B. And the investment has paid off: The program’s firms employ 1.5 million people, including 450,000 scientists and engineers, and have received 84,000 patents, far more than American universities over a similar time period. What Glover doesn't say is that the same money would have supported the same number of jobs and patents wherever it was spent and he offers no evidence of any significantly higher economic return than would have happened anyway with the money in open competition for R&D "investment" by the federal agencies (which wouldn't be expected to come up with much economic return anyway). The bottom line: the case for SBIR remains purely political. Bernanke and Paulson should have made outrageous promises at the hearings and argued there is no way this will cost the taxpayer $700 billion, that the taxpayer will in fact make money. That works much better on the American psyche. America loves buying lottery tickets. Think of the bailout as a lottery ticket with much better odds. [Deal Journal at wsj.com, Sep 26] How directly will small business lending be affected by the ongoing financial crisis and forthcoming bailout? The evidence is mixed. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson told Congress that the $700 billion plan was needed "in order to avoid a continuing series of financial institution failures and frozen credit markets that threaten American families' financial well-being, the viability of businesses both small and large, and the very health of our economy." Business owners with bad credit, unproven ventures, or companies tied to troubled industries such as housing have had a particularly hard time borrowing, but many banks still want to lend to established firms with good credit and collateral. There's no question some companies are having credit cut off. In Ohio, banks are refusing to renew lines of credit and calling in loans made to decades-old family businesses that are current on payments, according to Dayton bankruptcy and workout attorney John Rieser. (Source: BusinessWeek) [Investor Daily Guide, Sep 26] Creative accounting, I love it. “Kenny Boy” would be proud. Comment by Wendy Gramm (not verified as the real Wendy Gramm of Texas)- September 26, 2008 ... a $700 billion price tag, and it will mean a huge amount of government spending. However, due to accounting rules it likely won’t have any effect on the 2009 budget deficit. In congressional testimony earlier this week, Peter Orszag, director of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, told lawmakers that the program should be treated on net-expected-cost basis. The cost wouldn’t be recorded as gross outlays, but as “the purchase cost minus the expected value of any estimated future earnings from holding those assets and the proceeds from the eventual sale of them.” Since the value of the assets will be set by what the government pays, the program should at least be budget neutral in the near term. [Real Time Economics, Wall Street Journal, Sep 26] The government pays real money for junk of unknown value and treats it as a capital investment, not consumer spending. Which would be normal at IBM, but the government doesn't do capital budgeting, unless the payout is so big and controversial that some way is needed to hide its current effect. There's also the danger of convenient memory when the eventual sale produces revenue and the Congress treats it as current income to cover its astronomical budget deficits of FY2015. Keep it simple: make any outlay a current outlay. Bailouts Take Priority. proposed 2009 increases for key science agencies such as the NSF and DOE’s Office of Science could be on hold until next spring. [AAAS, Sep 25] Payback Time. Bush-Cheney had a fun five years peddling their monarchic programs to a docile Republican Congress with a bare minimum of facts and a generous portion of disdain for the Legislative Branch. Now the president-king says "pony up $700B immediately so I can do my thing for the bankers." Only our way, say both parties in Congress; anyway, why should we believe you about the urgency? We've heard your wolf cry and seen your act before about invasions and eavesdropping. Bush warns of ‘long and painful recession’ in the American political urge to stop any recession, this time at the cost of borrowing another $700B. Classic 'kick the can' in the model that America is so strong that it can do anything it wants with no serious consequences at least in the present. How much patience do they think our creditors have? How can we demand that our politicians think of the long term? Above all, please, competence. Mr Paulson was personally responsible for suddenly turning the painful but manageable credit crunch that had been grinding away 18 months in the background of the US economy into a global catastrophe. Mr Paulson's appearances on Capitol Hill, marked by the characteristic Bush-era combination of arrogance and incompetence, ...Henry Paulson is to finance what Donald Rumsfeld was to military strategy, Dick Cheney to geopolitics and Michael Chertoff to flood defence. .... as US Treasury Secretary he does not know what he is doing. His recent blunders, starting with the “rescue” of Fannie Mae, have triggered unintended consequences around the world, resulting in the death-spiral of financial values. But last Friday Mr Paulson outdid even these Rumsfeldian achievements, when he demanded $700 billion from Congress for a “comprehensive and fundamental” solution to the global financial crisis, without apparently having any idea of what he would actually do. The good news - his blunders no longer matter very much. [Anatole Kelstsky, The Times, Sep 25] Obama says middle-class tax cuts are "absolutely necessary" for an economy that could be sliding into recession. [AP, Sep 23] Great, another big class of earners citizens who won't have to pay for the gigantic deficits. Borrow our way to prosperity for all and sundry. Whom, then, shall we tax for our spending, including the Iraq war, on behalf of those all and sundry? Ah, of course, we'll cut $10B in "pork" to balance the $700B for financial bailouts. What's pork? Money spent in some other district for the kind of things we elect our representative to get for us. Bailout Plan #23 The Meltzer Plan Talking on the NewHour, economist Allan Meltzer says he does not like the Treasury Plan to end the financial crisis and proposes an alternative: if they're going to do something, then what they ought to do is make loans, which the financial institutions have to repay with interest. And if you think -- that's an idea which the Chileans have used in a bigger crisis than this for them in 1982, and it worked for them. People paid back the loans. They weren't allowed to pay dividends until they repaid the loans. They weren't allowed to take bonuses until they repaid the loans. I think that's the way -- if we're going to do this, then that's the way we should do it. [Greg Mankiw's blog, Sep 24] Everybody's got a plan, but the Dems in Congress say that no plan is going anywhere until the Republicans support it. Obama said he would slash federal spending on contractors by 10% and saving $40 billion. Unfortunately for his plan, the contracts most likely to be cut are out in the country where he is running against Washington, and the Beltway Bandits will do fine. The good news for him is that the people out there don't know those realities. More Silly Speech. McCain, who only a week ago said the economy was fundamentally sound, now says the U.S. financial system is facing a major crisis. ... "the most serious crisis since World War II." But, there's still the free lunch. he would not raise taxes [which] in tough economic times that makes problems worse. [AP, Sep 22] Borrow a trillion more dollars (from some fools) and offer no provision for repaying it. How much more would your bank extend your credit line if you took the same approach? Apparently infinitely, since such overlooking of credit rating got us in this mess in the first place. Remember to vote Nov 4 for the lesser fool since the the candidate is likely to make equally silly speech. Windvane McCain, the former anti-regulator,called for greater oversight of the Bush administration's proposed bailout of U.S. financial markets, saying the massive $700 billion plan being crafted by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson needed broader supervision. [AP, Sep 22] A Lobbyist's Dream. Stand aside or you'll get trampled by the lobbying rush in Washington as Congress and the Treasury write a panic bailout plan in the heat of a presidential campaign. Time is short and the stakes are huge. More Free Lunch. a $700 billion financial markets rescue plan to Congress where Democrats immediately questioned its impact not only on Wall Street, but on homeowners and taxpayers as well. ... with a provision that Decisions by the treasury secretary related to the buyback program could not be reviewed by any court. [AP, Sep 20] A get-well card for financiers, something for workers and home buyers, some pork just to taunt McCain, and no one has to pay a penny in additional taxes to fill the hole. It will as Bill Clinton said, "blow a hole in the deficit." But the negotiations have just begun and the courts have a way of finding themselves a role when an authority-happy Executive conspires with Congress to curtail what the courts may see as a Constitutional right by some future damaged claimant. despite the abracadabra routine being staged in Washington, the stock market hasn't suddenly become predictable, and the future hasn't become miraculously clear. One of the only certainties is a mushrooming Federal debt as the Treasury borrows to fund the bailout of Wall Street's shameful bacchanalia. [Jason Zweig, Wall Street Journal, Sep 20] Want More Casino Markets? McCain said Friday the Federal Reserve needs to stop bailing out failed financial institutions. .... the Fed should get back to what he called "its core business of responsibly managing our money supply and inflation." [AP, Sep 19] Uh, nice idea in a "normal" financial world. But had he heard that the credit markets had frozen up for lack of trust in any financial institution's credit worthiness? And if so, does he have a good alternative to some kind of government intervention? Since before 1844 central banks have been in the business of managing financial crises. That's what they do. Milton Friedman is spinning in his grave. The prevention of large-scale bank failures--"bailouts," in McCain's terms--is an essential part of responsibly managing the money supply. John McCain does not know that. And nobody working for John McCain knows that [Brad DeLong, Sep 19] Has he forgotten his role in the S&L crash of the 1980s and his patron Charles Keating in a similar atmosphere of loose regulation of financial markets? Is he for more or less such loose regulation that led to undercapitalized firms guaranteeing credit default swaps (and other dazzling derivatives) when they had not the means to deliver on their contractual obligations? No shortage of armchair generals though. But it’s no use whining about the prospect of a financial rescue plan. Today’s U.S. political system isn’t going to follow Andrew Mellon’s infamous advice to Herbert Hoover: “Liquidate labor, liquidate stocks, liquidate the farmers, liquidate real estate.” The big buyout is coming; the only question is whether it will be done right. [Paul Krugman, NY Times, Sep 19] Shortly after McCain's quip, Bush announced a broad government rescue plan and acknowledged that it will put a significant amount of taxpayers' money on the line, and with the usual straight face Rep. Roy Blunt, the No. 2 GOP leader in the House, suggested the rescue can be handled without a tax increase. Hundreds of billions for bailout and not a penny for taxes - sounds like the Democratic Republican Jefferson. What magic; another free lunch from supply-side economics. The president has never told Americans they cannot have it all; and, indeed, this trust-fund baby who never had to balance a personal budget led the way. In his term of office, he has added a staggering $32 trillion to the unfunded government liabilities future generations of Americans will have to bear. And he has borrowed and borrowed from the Chinese to ensure that the consequences of his fiscal madness will never come back to punish him. [Andrew Sullivan, The Sunday Times, Sep 21] foreign purchases of U.S. assets bankroll the deficit spending of the U.S. government and consumers. For approximately forever, economists have warned foreign investors will finally lose patience with the game. That day has stubbornly not arrived, as U.S. markets have long been the safest, deepest, most-liquid markets in the world. Someday, however, if and when democracy arrives in those places, "These countries will face a political and economic reckoning, when their own citizens will ask why they're sending cash to the Americans so it can be lost in risky derivative instruments," says Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist at Merk Investments, an investment-advisory firm [Mark Gongloff, Wall Street Journal, Sep 19] Think this is pain? The broad U.S. stock market has fallen about 5% this quarter. Worst Crisis Since '30s, With No End Yet in Sight But it is the best performing in the world (at least in dollar terms), according to Standard & Poor's. A motley crew, including Norwegians, Brazilians and Russians, has suffered drops of 35% or more. So much for the rest of the world decoupling from a struggling American financial market. The supply siders get their wish: A slowdown in tax revenue in 2009 could do more damage than the bailouts, a senior administration official said. "The much larger effect is what's going on with the overall economy and the effect on receipts," the official said. "It traditionally has gone up or down by hundreds of billions" based on swings in the economy. "That's what we're most concerned about anytime we estimate." [Wall Street Journal, Sep 18] The administration sent out its least credible spokesman (the guy with a 30% approval rating) to declare that it was concerned and was working the problem. The Republican presidential candidate said he would fire the SEC Chair, a former Republican Congressman, reminding us that Bush's first SEC Chair was also fired. Maybe the good news is that the administration point man got to be the boss of Goldman- Sachs, as did one of his predecessors, also highly regarded as an adult in a crisis. McCain, long an advocate of small government and less regulation, moved sharply toward the other end of the spectrum this week, promising to crack down on "the greed and mismanagement of Wall Street and Washington." In the text of a speech he delivered Tuesday in Florida, Sen. McCain said, "In short order, we are going to put an end to the reckless conduct, corruption, and unbridled greed that have caused a crisis on Wall Street." [M Phillips et al, Wall Street Journal, Sep 18] Meanwhile, a McCain business advisor, Carly Fiorina said neither McCain nor Palin was ready to run a big business like HP. The media is turning the news into a presidential video game. "Hurricane Ike" or "Wall Street Meltdown" appears onscreen, and the media boots up Barack Obama and John McCain to see how well they talk the problem. Mostly they are speaking gobbledygook about things they barely understand. Whatever a credit default swap is, I'm against it. The public is left to wonder if they are voting for a commentator in chief or commander in chief. [Daniel Henninger, WSJ, Sep 18] An Opening is what Obama drove through when McCain said he would fire the SEC Chair: I think that's all fine and good but .... In the next 47 days you can fire the whole trickle-down, on-your-own, look-the-other way crowd in Washington who has led us down this disastrous path. Don't just get rid of one guy. Get rid of this administration. Get rid of this philosophy. Get rid of the do-nothing approach to our economic problem. [AP, Sep 18] McCain should have known better; the problem isn't any individual appointee but the structure of the regulatory system. We've gone from too much to too little as the nature of the financial system adapted to the technology of instant money transfers in the hands of more imaginative manipulators than the government has checkers that could stay in the game with them. After all, they love Reagan's idea that government isn't the solution, government is the problem. Rescuing financial giants, an endless war in Iraq, stimulating the economy - at least a trillion dollars - all as though the money borrowing well was bottomless. And they call themselves "conservatives." Eventually we will pay for it all as the government debauches the money by simply creating more of it since they have not the will to raise the needed taxes to pay for it. There never was a free lunch. The Senate passed a $612B defense budget which the Center for Defense Information notes is only the larger part of the national defense spending of $850B after adding in such items as Iraq war supplementals, Homeland Security, Veterans Affairs, and a proportional part of the national debt interest. [data from Winslow Wheeler, CDI] The SBIR advocates have a response: we want a bigger share of the bigger pie. The $850B national security spending piles on even more national debt as the Masters of the Financial Universe commit unknown billions at a whack to stabilize the financial markets after the orgy of dicey mortgages and credit default swaps in which no one knows the degree of exposure to more tens of billions. Plus: Support seemed to be growing quickly on Capitol Hill for $25 billion in loan guarantees to assist the auto industry. [NY Times, Sep 18] Anyone longing for the brief days of Y2K budget surpluses that were paying down the national debt? Although the adults at the time knew that the dot.com magic could not last forever, they were at least using the temporary capital gains tax revenue to prepare for the coming rainy days. More Government, Please. Minnesotans are jittery about the state of the economy and are convinced the federal government isn't doing enough to help them out. [Minneapolis Star Tribune, Sep 16] Does that portend a Franken victory for the Senate seat because Republicans don't want the government to help people? Or is it just the old adage that people want more government than they are willing to pay for? A Few Months Only. Gail and Jim Greenwood announced in a recent newsletter that: 'We have just heard that Congress has taken a stop-gap step of continuing the SBIR program "as is" through March 2009.' [SBIR Alerting Service, Sep 5] Do a Sarah - ask for your share of the pork pie before you later claim that you hate pork. Tell your Congresscritters that if a little bit is good, a whole lot is better, even if you cannot prove that the good was reaped by anyone except you. NIH has awarded its first round of EUREKA grants for exceptionally innovative research. A total of $42.2 million was awarded to 38 projects. [AAAS] neither candidate has the vaguest idea how to get the budget under control [Irwin Stelzer, Weekly Standard, Sep 12] All beneficiaries want more and all taxpayers to pay less. And the candidates assure the public that they can have more government than they are willing to pay for. Whom do we blame for the ills of our highest political goal - self-government? But just as the triumph appeared to be complete the innermost sanctum of the global capitalist system suddenly collapsed. [Anatole Kaletsky, The Times (London), Sep 12] Surely if it OK for government to bail out big banks, it is OK to distort federal R&D by forcing it to subsidize uncompetitive small companies. Fill Every Wish, It's an Election. The CBO said the fiscal 2008 U.S. budget deficit will be more than double the 2007 figure. [WSJ, Sep 10] As the candidates tout great programs to shower on today's voters. But There are real worries the government can't cure. The global economy is slowing. Credit is tight. Stocks are not cheap - adjusted for inflation, the S&P 500 is as expensive relative to its trailing earnings as it was in August 1987 or March 2000, just prior to very bad market periods. [Wall Street Journal, Sep 10] worth overdoing? Here's a prediction: The media will report today that the federal budget deficit is big and getting bigger. What most of them won't report, alas, is that the cause of these deficits is an explosion in federal spending. The era of big government is back, bigger than ever. The real news in yesterday's Congressional Budget Office semiannual report is that federal expenditures on everything from roads to homeland security to health care will on present trends reach 21.5% of GDP next year. That's a larger share of national output than at anytime since 1992. If the cost of the federal takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac prove to be large and are taken into account, next year federal outlays could be higher as a share of the economy than at anytime since World War II. (Source: Wall Street Journal) [Investor Guide Daily, Sep 10] Can you think of any great ideas for more and bigger federal programs? Anything worth doing is worth overdoing? If you want more federal program stuff, how do you propose to pay for it other than cutting somebody else's bigger and better program? many American voters wish the U.S. industrial economy of the 1950s and '60s could be restored, and with it the sweet deal unskilled workers enjoyed. Politicians fail to pander at their peril, and globalization is often held at fault for economic insecurity. .... [Obama's economist] Goolsbee says: "the last eight years' degradation of the budgets for science and its general politicization are so upsetting. The government's commitment to investment in advanced training of our own people has plummeted, so now something like two-thirds of those gaining science and engineering PhDs here aren't U.S. citizens. For many years America led globally in the percentage of 25-year-olds with college degrees. Now the U.S. is 31 in the world--right behind Bulgaria and right above Costa Rica. but then Generations of the best and the brightest have come and gone in Washington, DC, usually without effecting significant changes. [Mark Williams, MIT Tech Review, S/O 08] Dig, Dig, Dig the Hole. With the economy the No. 1 issue just eight weeks from Election Day, majority-party Democrats are trying to push a second stimulus package through Congress to follow the tax rebate checks sent out earlier this year. [A Taylor, AP] and the next president is likely to face a shortfall in January of well over $500 billion, congressional budget analysts said [L Montgomery, WashPost] The cost of the government’s [FNMA] intervention could rise into tens of billions of dollars and will probably be among the most expensive rescues ever financed by taxpayers. [New York Times, Sep 7] Meanwhile, both presidential candidates have great plans to re-vitalize the US economy by .... pumping in money they don't have. Tax cuts or stimulus have the same effect: economic activity from borrowed money. Just like improving your family life with your credit card. How and when will it be re-paid? That's for some future election. But since the voters don't want to hear about responsible austerity, the only recourse is printing money - inflate away the debt, what governments have done for centuries. The deed will be showcased as reducing the debt as a percentage of GDP which will grow faster than real GDP by the degree of price inflation. Plans Galore. We now have a significant advanced technology trade deficit, a turnaround from the surpluses we ran in earlier decades. In 1980, the U.S. share of world advanced technology exports was a robust 29 percent; in 2005, the most recent data show, that was down to an anemic 12 percent. .... the number of Chinese undergraduates with degrees in the natural sciences and engineering has gone from half that of the United States twenty years ago to more than twice that of the United States now. ... The president ended up opposing most of the funding increases he had originally called for in his initiative. ... not a difficult issue to explain to voters, and the amounts of money involved are not large in the context of a $3 trillion budget. [Norman Ornstein, AEI, Aug 8] Every wonk has an imperative agenda for the nation that will require only a small fraction of the federal budget. But the number of wonks multiplied by their small budget fraction would overwhelm the available money. Oh yes, and wouldn't more SBIR be a great idea? I have now watched a brace of US presidential nominating conventions. This has been a truly mind-numbing and depressing experience - a complete triumph of appearance over substance [William Buiter, Financial Times, Sep 5] Change and No Change. Let me just offer an advance warning to the old big-spending, do-nothing, me-first, country-second crowd: Change is coming. So says the candidate of the party that has held the White House for eight years and the Congress for ten of the last twelve years. Tom Toles's cartoon [Washington Post, Sep 5] has the candidate say Watch out Mr Bush! With the exception of economic policy and energy policy and social issues and tax policy and supreme court appointments and Rove-style politics, we're coming there to shake things up! You don't need a long memory to remember that W also promised a better Washington. Go ahead and vote for your favored blatherer, but don't expect the vested leopards that drive federal policy to change their spots. Don't Share I. A federal jury in Knoxville, Tenn., convicted a retired university professor on conspiracy, wire fraud and export control charges yesterday for improperly sharing sensitive technology with students from China and Iran. Plasma physicist J. Reece Roth faces more than a decade in prison when he is sentenced early next year. Prosecutors say the professor emeritus at the University of Tennessee exchanged restricted military data with foreign research assistants and traveled overseas with electronic versions of sensitive materials on his laptop computer. ... among the first in which the government sought to punish a defendant for distributing scientific know-how rather than equipment to foreigners studying at universities with military research contracts. [Carrie Johnson, Washington Post, Sep 4] Federal funding of academic science and engineering (S&E) R&D failed to outpace inflation for two consecutive years, says NSF. [SSTI, Sep 3] The really bad news is that the nation's finances should require a third and more year of relative shrinkage. Unless we just keep muttering "growth" as the escape route. For if real growth doesn't happen, we would have to shrink the debt by moving the decimal point(s) with hyperinflation. More really bad news comes from the realization that we don't know where the required growth would come from. We just require our politicians to keep saying it without having any credible policy for achieving it. “Citizens”, he remarks with justice, “yearn for a restoration of a mythical Old Republic. Yet one might as well hope for the revival of the family farm or for physicians to resume making house calls.” Beginning with the election of John Kennedy, he writes, “the occupant of the White House has become a combination of demigod, father figure, and, inevitably, the betrayer of inflated hopes.” [The Economist reviewing Bachevich's The Limits of Power, Aug 30] if the present New Orleans is to remain viable, it will be because federal money makes it so. Just add it to the list. Final liability for more and more of life's risks is being assumed by the federal government ... Voters and officials in New Orleans still view it as a "problem," of course, when apartment building owners can't find insurance at an affordable price. A better word would be "solution." What is the function of insurance, after all, but to provide price signals to encourage safe choices over dangerous ones? [Wall Street Journal, Sep 3] It extends the reach of the idea that anything bad should be illegal and anything good should be done by the government. Insuring vulnerable property owners and pushing money to high tech small business - both flying in the face of sensible free-market economics. A recent paper by Zoltan Acs, Wiliam Parsons and Spencer Tracy, published by the SBA's Office of Advocacy, confirms this belief by finding that a very small percentage of firms are responsible for almost all revenue employment growth in the U.S. These high-growth firms can exist in any industry, but on average, they are younger than the average business. Still, the average age for a high-growth firm is 25 years, older than the nascent businesses that are the focus of much TBED activity and regional growth strategies. The study suggests that regional and state policymakers should follow a balanced approach that supports both new and expanding businesses. ... builds on research done by David Birch, who developed the concept of gazelle firms in the 1980s and 1990s ... The researchers suggest that, in light of this data, local economic development organizations should put more effort into cultivating high-growth firms, rather than focusing exclusively on entrepreneurship. [SSTI, Aug 13] If Obama becomes the next president, Rep. Zoe Lofgren, D-Calif., believes key appointments for high-tech sector prosperity will be within the SEC. "There have been a lot of problems there," she told a technology forum. A perceived failure to appropriately regulate markets has led to serious economic challenges, she said, noting that the next administration must provide relief for start-up companies and young innovators. ... She also told a crowd that it is crucial for Congress to pass legislation to update the U.S. patent system next year. [Tech Daily Dose, Aug 26] Note that "relief" does not imply handouts of money. the war in Georgia isn’t that big a deal economically. But it does mark the end of the Pax Americana — the era in which the United States more or less maintained a monopoly on the use of military force. And that raises some real questions about the future of globalization. [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Aug 15] Keep the Subsidies Flowing. U.S. solar-energy companies that do business primarily in America would suffer most if Congress fails to renew expiring federal tax credits for solar energy. .... Lawmakers are expected to mount an 11th-hour effort in September to reach agreement on a tax package for solar and other renewable energy sources before suspending their work, possibly until 2009. .... Interest in solar energy as an electricity source has taken off in recent months, from large-scale utility projects to rooftop installations at retail outlets, ... But representatives for Macy's and REI said any plans to install rooftop solar systems in 2009 will depend upon whether the tax credit is available. .... The solar tax credits are widely supported, but Senate Republicans have blocked the broader tax bill because they object to Democrats' use of loophole-closers and tax increases to offset the cost of tax incentives for renewable energy and other tax cuts. [Martin Vaughn, Wall Street Journal, Aug 27] Who's Techier? Clearly the McCain campaign has been thinking about technology-related issues even if the candidate himself isn't the most tech-savvy person around. I don't think that the McCain campaign has gotten enough credit for delving into these issues and staking out responsible positions in detail. ... Give Obama some credit though. His campaign has done well in leveraging technology for partisan political purposes. He danced rings around Hillary's campaign and he's still managed to stay a bit ahead of McCain's team. Obama should certainly be given credit for running such a tech-savvy campaign. [Jim Lynch, Extreme Tech, Aug 22] But using tech in campaigning doesn't say much about likely policy stances after the election. Our last two presidents differed dramatically: Clinton the wonk loved and understood government tech investment programs, while W the playboy adored free-markets. Unfortunately many in our Insider network feel that the House is in no mood to compromise with the Senate. The House bill, H.R. 5819, had overwhelming support comprised of 368 Ayes, 43 Nays and 20 No Votes. That translates to a bipartisan vote of 219 Democrats and 149 Republicans voting in the affirmative. "With numbers like that, why should we compromise," said a House source wishing anonymity. I responded to my source, "you should compromise because your constituents want you to." That provoked a slight laugh and end of conversation. [SBIR Insider, Aug 20] Anywhere, One-Hour Delivery. It's not quite a "death ray" but it's the closest existing technology can get to that fantasy weapon. Still, skeptics roll their eyes and say that the report's authors are like a bunch of junior high school boys who have seen all the James Bond movies and believe that if a weapon can be built, it must be built. [Mark Thomas, Time.com, Aug 23] To pay for an open-ended "national imperative" program, the advocates might suggest: a) cost is irrelevant for national imperatives, b) cut somebody else's obviously less important program(s), 3) raise all national taxes by 1%. But, the most important question of all: a hammer is worthless if you can't find the nail. Kings Dodge Debts. Will the U.S. Treasury repudiate its obligations to its creditors, be they citizens or investors around the world? Most observers would answer "no" without hesitation. But Congress, with the complicity of the White House and the Fed, has arguably embarked on a stealth repudiation. In his famous treatise, "The Wealth of Nations," Adam Smith noted there had never been a "single instance" of sovereign debts having been repaid once "accumulated to a certain degree." We may have reached Smith's threshold. The bond markets are certainly not protecting creditors from the risk of what Smith called "pretended payment" through inflation. Nor did they do so until far into the great inflation of the 1970s. Not until late 1977 and into 1978 did the bond market fully incorporate the reality of the debased dollar, by demanding higher long-term interest rates. (Source: Wall Street Journal) Moneylenders through history know that kings don't repay deep debts. Shovel in Hand. Obama is proposing to use the government to remake economic policies in a way that Washington hasn't seen in decades. If the economy is faltering when he takes office Obama would push a $115 billion stimulus plan, aides say. [Wall Street Journal, Aug 26] When you're in an economic hole, keep digging? Security First and Always. rarely has such a reasonable aim been so self-defeating. The system of export controls, known as the International Traffic in Arms Regulations (ITAR), is managed with almost comic zeal by the State Department. Anything that is part of a satellite assembly needs vetting—even if it is as common as a lithium-ion battery, as insignificant as a screw or as innocuous as a stand for a satellite. The cost, delays and inconvenience of dealing with the American space industry are exasperating enough to send its foreign partners into orbit. [The Economist, Aug 21] The best friend of the Ministry of Defense, any where, is the MOD of any opponent, real or imagined. The state cannot accept the Awakening. Their days are numbered. ---- SHEIK JALALADEEN AL-SAGHEER, a leading Shiite member of Iraq's Parliament, on a crackdown on the Awakening movement, in which groups of U.S.-funded former Sunni insurgents organized citizen patrols to help stabilize the country. [Time.com, Aug 22] And while the "peace" in Iraq may be falling prey to internal competition, the NATO leaders in Afghanistan are calling for more brigades. But from where will the several national command authorities get them? Maybe we could back up to 2002 and realize we were misunderestimating the nature of the militancy in the Muslim world. That since we had a dominance in military forces, they were the best and obvious solution. A man has a hammer sees the world as a row of nails. And a president with no international scars is easy prey for insiders with a theory and an agenda. the highest levels of most of the agencies would welcome the disintegration of SBIR, and look for any reasonable excuse to regain total control of their 2.5%, not to mention their admin overhead. Please remember that this attitude is not at the level of folks you deal with. Most of the SBIR program managers are major supporters of the program, and want to see it benefit the small businesses and their agencies. But the lower levels have no say in the politics of SBIR. Anyway, Both the House and the Senate want to see the program continue, and will very likely become very "exercised" if an agency tries to reduce, or pull out of the program. [Rick Shindell, SBIR Insider] Their message (of the movie, "I.O.U.S.A.,"): You probably know that the national deficit stands at $9.6 trillion and rising. What you don't know is how bad things really are. If you include all the unfunded entitlement obligations -- Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and so forth -- we are actually in a $53 trillion hole, Walker says. And it will only get deeper as we get older. [Frank Ahrens, Washington Post, Aug 17] Speed up the decline: keep seeking your handouts for work that uses rather than creates wealth! The state of Maine has given out $30 million in the first round of grants authorized by Pine Tree State voters last fall as part of a $50 million technology bond bill. [Mass High Tech, Aug 12] One company had one Phase 1 SBIR. The problem is fear: private-sector finance has dried up because investors, burned by their losses on securities that were supposed to be safe, are now reluctant to buy anything that isn’t guaranteed by the U.S. government. .... Fed policy hasn’t done anything to encourage private investment. .... What more can policy do? The Fed has pretty much used up its ammunition: nobody thinks that additional interest-rate cuts would accomplish much [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Aug 4] And more handouts like SBIR are not the answer either. If the investments don't go to innovations that will attract private investment, they are just a temporary jobs program. Worse, the temporary jobs will simply be diverted from more competitive companies that would have otherwise got the business. No net gain, and possibly a net loss. Using new DNA technology, the Federal Bureau of Investigation analyzed the anthrax strain sent to victims of the attack and linked it to the spores handled by Dr. Ivins, according to federal officials close to the seven-year investigation. .... prosecutors may move quickly to unseal evidence against him and formally close the case after senior Justice Department officials sign off on a decision to dismiss the grand jury. [Wall Street Journal, Aug 4] How convenient: blame the dead man and close the case as a success. The Navy tried that several years ago until the dead man's relatives objected in the press. But the evidence is still rather circumstantial and not ready for a trial where the standard is "beyond a reasonable doubt." , says [Scott Shane, New York Times, Aug 4] Energy Independence, Lower Gas Prices, Drain America First, Windfall Profits Tax. More and Cheaper Oil, Now. Politicians reach for the handiest policy and slogan as they hear the cries of the oil consuming public. The states of the upper Midwest combined to support offshore drilling, since no harm will come to Minnesota or Michigan from the inevitable big spills. The president chimes in with a pander. Anybody thinking long term about American energy or how economics works? Not in the political arena where today's votes far outstrip the importance of tomorrow's energy picture. In yet another wish to repeal the laws of economics. [Arizona] Congressman Jeff Flake is among Republicans asking President Bush to call a special session of Congress in August to deal with high gasoline and oil prices. [Phoenix Business Journal, Aug 1] Just don't ask them what laws of economics they would substitute. Pressure for action to revive the economy grew on Friday as a new report showed the unemployment rate rose in July to 5.7 per cent – its highest for four years – and the number of jobs fell for a seventh straight month. ... Democrats in Congress renewed their call for a second fiscal stimulus package. Barney Frank, chairman of the House financial services committee, said it should include “increases in the federal share of Medicaid, significantly increased funding for home energy assistance and food stamps, and other measures which will provide badly needed stimulus for our economy and help state and local governments and individuals improve the quality of their lives”. [Financial Times, Aug 2] When the business cycle cycles, do you expect the government to do something to stop it, or will you trust the built-in stabilizers? If you want action, what did you have in mind that won't make the long term problem worse? Are you patriotically buying government bonds at low interest rates so the government can afford to borrow more to pay stimulus handouts? Or do you have a great idea how the government can sponsor a great innovation by handing you no-load investment money? Who robs Peter to Pay Paul expects the support of Paul. Robin Hood Obama called for a $1,000 "emergency" rebate to consumers to offset soaring energy costs amid fresh signs of a struggling economy with the nation's unemployment rate climbing to a four-year high. ... would be financed with a windfall profits tax on the oil industry. [AP, Aug 1] Windfall profits tax works like voiding a patent: having taken a risk to develop something profitable, the entrepreneur forfeits part of the profit for a political purpose. It changes the rules of a game during the play to profit some external entity. Besides, in this oil game there is no windfall since supply and demand factors have not been changed by any surprise externality. The only fair profits tax would tax return on investments made after the effective date of the law (which would be a boon for lawyers and accountants). Absent any evidence of price collusion, it's just political confiscation, as we accuse Hugo Chavez and Fidel Castro of the same. If you expect to depend on a patent for your future profits, you should oppose excess profits taxes on principle. Food industry representatives and public health officials called on members of Congress to address failures in the nation’s response to the salmonella outbreak linked to fresh produce. [New York Times, Aug 1] Business wants less government, until something goes wrong. Then they want more. What they forget is that every time government has to fix a perceived problem (like SBIR), the solution becomes a permanent government department with stout defenders in Congress. National Security State Alert. Federal agents may take a traveler's laptop computer or other electronic device to an off-site location for an unspecified period of time without any suspicion of wrongdoing, as part of border search policies the Department of Homeland Security recently disclosed. Also, officials may share copies of the laptop's contents with other agencies and private entities for language translation, data decryption or other reasons .... The policies cover "any device capable of storing information in digital or analog form," including hard drives, flash drives, cellphones, iPods, pagers, beepers, and video and audio tapes. They also cover "all papers and other written documentation," including books, pamphlets and "written materials commonly referred to as 'pocket trash' or 'pocket litter.' " [Wash Post, Aug 1] Your normal Constitutional protection against unreasonable search and seizure does not apply. They do not have to justify the seizure to you, or apparently anyone else. They claim to be looking for extreme dangers to national security, especially terror manuals and child pornography. But once a government agency gets a license to snoop, ..... Not Without Us You Don't. The Constitution checks and balances roiled the president-king's marvelous invention of a new intelligence organization for the government. The White House's intelligence-agency overhaul drew immediate fire from lawmakers in both parties, who complained that the administration sidelined Congress while it crafted the largest rewrite of spy powers in decades. [Sioban Gorman, Wall Street Journal, Aug 1] Instead of conducting witch hunts, we should consider bipartisan legislation to reduce the price of gas, reduce crime and secure the borders. - House Republican LAMAR SMITH, blasting his Democratic colleagues on the Judiciary Committee for voting to cite former top White House aide Karl Rove for contempt of Congress [Time, Jul 31] Empty speech to stroke the lighter thinkers, presumably in his district as a Republican argues for more government intrusion. Reducing the price of gas may make things worse by encouraging demand [Econ 101], federal legislation won't do much to reduce crime [a true Republican wants the death penalty for every crime, a scheme that the English abandoned a long time ago], and legislation to secure the borders already exists [although there is no consensus about immigration]. Note that the Republicans believed in witch hunts when they had the Congress and Bill Clinton had the White House. Can't we elect adult politicians? While the house crumbles, the elders are scrapping over the candy. As Congress begins a five-week break without passing legislation to address high gasoline prices, Democrats and Republicans are fighting for the political high ground in the energy debate. In a flurry of ads and on the campaign trail, Republicans are pounding Democrats for failing to allow votes on lifting a federal ban on oil and gas drilling in offshore areas to boost domestic production. Democrats are accusing Republicans of blocking renewable-energy initiatives and protecting wealthy oil companies at consumers' expense. [Lueck, MacKinnon, and Power, Wall Street Journal, Aug 1] Anything to avoid the realities of energy economics. A McCain campaign ad says that gas prices are high right now because “some in Washington are still saying no to drilling in America.” That’s just plain dishonest: the U.S. government’s own Energy Information Administration says that removing restrictions on offshore drilling wouldn’t lead to any additional domestic oil production until 2017, and that even at its peak the extra production would have an “insignificant” impact on oil prices. [Paul Krugman, New York Times, Aug 1] The Kerry-Snowe SBIR Reauthorization Bill unanimously passed the Senate SB Committee with something for everybody except the federal agencies and the taxpayer. The Committee website says: Reauthorizes SBIR and STTR for 14 years; a compromise on the issue of the participation of companies majority owned and controlled by multiple venture capital companies, allowing NIH to award up to 18% of its SBIR dollars to companies majority owned and controlled by multiple VCs and the other ten SBIR agencies to award up to 8% of their SBIR dollars; Increases the SBIR allocation from 2.5% of SBIR agencies’ extramural R&D budgets to 3.5% over 10 years, for all SBIR agencies except HHS/NIH; Doubles the STTR allocation from 0.3% of STTR agencies’ extramural research and development budgets to 0.6% over the course of 6 years; Increases the award size guidelines for the SBIR and STTR programs from $100,000 to $150,000 for Phase I and from $750,000 to $1 million for Phase II in line with the recommendation of the National Academy of Sciences; Attempts to increase geographic participation, particularly in rural states, by reauthorizing through 2014 and enhancing the FAST program and the Rural Outreach Program; Calls for better and streamlined data collection and assessment; protections to address jumbo awards. The usual political blather about unleash the ground-breaking innovation potential of our nation’s small businesses; pump another $1 billion into our small business economy. At a time when the nation is struggling to cope with skyrocketing energy prices and a slumping housing market, do everything within our power to help small businesses drive economic recovery; SBIR program has been a resounding success, garnering high praise from the National Academy of Sciences in a recent comprehensive report on the program. Approximately 1 in 4 SBIR projects will result in the sale of new commercial products or processes. All convenient half-truths, the kind that power the passage of government handout programs. And in Kerry's opener: while I don’t ask anyone to love the VC compromise, or even the bill, I do hope that you will recognize that everyone got some of what mattered to them. SBIR Insider Rick Shindell offers a copy of the bill before it hits Thomas at www.zyn.com/sbir/insider/s3362_bill.pdf No, it's not the new law, only the Senate's proposition to be reconciled with the different House version. DOD Rule on Export Controls. The DOD has issued an interim rule that addresses requirements that contractors must follow to comply with export control laws and regulations on DOD contracts. Export-controlled items include information and technology, such as software. DOD had published a proposed rule in July 2005 and a second, revised version in August 2006. Since the latest version is an "interim rule," it is still open for comment. Also open for comment, until August 18, are the Commerce Department's deemed export regulations. [AAAS, Jul 30] The demise of the Doha trade round is another blow to the struggling world economy, and there's plenty of blame to go around. But the crucial question going forward is whether this is merely a temporary setback, or if it marks the end of the post-World War II free-trade era that has done so much to spread prosperity. .. In 1990, trade represented about 40% of world GDP, according to the World Bank. By 2004, trade exceeded 55% of world GDP, and the global economy had expanded by 50%. .... The real battle is between those who want to expand this era of global trade and prosperity, and those who want to carve out their own protected niches. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 31] Send Another $171B. The Bush administration expressed confidence that the US would be able to maintain its top-notch credit rating even as the government scrambles to find new ways of expanding debt sales to cope with soaring budget deficits. "It is a huge advantage to have that AAA-status and we are committed to that," Anthony Ryan, Treasury's acting undersecretary for domestic finance, told reporters as he unveiled plans for financing $171 billion in borrowing during the current July-September quarter, the second highest total on record. Those borrowing needs have exploded this year as the government has had to cope with a sagging economy and the need to finance more than $90 billion in economic stimulus payments made over the past three months to individuals in an effort to keep the country out of deep recession. [Yahoo Finance] Please enlarge our credit card limit! Again. Silly Speech Season. Obama said he offers fundamental change from reckless Republican economic policies that he contended have hammered middle-class families and would continue under Republican rival. [AP, Jul 30] And what economic policies does he have in mind that he can actually influence in a way that actually makes some difference? Bail out silly home buyers and their silly lenders who sold the mortgages to sillier traders? Lower interest rates than nearly nothing already? Lower taxes that drive up the government debt? High tariff walls to discourage international trade and bring back the Great Depression? Bill Clinton's 1993 idea was a tax increase coupled with a spending decrease, after which the 1990s boomed, despite Congressional Republican refusal to cast even one vote for such responsible policy, and left W with a big temporary surplus that was reducing the national debt. That was anaethma for W whose great economic plan was to cut taxes, start wars, and balloon the deficit. July 31 the only former president to return to serve in the Senate, died. - Andrew Johnson, 1875. Kerry's Senate SB Committee will have mark-up session for an SBIR bill this morning [Jul 30]. That's usually a rubber stamp for a deal worked out among the interested parties. Any national goal and benefit comes second. Too bad, but that's the way democracy works. At least the winners will no doubt see a clear national benefit. Whatever the Senate deal there still remain the House and the President to be satisfied. The free-market president-king opposes such programs on principle. Good intentions led to bad outcomes: an old story. .... Congress's response to the present [housing/finance] crisis is, not surprisingly, more of the same. ... When tomorrow's housing crisis occurs, we will probably find its seeds in the "solution" to today's. [Robert Samuelson, Wash Post, Jul 30] If you're a Congresscritter wanting re-election, it pays to stick with conventional "more is netter" on apple pie, small business, and home ownership. When a politician declares "war on [you name it]", it little more than sloganeering. Cancer, drugs, poverty, terror. Now, the nonpartisan Rand Corp. also contends that the administration committed a fundamental error in portraying the conflict with al-Qaeda as a "war on terrorism." The phrase falsely suggests that there can be a battlefield solution to terrorism, and symbolically conveys warrior status on terrorists, it said. "Terrorists should be perceived and described as criminals, not holy warriors," authors Seth Jones and Martin Libicki write in "How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al-Qaeda," a 200-page volume released yesterday [Joby Warrick, Wash Post, Jul 30] A little late, although any such suggestion would have been summarily rejected by the cavaliers Cheney-Rumsfeld advising their amateur king. Rand's advice will be summarily rejected by the substantial American element that believes that America's military power can better solve international dilemmas than any diplomatic or law enforcement approach. In this sluggish economy, there is one sure-fire growth business in the next few years: government debt. With the federal government now projecting record deficits and the housing bill being shepherded through Congress allowing for an increase in the debt ceiling, the bond market is almost certain to be hit with a wave of Treasury supply over the next few years. [David Gaffen, Wall Street Journal, Jul 30] If the government debt financing keeps growing at $400B a year, unless China keeps buying and storing it, interest rates have to rise to induce the public to buy the notes. Note to the Next President Can someone who has never touched a computer truly be in touch with what's going on in the world? [Lee Gomes, Wall Street Journal, Jul 30] Savior Syndrome. Obama blamed "irresponsible decisions" by the Bush administration and Wall Street for the country's economic woes as government officials said the budget deficit would soar to record heights next year. ... Obama said the economy needs both short- and long-term fixes, including another round of "stimulus" measures from Congress to revive the economy and a longer-term focus on renewable energy to curb high gas prices and on universal health care to trim costs. He said he would move "rapidly and vigorously" to respond. [AP, Jul 28] Baloney! Eight years ago Bush would save us by giving us back the government surplus in trickle-down taxes. Then he also handed out trillions in new Medicare and started a trillion-dollar war, but none of his "irresponsible decisions" lacked Congressional Democratic consent. The latest measure is another surge, one of which Bush widely boasts of , the national deficit (one year's shortfall) surge past a half-trillion dollars next year [AP, Jul 28] It's too easy to blame one administration for the economic woes, whatever they are, when we went along with every step. Neither Obama nor McCain has any magic solution to the economic welts we laid on our own backs by insisting that our own representatives give us what we want with a story that we deserve and can afford it. When a reporter noted that in America reporters were permitted to see witnesses and evidence, a spokeswoman for the Office of Military Commissions at the Pentagon responded, “This is not America.” .... Asked about the unusual circumstance that an employee was on trial while a man who may have been his boss had been released, a Pentagon spokesman said, “The transfer of detainees takes various factors into consideration,” including a receiving country’s promise “to mitigate the threat.” .... “Where else in the world,” Mr. Wizner said after court one day, “is someone being prosecuted for a crime who is already serving a life sentence and will continue to serve one if he’s acquitted?” [William Glaberson, New York Times, Jul 29] Dr No. [Repub Sen-OK] Coburn believes that many lawmakers propose duplicative programs without any way of measuring their effectiveness. .... "What do the constituents in your state expect of you? I believe they expect me to get some things done. I don't believe they're looking for 'no.' They're looking for 'yes,' " said Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.), who fought Coburn last year over an earmark for a Nebraska-based military contractor. [Paul Kane, Wash Post, Jul 28] Energetic Posturing. Both sides had their moments posturing on energy policy and their failure to agree led to re-assuring inaction. The Republicans blocked the Democrats' silly anti-speculator provision and got to pronounce their silly "drill more, use less" plan. No one was hurt in the skirmish. [Congress] overwhelmingly passed a broad package of housing legislation, hoping to send a calming message to financial markets and voters amid the ongoing deterioration of the housing market and a growing number of bank failures. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 27] Bush says he'll sign the $300B handout. Paying for it? You betcha - the national credit card. But how long will another $300B debt add-on calm the financial markets? Only in the short term, but Congress considers that just right palliative for the pending election. Oh yes, if that kind of handout is OK, surely diverting a couple of billion a year from federal R&D into uncompetitive small businesses is also OK. Taxes are going to rise. But we can't be certain of how much or for whom. All we know is that the presumptive nominees for both parties have miraculously found a way to offer tax cuts to the vast majority of all taxpayers. The rich aren't included in this, of course. But it doesn't matter. Their votes alone won't elect anyone president. Instead, both candidates rely on taxing the income of the most wealthy to provide tax cuts for everyone else — the more than 95 percent of all households that aren't considered wealthy. The candidates make these offers in spite of the rising federal deficit, the rising cost of imported energy, our balance of trade, the soaring cost of Medicare, the declining dollar and the ongoing cost of the war in Iraq. ... In other words, the candidates from both parties have close ties to the Tooth Fairy. [Scott Burns, Jul 27] Don't blame the politicians since they just tell us what we want to hear. Isn't that what "represent" means? Add that the Republicans are no longer in a position to chide Democrats for being wild-eyed spenders, for subverting the free-market system and for favouring heavy-handed regulation. President George W Bush has presided over the most expensive expansion of the welfare state since the days of Lyndon Johnson’s Great Society programmes, acquiesced in elaborate plans to bail out troubled financial institutions rather than leave their fates to the market, and along with his Treasury secretary, Hank Paulson, has rolled out myriad regulations covering short-selling, capital requirements and conduct of mortgage brokers, to mention only a few. Bush has also approved a stimulus package designed to shore up consumer spending, proving that Richard Nixon was on to something when he said “We’re all Keynesians now”. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Jul 27] The Democratic Impulse. Then there is politics. The Congress party, which leads India's fragile governing coalition, is expected to loosen the purse strings before a general election that must happen by May. It already won approval of a debt-cancellation package for many of India's impoverished farmers. [Jackie Range, Wall Street Journal, Jul 28] Stand by for SBIR renewal since it meets the criteria for a government program: feeds a myth, has a constituency, does little harm, and needs no annual appropriation. The fact that it does little (and economically unmeasured) good matters little. “Political risk is rising,” he added. “There is a good deal of understandable anger in the market towards Russia,” Roland Nash, head of research at the Renaissance Capital brokerage in Moscow, wrote in an investor note Friday. The combination if denying a work visa to the BP head of a joint BP-Russia venture and Putin's five sentences critical of a Russian steel company that immediately lost $6B market cap is part of nationalism as the public policy driver in KGB-controlled Russia. [New York Times, Jul 26] It has been cast as a titanic struggle between Russian national interests and Western business. But the reality is that the four oligarchs who control AAR, BP's Russian joint venture partner, are deeply plugged in to some of the West's most prestigious corporations and institutions, at the highest levels. [Tim Klein, The Times (London), Jul 26] If Russian money is investing to the control level outside Russia, why, when there Russia lacks so much economic development? What do they know that we are not thinking of? Beware any dealing with Russian enterprises in a place that has no rule of law but does lust for international power. The housing and financial crisis is powering a new wave of government regulation. The result is a major challenge to the deregulation that has defined U.S. governance for much of the past quarter-century since the "Reagan Revolution." ... In fact, some proponents today of a bigger oversight role for government are Republican heirs to the legacy of President Reagan. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 25] When private wealth leads to public squalor, ... [JK Galbraith, The Affluent Society] Expecting State Help? States are being forced to slash spending and cut jobs in order to close a projected $40 billion shortfall in the current fiscal year. That gap is the result of broad economic weakness at the state and local levels that could cause pain throughout this year and into 2010, a report found. [C Dougherty, A Merrick, and A Troianowski, Wall Street Journal, Jul 24] Smilingly, the federal government has no such problem, despite being deep in a mounting debt, it soldiers on with help programs like $300 B for A sprawling bill that reaches deep into the U.S. housing industry is close to becoming law. The bill, which began seven months ago as a modest attempt to help struggling homeowners, will now likely touch a vast array of borrowers, lenders and investors. ... As a result of the bill, Congress will raise the national debt ceiling to $10.6 trillion [D Paletta and J Haggerty, Wall Street Journal, Jul 24] That's approaching one GDP and three times the government's usual annual spending. And the longer the line of programs, the longer the line of supplicants wanting a piece of the pie, including the SBIR supplicants. And since SBIR's basic argument is "fair share", why not? The Wall Street Journal editors, unsurprisingly, oppose the bailout of reckless lenders and borrowers since the WSJ's people don't need reckless loans for their homes. And how will all that debt be serviced? Either interest rates or inflation rates will have to rise. Or both, since the politicians don't have to take the blame for either. Rooster Brags on Sunrise. McCain credited the recent $10-a-barrel drop in the price of oil to President Bush's lifting of a presidential ban on offshore drilling [AP, Jul 23] A modern Republican, of course, wants to drill anywhere a profitable drop of oil can be extracted, privatizing the profit and socializing the external costs. That means you pay for the clean-up after they Drain America First. Farmers and ethanol and other biofuel producers are lobbying to keep the existing mandates in the face of the recognition of a real cost in diversion from food production. [David Streitfeld, New York Times, Jul 23] Imagine that: beneficiaries want to keep the handout flowing despite a recognition of an economic loss. SBIR advocates have fellow-travelers on the road to tapping the Treasury. Neither Knows Business, since both candidates have been full time government. Some 10.7% of registered voters own a small business—only a whisker less than the 11.9% who belong to a union. ... A recent poll of small-business owners found that 80% had little idea what either candidate might do for them. [The Economist, Jul 19] as the late Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan once said, “you can’t solve a problem until you can measure it.” [The Economist, Jul 19] Although the citation was about poverty, Moynihan's rule applies to most government programs that are not mere political handouts. By Moynihan's criterion, is SBIR a solution to any measured economic problem? The fact that the federal government's direct contracting has a lower percent of small business than does private business does not prove any problem. What's worse, after two decades, there's not even compelling evidence that SBIR even closed the alleged gap it was supposed to close. Not only is there no evidence that it did any economic good, it didn't even solve the phantom problem it was targeted against. So, by usual political logic, any solution that doesn't solve the problem needs a bigger dose of it. Therefore, go lobby for ineffective government programs while complaining of high taxes and government regulation. Regulation is necessary, but beware the state being seduced into taking on duties it cannot possibly carry out well. As Fannie and Freddie show, regulators are easily captured and outwitted. The best controls are transparency and competition. When possible the government needs to stand back. Sadly, it failed to do so in the American mortgage market. [The Economist, Jul 19] Silly Season Promises. But as [he] confronts an electorate that is deeply unsettled by escalating health costs, he is offering a precise “chicken in every pot” guarantee based on numbers that are largely unknowable. [Kevin Sack, New York Times, Jul 23] A robot the size of a briefcase is flushing out illegal immigrants trying to smuggle themselves into Britain. Fitted with powerful searchlights and high-resolution video cameras, the robot - codenamed Hero - carries out detailed searches of the undersides of lorries [trucks] and coaches [buses]. [Telegraph.co.uk, Jul 21] key senators warned that only the military and homeland security spending bills would be finished by the November elections because of presidential veto threats of domestic spending bills exceeding the President’s requests. House appropriators have all but halted work on appropriations in the face of promised vetoes. Meanwhile, federal revenues for this year are down compared to last year, while federal spending is up. [AAAS, Jul 21] SBIR Insider reports "no news" on Senate action for SBIR re-authorization, and the likelihood that the schedule has no time to get it done this summer. The issue is still purely political since the SBIR advocates cannot show any competitive advantage for SBIR over letting the federal agencies decide for themselves how to structure their R&D programs. The fact that a lot of money was spent and some good things happened does not make a justification without a showing of superior economic efficiency for the dollars spent. A federal R&D spending program should bear the burden of proof that it is far better than letting the American innovation system operate on its own. Otherwise, how do we ever get our government finances out from under the control of lobbying and vote pandering? Go ahead, lobby for SBIR, even for more of it, while voicing your conservative concern about an uncontrolled government. The economic silliness of most of SBIR does not mean that SBIR is a waste in all agencies under any circumstances. But if economic efficiency is a goal, SBIR should be confined to those exceptional circumstances. And it should also be held to a standard of demonstrating a decent ROI. Never happen; such a law would be too hard to Congress to write under pressure from vested interests. We do have to remember that our political system is built on compromise and oiling the squeaky wheels. DOD hopes to spend $20 million this year on social science research aimed at understanding real and potential threats to national security. .... Gates hopes that the 5-year, $100 million program, which he unveiled in his AAU speech, will build a firmer "intellectual foundation" in five areas: the ideological roots of terrorism, the changing face of Islam, the history of the Iraqi military, the vast unclassified literature on China's army, and miscellaneous other approaches. [Science, Jul 11] But instead of just rounding up the usual suspects of study houses, it will funnel part of it through NSF where peer review dominates funding decisions. Gates does indeed have some advanced and adult ideas on US security, the kind of ideas that must make Daddy Dick Cheney cringe in his secure undisclosed location. It's also one of several recent signs that W is finally learning how to take advice from somebody else. More Hoosier Tech. Since 1990, the population of Fishers has spiked from a sleepy 7,500 to more than 62,000. Now town leaders hope to enjoy the same success in attracting new companies -- especially high-tech and life-sciences companies -- to the [fast growing Indianapolis suburban] Hamilton County. ...planned development of the Fishers Research and Technology Campus, a technology and life-sciences incubator that eventually could include up to 1 million square feet of mixed-use commercial space. .... IU estimates the Emerging Technologies Center [downtown] has generated 350 high-tech jobs in Indianapolis at an average salary of $89,000. In March, the business incubator had 25 tenants and seven "graduate" companies. [Indianapolis Star, Jul 21] Feed me, charge him. Advocates of health care reform tend to be long on ideas for expanding care and access, but short on practical solutions for cost control. [Tyler Cowen, New York Times, Jul 20] All program advocates, including SBIR, and beneficiaries are long on ideas for expansion. When was the last time you advocated a federal program AND the taxes to pay for it? Iraq, Medicare Part D, bank bailouts, stimulus, ..... The Kansas Bioscience Authority announced four grants totaling $4.85 million to help companies in the state. KC BioMediX of De Soto, VasoGenix Pharmaceuticals of Lenexa , Ventria Bioscience of Junction City ($500K SBIR), MGP Ingredients (public) of Atchison. [Kansas City Business Journal, Jul 15, 08] Gotta Make It to Sell It. San Jose's redevelopment agency is now looking to lure a contract drug manufacturing plant to help change that - and boost its fledgling biotech center. An Edenvale facility would cost up to $23 million, according to a recently released consultant's study. Such an investment would be among the largest in the redevelopment agency's history, but San Jose officials anticipate the state and federal governments might help fund the project. ... The problem is that Aridis Pharmaceuticals, for example, is trying to convert some children's vaccines from liquids that must be refrigerated into freeze-dried strips that go on the tongue and can be stored at room temperature. But when the start-up goes out soon to look for a manufacturing company to mass-produce its formula for early clinical trials, there won't be many options here in Silicon Valley. Most manufacturers are based on the East Coast or overseas. [San Jose Mercury News, Jul 17, 08] The University at Albany and Albany Medical Center announced a collaboration that will expand biomedical research in the Capital Region while giving students the opportunity to earn dual degrees in medicine and public health. ... $42M state funds for an Institute for Biomedical Education and Research. [Albany Times-Union, Jul 15] Build it, they will come? But what if the national angst over credit and war and deficits leads to a cut in federal science money? Nor Were the Cold-War Russians Ten Feet Tall. In addition to rising inflation and the falling yuan, the Journal mentions tighter labor regulations. I've also heard that middle managers are in short supply. Entrepreneurs can still find plenty of cheap labor (especially in rural areas), but they have trouble finding folks to delegate management responsibilities to. Taxes are on the rise as well, more through enforcement than through rising tax rates. And don't forget new costs (which always should have been spent) to monitor product quality. China is not going away. It's not a flash in the pan. But the great shift of manufacturing from America to China will slow significantly in the coming years. [Bill Connerly, Businomics blog, Jun 30] When No One Checks. Companies collected tens of millions of dollars in government contracts by claiming to have main offices in poor neighborhoods that were actually empty duplexes, part-time offices and other ineligible locations, congressional investigators charge. Billions more remain at risk because the SBA doesn't usually check paperwork, rarely conducts audits and is slow to kick out firms that are no longer eligible for the $8 billion in special contract set-asides for small businesses, the GAO said. [AP, Jul 17] Small business programs are what politicians like to take credit for starting but then leave administration to an agency known as a political dumping ground since no one really cares whether the programs are efficient. SBIR is just one of many such handouts. [Florida] has not yet made a complete transition from an agriculture- and real estate-based economy to one built on high-tech industry and innovation. Interviews with statewide stakeholders also confirmed there is a continuing need in the state to support innovations-based entrepreneurs through economic development organizations. [SSTI, Jul 16] Feel the Wave. We want to buy what we want when we want it without the prices inflating from growing worldwide demand for the same stuff. And to make that happen we expect the Federal Reserve to repeal the laws of economics. We already expect our politicians to do so because they say they promise to deliver what only fantasy economics can supply. U.S. consumer prices soared at their fastest annual pace in nearly two decades last month, tightening the screws on Federal Reserve officials as they balance a stagflationary mix of rising unemployment, strained financial markets and rising inflation. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 16] Those who didn't live through the 1970s will get their chance now to feel the wave of stagflation. The incoming politicians should visit the Gerald Ford museum to sense the headlines they will face and see the silly things they will be tempted to do. Deregulation Exposes True Cost. Texas had some of the cheapest power rates in the country when it zapped most of the state's electric regulations six years ago, convinced that rollicking competition would drive prices even lower. ... but everything is bigger in Texas: On a hot day in May, wholesale prices rose briefly to more than $4 a kilowatt hour -- about 40 times the national average. .... a combination of soaring natural-gas prices for power generators and congested transmission lines that weren't designed to accommodate the new freewheeling market, .... When then-Gov. George W. Bush signed the state's deregulation bill in 1999, he assured that "competition in the electric industry will benefit Texans by reducing monthly rates and offering consumers more choices." The law, which took effect in 2002, left few restrictions on what power generators could charge and what consumers could pay. [Rebecca Smith, Wall Street Journal, Jul 17] A stifled Texas cheer for the free market and the prescience of George Bush. McCain proposed to use federal funds to finance vouchers for students in failing schools and merit pay for teachers.... delivering resources now controlled by state and local governments directly to schools and parents. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 17] A so-called conservative wants federal funding and intervention. This Reagan re-born ignores the Gipper's Government is not the solution to our problem. Government is the problem. The market was god and Reagan was its Moses, and Republicans have sworn fealty to both for the past quarter-century. [Harold Myerson, Washington Post, Jul 17] No mention of cost or source of the money, nor of how he would build a federal bureau to administer what would soon become a complex and infuriating task. Programs always sound better until they start operating by political appointees with agendae. The US federal government on Wednesday said it would open 3.9m acres of land in a designated petroleum reserve in Alaska for drilling as a means to help curb rising petrol prices. [Financial Times, Jul 17] Look for the new supply to moderate prices in about 2018 if anyone actually drills at outrageous cost for an unknown return in a volatile market. Easing Bureau Work. NASA's latest SBIR solicitation says NASA will not accept more than 10 proposals to either program from any one company in order to ensure the broadest participation of the small business community. NASA does not plan to award more than 5 SBIR contracts and 2 STTR contracts to any offeror. Whether such a simplistic broadax solution to cut proposal count makes program sense is an interesting question. Limiting proposals from any company does nothing to broaden participation since anybody can send in proposals regardless of what the others do. Limiting awards to five is both too broad and too arbitrary. If NASA wants the highest program return, it must give the money to the highest potential return ideas, and not limit the number to any firm just to avoid political criticism. The companies getting many awards from many more proposals should have been weeded out long ago by a criterion of diminishing returns. But that kind of management requires selections to be made by a single mind with clear criteria - not something NASA or the other bureaus could ever bring themselves to do since they don't really care whether SBIR achieves its objectives, only whether NASA achieves it objectives as seen through the lens of its officials' career goals. Never Mind, It's Our Money Now. Backers of a biodefense lab considered for Granville County NC got an infusion of cash that changes the dynamics of the debate and raises questions about the use of public funds. The Golden LEAF Foundation, which manages half of the state's money from a national settlement with cigarette makers, awarded $262,248 to pay for newspaper ads, a Web site and other initiatives that lab supporters want. [Jonathan Cox, Raleigh News & Observer, Jul 16] Jawboning by the Unitary Executive. Bush said the nation's troubled financial system is "basically sound" and urged lawmakers to quickly enact legislation to prop up mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. ... he also said, I don't think the government ought to be involved in bailing out companies. [AP, Jul 15] Maybe a President that sounds like Herbert Hoover 1930 (no I wasn't there) on anything economic should consider the reverse psychology that if he feels obliged to say so, the public will believe it's a sham. The Only Sure Return is Political. No one knows the extent of US oil and natural gas reserves in the offshore and Arctic areas that are off-limits to drilling. The last time they were surveyed was in the 1980s and the technology then used is no longer considered accurate, say industry experts. ... David Bader, professor in computational science and engineering at Georgia Institute of Technology, has been working with IBM on developing its PowerXCell processor, a supercomputing chip originally designed for the Playstation 3, to search for oil reserves in what is known as “ultradeep water” – 5,000ft or more deep. “The chip in the Play- station 3 is equivalent to what was in a super computer five years ago,” Mr Bader said. But the industry is not going to use this technology to study protected areas unless they are open to production. “It costs a lot of money to take a look,” Mr McClure said. “Nobody wants to take a look unless you could get a return.” [Financial Times, Jul 16] The politicians want immediate votes but the voters get only a definite maybe in more than a decade later. No matter, the voters want to hear about new drilling to attack high gasoline prices. It's all part of politics that cannot see past the next election. Bribe Them Into Submission. House Democrats want to inject at least $50 billion into the economy through another economic-stimulus bill, which is likely to include a second round of checks for middle-income people. with the classic pump priming would likely include spending on road projects that take too long to get spending. The biggest construction project would be digging the financial hole deeper. [Wall Street Journal, Jul 16] Having been propelled into the White House by the states that tried to destroy the union over states rights, Bush joined oil with marijuana as subjects on which the states require federal control as he lifted an executive ban on offshore drilling that has stood since his father was president [AP, Jul 14]. The immediate gain for gasoline prices will be zero, but the gain for votes from the mob and campaign contribution from the oil drillers [oil industry applauded Bush's announcement] will offset all the raspberries he will get from the pundits. Our leader! Let's all vote for him a third time; it's not Constitutional but then that hasn't bothered him yet. A federal court struck down a rule to cut air pollution from power plants in the eastern U.S., roiling environmental markets and dealing a blow to Bush Administration policy. The decision issued by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit eliminates a federal program to improve air quality in 28 states using an existing market-based system created to address acid rain. [Mark Peters, Wall Street Journal, Jul 11] Self-Analysis - in Public. The U.S. Army has done something remarkable in its new history of the disastrous first 18 months of the American occupation of Iraq: It has conducted a rigorous self-critique of how bad decisions were made, so that the Army won't make them again. .... While Civilian leaders are still mostly engaged in a blame game about Iraq, pointing fingers to explain what went wrong and to justify their own actions, ... The Army can't afford this sort of retroactive self-justification. ... Politicians repeat, ad nauseam, the maxim that "those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it." The U.S. Army is that rare institution in American life that is actually putting this precept into practice. [David Ignatius, Washington Post, Jul 13] Having planned to win and skedaddle, the Army had to adapt artillerymen and tank gunners into police and governors for which they had zero training. Because the long range architects of the Army - the national civilian leadership - had the wrong image of the world they faced. While the airlines are trying to get the politicians to cut fuel prices by penalizing "speculators" (code for investors who do what we haven't the nerve for), there is scant evidence that futures traders are the problem anyway. One clue comes from the fact that the only commodity barred by law (raw politics in action) from futures trading is much more volatile than oil - onions. [John Birger, Fortune, Jul 7] Never mind, the politicians need a scapegoat that points away from one real culprit - long lines of air-conditioned vehicles at rush hour with only a driver aboard. The true cost of suburban living coming due. The US Senate passed a $300 billion plan to help thousands of Americans keep their homes and tighten regulation of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in an effort to ease the worst housing slump since the Great Depression. [Boston Globe, Jul 12] Money from where? We're approaching the upscale version of Ev Dirksen's a trillion here, a trillion there, pretty soon you're talking real money. Our elected politicians don't seem to grasp the idea that money does not grow on trees, nor do we grasp that ultimately we must pay for everything. The evasion comes because we want instant gratification while our politicians want instant re-election. Perhaps Prayer Would Help. When the consequences are too much to bear, deny the problem. The Bush administration published a government blueprint to reduce the U.S. output of global-warming gases, but at the same time rejected the document out of hand -- saying it relied on "untested legal theories" and would impose "crippling costs" on the U.S. economy. Essentially, the White House presented critics of the report with a prepackaged rebuttal brief, in what is expected to be the Bush administration's last major effort to frame the national discussion on responding to global warming before a new president inherits the issue. The White House argues the Environmental Protection Agency must not be allowed to regulate greenhouse gas emissions, for fear it would be able to block development across the country.[Wall Street Journal, Jul 11] After years of denying that the problem exists, the administration now says its solution is too hard to bear. What great time for a faith-based solution that would change the laws of both chemistry and economics, as if short-term oriented humans could be trusted to get the changes right. Who Gets Them. SSTI’s FY01-07 SBIR statistics provide seven years of data to evaluate award, proposal and conversion trends for most agencies and comparable states. How much does the US benefit from all this program activity? No one knows, nor seems to want to know. Data for FY07 The Blame Game. Bush tried to pin the blame on Congress for soaring energy prices and said lawmakers need to lift long-standing restrictions on drilling for oil in pristine lands and offshore tracts believed to hold huge reserves of fuel. [AP, Jul 12] In politics, reality takes a back seat. All estimates (I have seen) say that unlimited drilling of US oil fields, in environmentally sensitive areas or in West Texas, would have had only a small impact on present world oil prices. That oil sits under the ground because the cost of producing it was too high for profitable extraction. But an economics-challenged president, the mumbler sitting next to Hank Paulson and saying that Fannie Mae is important, would charge right through with the loudest and least informed attack on a competing power center. Bush's former chief economist says: With the stunning rise in oil prices, both presidential candidates have been tempted to demonize market participants. Senator McCain has complained about the “obscene profits” of oil companies and called for a “thorough and complete investigation of speculators.” By contrast, most economists see nothing more sinister than the forces of global supply and demand at work. There is little benefit, and potentially much harm, in the candidates’ populist finger-pointing. [N Gregory Mankiw, New York Times, Jul 13] Have I got something for you! Obama said there is "little doubt we've moved into recession," underscoring the country's need for a second economic stimulus package, swift steps to shore up the housing market and a long-term energy policy to reduce reliance on foreign oil imports. [Glen Johnson, AP, Jul 13] Another politician offers big doses of things we (and he) haven't got: money, credit, and oil. Ain't free lunch wonderfulness? ATP Lives On. NIST is seeking proposals for high-risk research projects to develop innovative technologies for inspecting, monitoring and evaluating critical components of the nation's roadways, bridges, and drinking and wastewater systems. The competition for cost-shared R&D support is the first to be announced by NIST's newly established Technology Innovation Program (TIP) in an effort to address critical societal challenges. ... $3 M total over three years for a single small company project ... webcast July 14, 1:30pm to 3:00pm ET If Not Cars, What? Michigan's Centers of Energy Excellence, a program designed to bring companies, academic institutions, and the state together to create jobs in alternative and advanced energy. part of an overall job creation and economic stimulus package .... support the development, growth and sustainability of alternative energy industry clusters in Michigan by identifying and/or locating a base company in a geographic region with the necessary business and supply-chain infrastructure. These centers will match the base company with universities, national labs and training centers to accelerate next-generation research, workforce development and commercialization. ... Grants will be made available to for-profit companies [SSTI, Jul 9] A taxpayer advocacy group opposed to government-sponsored corporate incentives lost a court fight in Durham [NC] when Judge dismissed a case against Nitronex and the county. ... challenged the county's $100,000 grant to Nitronex [bribe not to move the California], ... the plaintiffs did not have standing to bring their lawsuit because neither pays property taxes in Durham County [Raleigh News & Observer, Jul 10] In wartime, plans are only good until the moment you try to execute them. --- Dwight Eisenhower Playing the Intergenerational Card. The system for funding Social Security is "a disgrace" because it forces young Americans to pay into a program that is unlikely to benefit them in its current form, McCain said, wading into politically touchy territory. ... "and it's got to be fixed." [AP, Jul 9] OK, fine, there's a problem; propose a specific fix! "I cannot tell you what I would do," he said blatheringly, after his party has had a decade to propose and sell a fix. Instead, they spent their opportunity on cutting the government's income while starting a war that got out of their control and burned out our Army. A Handy Snooping Tool. Kansas Senator and noted "conservative" Sam Brownback maintains that a laptop is no different than any other luggage, and that trifles like personal privacy rights or business confidentiality have to be balanced against the need to protect the nation from terrorists and child pornographers and, well, whatever they find on your laptop that they don't like. Asked about having his own Blackberry searched, however, and Brownback was of course less than enthusiastic. [Industry Week, Jun 30] Kansas Senators tend to find child porn as inimical to US safety as terrorist bomb plans. Hey, whatever sells at home! The DHS has found a handy way to snoop on US citizens as a CYA in case big terror ever strikes again. Love those federal agencies sense of self preservation and the irony of Republican "leaders" signing up for more government. 1896 Redux? The last time a moderate conservative faced a charismatic populist was 1896. ... McKinley against Bryan. McKinley too was a genuine war hero (distinguished service in the Civil War) who then entered politics. He served several terms in the House and became chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. In 1891 he was elected governor of Ohio. His opponent's political résumé was a lot thinner, with only two back-bencher terms in the House. But at the Democratic convention of 1896, Bryan electrified the crowd with his "Cross of Gold" speech. It instantly became an American classic and propelled him to the nomination at just 36 years old, by far the youngest man ever nominated by a major party. Like Mr. Obama, Bryan promised a new politics aimed to benefit the common man, not the capitalists. He launched the country's first whistle-stop campaign, giving more than 500 speeches around the country. And at first it worked. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had made its debut on May 26 of that year at 40.94, had lost 30% by August, when it stood at 28.48. But the Republicans fought back, utilizing new advertising techniques, and painted Bryan as someone whose populist ideas would wreck the American economy. The Dow began to recover as McKinley picked up support in northern industrial cities, and among ethnic workers who had been previously Democratic. In the end he won with 51% of the popular vote against 47%. [John Steele Gordon, Wall Street Journal, Jul 10] I used to think that history had some value- that we could learn from our mistakes. Then we went to war in Iraq. --- ian [The Times, Jul 9] They must follow us. The U.S. now has an energy problem that is not only draining the bank accounts of its own citizens, but filling up the bank accounts of some who work against American interests around the globe. ... "Due to soaring oil prices, the U.S. current account deficit" -- that is, the broadest measure of the nation's trade deficit -- "has doubled since 2001. This excess consumption has been financed by huge capital inflows from Emerging Asia and oil-exporting countries." ... the third concern: that some of these mountains of petrodollars will in turn be used to advance anti-American political agendas. [David Wessel, Wall Street Journal, Jul 8]. The politicians response: flail and rail. They don't have an answer because the country is a long way from consensus on what to do. Since they are our leaders, they must follow us. About the only thing they can do in the short run is to ramp up the cost of the oil by imposing a carbon or oil tax which would suppress demand. But that is just one of the several unacceptable answers to those many of us who just want the problem to go away. Don't look to the election campaign for any answers; they don't have any that we want to hear. The prospects are poor when the presidential candidate says Some economists don't think much of my gas-tax holiday, but the American people like it and so do small-business owners. Elect our new follower. Obama says McCain's plan to balance the budget doesn't add up. Easy for him to say: It's not a goal he's even trying to reach. because he wants to make some critical investments right now in America's families. [AP, Jul 8] That kind of talk is political code for interest groups to be paid off. When politicians talk about "investment", stand by for financial baloney by two sides that differ only in which interest groups they will pay off. SBIR Politics. the Senate is unlikely to take up the House version of the [SBIR] bill, says a person familiar with the legislation. Instead, the Senate's small-business committee, headed by Democrat John Kerry, is likely to try to strike a compromise, this person said, allowing companies controlled by venture capitalists to participate, but setting limits on the number of VC-controlled firms. .... Jere Glover, a Washington lawyer who heads the Small Business Technology Council, worries that the venture industry wants to turn the program into a "feeder" for new deals, letting the government fund high-risk research so that big investors can come in and profit later. [Rebecca Buckman, Wall Street Journal, Jul 8] The basic answer to Glover is, What's wrong with that? What's the use of pouring taxpayer money into companies and ideas that have no future? It's just supporting life-style companies who do whatever the government wants, at least in the large majority of the program which is funded by the mission agencies. Since there is no evidence that small companies are any better at science and technology than large entities, there is no compelling reason to invent a government subsidy program for small business science. The only aspect where small business has an advantage is agility in getting new ideas into the marketplace, but that requires entrepreneurs, not just good scientists who write good technical reports. [Mark Twain's] single best one-line defense not just of himself but also of how a democratic society works in the first place. "A discriminating irreverence," he wrote, "is the creator and protector of human liberty." ... Reverence and awe aren't democratic virtues. The last thing you need in a free society is people who know their place. ... [Richard Lacayo, Time, Jul 3] As it happens, many of these were also the issues of his day, and he addressed them as eloquently as anyone has since. The idea that America is a Christian nation? Andrew Carnegie brought that up to him once. "Why, Carnegie," Twain answered, "so is Hell." [Roy Blount, Time, Jul 3] some of the underlying tensions between the two schools that guide [McCain's] economic thinking — the supply-siders who want to cut taxes and the deficit hawks who want to balance the budget — remain unresolved. ... McCain has promised once again to balance the budget by the end of his first term in 2013 [Michael Cooper, New York Times, Jul 8] The standard impossible dream that voters want to hear but reject in detail. Which government program that benefits you would you accept being cut by a third? No, don't blather about waste, fraud, and abuse in programs that benefit others; if you won't accept a cut, they won't either. And they can bribe and threaten Congresscritters just as well as you can. The panel [from the American Academy of Arts and Sciences] notes that young investigators are struggling as training times lengthen and competition for grants gets tougher. The statistics are "scary," Yamamoto says: In 1980, 86% of new faculty members won a grant the first time they applied for one; now only 18% do. At the same time, they're getting older: The average Ph.D. gets his or her first real job at age 38 and first R01-type grant at 42. ... The report eschews calls for increased funding [Science, Jun 6] More for youth but no good solution to the basic dilemma that the numbers of research brains are growing much faster than government funding. Beware Russian Deals. A novelty in Russia, the public-private partnerships are the latest fashion. Government officials tend to want the private investors to bear all the risks, without providing any assurances about returns, according to bankers. [Gregory White, Wall Street Journal, Jul 3] Since Russia has no rule of law, its government can (and will) be arbitrary and exploitative. Science for Justice. Waller is the 19th man in Dallas County TX since 2001 shown by DNA evidence to be innocent of the crime for which he was convicted. That's more than any county in the nation, according to The Innocence Project in New York, a legal center specializing in wrongful-conviction cases. [Jeff Carlton, AP, Jul 3] The thirst for "justice" in the wild West seems only a little better than lynching. A high false conviction rate coupled to a high execution rate doesn't inspire confidence in Texas "justice". Then after we elected its twice governor to be twice president, we wonder about his curiosity. As the last batch of stimulus checks show up in mailboxes, some economists and Democrats are rumbling that the government needs to again intervene to prop up the flagging economy. [Deborah Solomon, Wall Street Journal, Jul 3] With what? Even though as Nixon said, We are all Keynsians now, there is a limit on how many times we can simply borrow to pay for sustaining current prosperity. Just as Bush can't call up an Army he hasn't got any more. The politicians and the public must concede that responsible adult life entails limits and sacrifice. Actually, if the public recognizes it, the politicians will rush to adopt it. Dream Economics. Obama correctly reckons that the attractive tax cuts Mr McCain proposes could pummel the federal budget. The Arizona senator wants to keep all of Mr Bush's tax cuts in place, lower the top corporate income tax rate by ten percentage points and scale back the Alternative Minimum Tax, ... McCain says he can pay for all this by cutting government spending, starting with the earmarks lawmakers use to direct money to pet projects. [The Economist, Jun 14] Buy a luxury car from your piggy bank (for those who remember piggy-banks) "It's a very complex problem, and it's tied to the drug trade, a faltering economy and, as I've said many times, the porous border region with Pakistan. There's no easy solution, and there will be no quick fix." said the Admiral on the need to extend the Marines' tour in Afghanistan, and fudging on the question of where the needed Army troops would come from. One practical step that the admiral cannot bring up is that since the drug trade is supplying America's illegal demand, eliminating the criminality would dramatically reduce the need for renegade protection of the industry and the cash flow to the renegades. But then that is a libertarian adult approach that our politicians cannot bring themselves to face. Circular. a year after the surge began, more U.S. troops were in Iraq than when it started, and the argument for keeping them there had descended into circular reasoning. Either the new strategy was working so well that it shouldn’t be interrupted, or else things were still so precarious that the U.S. couldn’t afford to withdraw now. We were back to the impossibility of talking about Iraq. [James Fallows, Atlantic Monthly] Checks and Balances. A federal judge in California said that the wiretapping law established by Congress was the “exclusive” means for the president to eavesdrop on Americans, and he rejected the government’s claim that the president’s constitutional authority as commander in chief trumped that law. [Eric Lichtblau, Washington Post, Jul 3] If the Democrat gets elected President, look for the Republicans to trot out the checks and balances again. Fortunately, the two-party system combined with lifetime federal judicial appointments stays the hand of power grabbers. Another rousing cheer for the Constitution. Congress also made progress on FY 2009 appropriations. Both the House and the Senate have drafted bills endorsing the requested 14 percent increase for NSF, adding funding to the request for NASA with a special emphasis on climate change science programs, and saving two key Commerce Department technology programs from proposed elimination. [AAAS Policy Alert, Jul 2] The good news is that Congress is willing to borrow unlimited amounts for energy research; the bad news is that they expect immediate results. A library of technical reports doesn't qualify. Grappling with a record death toll in an overshadowed war, President Bush promised to send more U.S. troops into Afghanistan by year's end. He conceded that June was a "tough month" in the nearly seven-year-old war. [AP, Jul 2] Great idea, if only he had any troops to spare, since he has worn out his Army and his welcome. Troops don't appear just because he wishes it so. Most [1776] Americans believed passionately in liberty and freedom, but they understood those ideas in very different ways. Town-born New Englanders had an idea of ordered freedom and the rights of belonging. Virginia’s cavaliers thought of hierarchical liberty as a form of rank. Gentleman freeholders had much of it, servants little, and slaves nearly none. Quakers in Pennsylvania, Delaware and New Jersey believed in a reciprocal liberty of conscience in the spirit of the golden rule. African slaves thought of liberty as emancipation. Settlers in the Southern backcountry understood it as a sovereign individual’s right to be free from taxes and government, and to settle things his own way: Don’t tread on me! ... Jefferson’s job was to bring together these Americans who were united by their passion for liberty and freedom, but divided by their understanding of those ideas. [David Hackett Fischer, New York Times, Jul 3] Appeal to the Baser Tribal Instincts. A Republican congressional candidate in a majority-white Mississippi district runs ads trying to tie his Democratic rival with Barack Obama's former pastor, seen by some as an anti-white firebrand. Democrats distribute fliers accusing the Republican of wanting a statue to honor the founder of the Ku Klux Klan. [Emily Pettus, AP, Jul 2] We like see ourselves as an advanced society, except when it comes to power, where we grab for the rawest handle. Power Comes First. Whatever expectations one has of the Russian government and civil institutions, they always disappoint. The abuse of tax and visa laws to eliminate BP’s hold on its Russian oil joint venture TNK-BP is the latest in a long line of doleful examples. It has been obvious for some time that the rule of law does not apply in Russia to the international investors and companies which venture into the market in the hope of profiting from its natural resources. [John Gapper, Financial Times, Jul 2] As in many places in the world, political power comes before any niceties of law and rights. What a shame the Bush administration and the former Republican Congress looked to the rest of the world as if they had the same power-first instinct. Expecting a State Handout? Squeezed by high inflation, dwindling tax revenues and a national economic downturn, states from coast to coast have struggled to close yawning budget gaps while bracing for another difficult fiscal year ... Many state legislatures have been embroiled in pitched budget battles, with education, social services and fees in the crosshairs. .... [Jennifer Steinhauer, New York Times, Jul 1] When they can't pay for the basics, they won't do innovation investment with questionable returns. Try a lottery ticket. Necessary but Insufficient. Research conducted or sponsored by the NIH tends to be concentrated in the basic science of disease biology, biochemistry and disease processes. A major goal of that work is to identify biologic targets that might prove vulnerable to "attack" by drugs yet to be developed. Private-sector research is weighted heavily toward applied science: discovering ways to exploit the findings of basic science in pursuit of treatments and cures. [Benjamin Zycher, Wall Street Journal, Jun 28] Research successes don't march into products by themselves. They need big money which only private capital supplies, and any government policy that discourages such investment will slow the emergence of new treatments. Do You Look Like an SBIR Mill? Copyright© 2008 by Greenwood Consulting Group, Inc. ... The SBIR/STTR agencies don't like SBIR mills, and they are doing a pretty good job of ferreting them out and not giving them future SBIR/STTR awards. [SBIR Alerting Service, Jun 27] An interesting observation although the big dog SBIR agencies - DOD and NASA - help create the mills. Greenwood's advice: conjure up a great story to excuse your past failure to commercialize or provide solid evidence that you are a new person. My advice: if you got a lot SBIR before, keep it up just to cover your salaries and air-conditioning expenses. If DOD and NASA like your technology, they will fund it regardless of your "commercialization failures" since their commercialization talk is just window-dressing. Steven Hatfill finally has his life back. Thanks to FBI incompetence, he also has $5.8 million. the Justice Department announced it had settled a lawsuit with Mr. Hatfill, a former military scientist whom then-Attorney General John Ashcroft publicly identified in 2002 as a "person of interest" in the investigation into the anthrax attacks in the aftermath of 9/11.... The Justice Department proclaimed, "The United States does not admit to any violation of the Privacy Act and continues to deny all liability in connection with Dr. Hatfill's claims." [Wall Street Journal, Jun 30] The problem wasn't that Hatfill was a natural suspect with means and opportunity (but no obvious motivation) but that the government ruined his name and career by seeking a hit in the news cycle to show it was on the case. Can't we have adults at the Cabinet level? The Sovereigns Are Coming! Norway’s finance minister Kristin Halvorsen responded to gentle criticism of her country’s sovereign wealth fund by responding, “It seems you don’t like us, but you need our money.” ... the biggest risk posed by SWFs to date has not been their actions, but the possibility of protectionist overreaction in Washington ... Over the long term, SWFs are merely a symptom. One deeper problem is that U.S. energy consumption is keeping energy prices high. [Daniel Drezner, The American, M/J08] Dekortage writes "The US Bureau of Land Management, overwhelmed by applications for large-scale solar energy plants, has declared a two-year freeze on applications for new projects until it completes an extensive environmental impact study. The study will produce 'a single set of environmental criteria to weigh future solar proposals, which will ultimately speed the application process.' The freeze means that current applications will continue to be processed — plants producing enough electricity for 20 million average American homes — but no new applications will be accepted until the study is complete. Solar power companies are worried that this will harm the industry just as it is poised for explosive growth. Some note that gas and oil projects are booming in the southwestern states most favorable to solar development. Another threat looming over the solar industry is that federal tax credits must be renewed in Congress, else they will expire this year." [slashdot.org, Jun 27] In a remarkable shift, Afghanistan, where U.S. officials were once confident of victory, is now rivaling Iraq as the biggest cause of concern for American policymakers. According to a new Pentagon report, Taliban militants have regrouped after their initial fall from power and "coalesced into a resilient insurgency." The report paints a grim picture of the conflict, concluding that Afghanistan's security conditions have deteriorated sharply while the fledgling national government in Kabul remains incapable of extending its reach throughout the country or taking effective counternarcotics measures. ... Senior Pentagon officials and military commanders have ordered a top-to-bottom review of U.S. strategy in Afghanistan. [Yochi Dreazen, Wall Street Journal, Jun 28] Three key facts; 1) our Army is too busy and tired to help, 2) we'll soon have a new National Command, and 3) being the world's biggest dog guarantees nothing. So much for that second-half rebound. Truth be told, that was always more of a wish than a serious forecast, happy talk from the Fed and Wall Street desperate to get things back to normal. It ain't gonna happen. Not this summer. Not this fall. Not even next winter. This thing's going down, fast and hard. Corporate bankruptcies, bond defaults, bank failures, hedge-fund meltdowns and 6 percent unemployment. We're caught in one of those vicious, downward spirals that, once it gets going, is very hard to pull out of. Only this will be a different kind of recession — a recession with an overlay of inflation. That combo puts the Federal Reserve in a Catch-22 — whatever it does to solve one problem only makes the other worse. [Steve Pearlstein, Washington Post, Jun 28] What a great sixty years of prosperity, funded in part by government borrowing to pay for three big wars. Since we were rich, we had to keep up appearances, and our politicians were happy to keep the guns and butter charade going. Buying Votes. He promises to exempt anybody age 65 and older, and making no more than $50,000 per household, from paying income taxes. ... "It's time to give America's seniors a break," [Wall Street Journal, Jun 28] Add another $7B per year to the debt to reward an interest group that vote in higher numbers than other populations. As long as the national debt is an abstraction to the citizen, only the economists will worry. Elect Adults This Time. We are a country in debt and in decline .... Our political system seems incapable of producing long-range answers to big problems or big opportunities. ... digging out of this hole is what the next election has to be about and is going to be about — even if it is interrupted by a terrorist attack or an outbreak of war or peace in Iraq. We need nation-building at home, and we cannot wait another year to get started. Vote for the candidate who you think will do that best. Nothing else matters. [Tom Friedman, New York Times, Jun 29] the fifth successful intercept in five attempts since 2005 for the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system [AP, Jun 26] Which shows that sometimes under some circumstances with enough warning, a bullet can hit a bullet. Congress passed another $258B supplemental for the Iraq war, new veterans' education benefits, and an extension of unemployment insurance. Who pays for it? Not a fair question in an election year. [McCain activist] Carly Fiorina told about 500 building industry executives that tough times demand strong leadership. [Tom Abate, San Francisco Chronicle, Jun 26] True enough. But then, Bush-Cheney exercised excessively strong leadership - to do many of the wrong things for the wrong reasons. They tried to re-write the Constitution by executive fiat. The founders tried to prevent such "leadership" by distributing power to three branches of government, a scheme that Bush-Cheney tried to undermine with the "unitary executive" theory. “Now is the time for European companies to invest in Wisconsin. It makes perfect sense, given the weak dollar — especially since it’s well-known that Wisconsin excels in medical imaging,” said Teresa Esser, managing director of Silicon Pastures angel investing group. ... MeVis Medical Solutions has completed the acquisition of a California company [the computed tomography division of R2 Technology (Santa Clara, CA, subsidiary of Hologic ], in April] and will soon begin shipping its first product ... based in Bremen, Germany, specializes in software for medical imaging technology. The company went public in 2007 in Frankfurt. [Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, Jun 25] The Army is set to announce a significant reshaping of its biggest and perhaps most contentious acquisitions program [FCS] in an effort to speed the delivery of high-tech equipment to forces in Iraq and Afghanistan, according to senior military officials. .... work to get large numbers of robots and miniature aerial drones -- both of which are designed for use in crowded urban areas -- out to forces in Iraq and Afghanistan by late 2010 [Cole and Dreazen, Wall Street Journal, Jun 26] Army SBIR contractors and hopefuls, be alert that if FCS suddenly changes, SBIR promises will also suddenly change. The Army doesn't care about SBIR, it cares about its budget and its missions. They Pay to Play. The pharmaceutical industry spent a record $168 M on lobbying the federal government in 2007, according to a report by the Center for Public Integrity. ...The center said the industry's 32 percent increase in lobbying expenditures may have been fueled by the Democratic takeover of Congress. Democrats have not been as friendly to drug companies as Republicans. [Maureen Groppa, Indianapolis (home of Eli Lilly) Star, Jun 25] Go Home, and Take Your Brains With You. Two-thirds of doctoral candidates in science and engineering in U.S. universities are foreign-born. But only 140,000 employment-based green cards are available annually, and 1 million educated professionals are waiting -- often five or more years -- for cards. Congress could quickly add a zero to the number available, thereby boosting the U.S. economy and complicating matters for America's competitors. ... Instead, U.S. policy is: As soon as U.S. institutions of higher education have awarded you a PhD, equipping you to add vast value to the economy, get out. Go home. Or to Europe, which is responding to America's folly with "blue cards" to expedite acceptance of the immigrants America is spurning. [George Will, Washington Post, Jun 26] Don't expect Congress to give anything to foreigners when the nativists are crying for more and bigger fences. Looking after long-term interests doesn't compute in election math. Elect Common Sense. presidential campaigns can bog down in details of proposals that will never be implemented as proposed. Neither President McCain nor President Obama, no matter what he says, can do much that will make an immediate difference to higher energy prices, falling house prices, rising unemployment, sagging wages. And no matter how many briefings by learned advisers or position papers posted on Web sites, no candidate can honestly tell us exactly what he'd do in office. [David Wessel. Wall Street Journal, Jun 26] Remember, too, that any president will play politics with policy to help the party gain a power edge, and that you cannot sue over failure to do what you thought was a firm promise that you wanted to hear. Marc Stanley, TIP Director, has more professional lives than a cat. His ATP and now the TIP program has been zeroed out 7 times by the President. TIP has been zeroed out for 09, but Congress has a soft spot for him and his programs usually get rescued (in one form or another). The SBIR Insider has heard that a series of TIP kickoff meetings will take place throughout the country. We'll keep you informed about the schedule. The TIP Critical National Needs (CNN) webcast has been rescheduled to July 8, 2008, from 1:30pm to 3:00pm. For more information please visit the TIP web site at www.nist.gov/tip [SBIR Insider, Jun 12] Better on the Outside. Over the last decade, even as spending on new military projects has reached its highest level since the Reagan years, the Pentagon has increasingly been losing the people most skilled at managing them. That brain drain, military experts like Mr. Kaminski say, is a big factor in a breakdown in engineering management that has made huge cost overruns and long delays the maddening norm. [Philip Taubman, New York Times, Jun 25] Three decades of Republican denigrating the federal government didn't help attract the best and brightest. But then, the best and brightest should be in the private sector creating wealth and not in government re-distributing it. At stake in the presidential election is whether we will all need to consult lobbyists to have our medical issues heard by a remote, bureaucratic Medicare program. [Scott Gottleib, Wall Street Journal, Jun 24] We will have to consult a lot of lobbyists before the national health system for seniors settles down to something affordable, which the present Medicare is not. Handout Refused. Skeptical states are shoving aside millions of federal dollars for abstinence education, walking away from the program the Bush administration touts for slowing teen sexual activity. Barely half the states are still in, and two more say they are leaving. ... many have doubts that the program does much, if any good ... In April 2007, a federally funded study of four abstinence-only programs by Mathematica Policy Research Inc., found that participants had just as many sexual partners as nonparticipants and had sex at the same median age as nonparticipants. [Kevin Freking, AP, Jun 24] Imagine that, a federal program that spends money and makes no difference. For a while, it at least soothed the religious right which doesn't rely much on real data anyway. Politicians take the credit and the federal agency takes the heat. Ah well, that's what we got paid for. tens of millions of Americans have been flooding the IRS with questions about the government's economic-stimulus payments. Some callers want to know why their payment hasn't arrived and when it will. Others want to know why they didn't get as much as they had expected. [Wall Street Journal, Jun 25] The peer review process employed by NIH to select winners in competitive solicitation cycles, lauded for its impartiality for years, has been indicted by many recently as adding to the problem. During the first weeks of June, NIH announced plans to address some of the criticism, including a commitment of $1 billion over the next five years for investigator-initiated, high-risk/high-impact transformative research. [SSTI, Jun 18] Battery Smackdown. the Pentagon has set up a competition. In October, it will field test new power storage technologies in a contest offering three cash awards of $1 million, $500,000 and $250,000. The winning devices must deliver at least 96 hours worth of power in a package weighing less than 9 pounds. ... More than 100 corporate, academic and private teams already have cleared the preliminary hurdles [Tom Abate, SF Chronicle, Jun 22] No more SBIRs. Those government guys convinced me to keep people on with their CPP junk. Kept my costs high, then called and said "sorry, no CPP". Now I'm scrambling. I suppose it will be okay, we still have a good strong company, but if I never hear SBIR again, it will be just fine with me. Says an entrepreneurial company that got a juicy DOD Phase 2 from an agency that expressed interest in pursuing a Commercialization Project and then stopped everything cold [presumably because the Iraq mess was running out of money again]. Lesson: the government's word, as Sam Goldwyn once about oral contracts, isn't worth the paper it's printed on. CPP was one of those DOD wishstorms to make lemonade from the SBIR lemons. If DOD wants strong drink, it should start with strong ingredients: companies with ideas that will commercialize on their own after some SBIR nursery help. Physics Losing Energy a troubled experimental reactor has proved too pricey for the DOE [which] terminated the National Compact Stellarator Experiment (NCSX) at the Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory. The not-yet-completed reactor would have been one of four large "magnetic confinement" reactors in the US after the estimated cost at least tripled and the time doubled. Meanwhile, The US's last particle physics lab finds itself in turmoil, with its current experiments soon to wind down and nothing under construction to replace them. ... In the past 3 months, U.S. researchers have shuttered colliders at Cornell University and the Stanford Linear Accelerator Center in Menlo Park. Only the 25-year-old Tevatron remains, and it will shut off in 2010. Fermilab's smaller experiments will end at about the same time. In this country, the cupboard is bare, and physicists have only unapproved plans with which to restock it [Adrian Cho, Science, May 30] McCain thinks the government should offer a $300 million prize to the person who can develop an automobile battery that leapfrogs existing technology ... $1 for every man, woman and child in the country. [Glen Johnson, AP, Jun 23] The idea of prizes as a spur to innovation keeps gaining adherents. The Army's march to overhaul its tarnished contracting system has been slowed by an unlikely foe: the White House. ... OMB shot down a service plan to add five active-duty generals who would oversee purchasing and monitor contractor performance. Generals are severely rationed by law, jealously guarded by each service, and OMB says the Army has enough already to staff any new contracting outfit. [Richard Lardner, AP, Jun 23] A key problem, Orszag said, is that the nation does little to assess which policies actually work and which don't. Innovative, evidence-based policy could help shape effective initiatives on health care, education, and climate change, .... White House Science Adviser John H. Marburger III defended federal S&T funding, saying in a keynote address that "there cannot be any question that this country has significantly boosted spending on research during this administration." [notes from AAAS Forum on Science & Technology Policy, Science, May 30]Which is all interesting and true, but the federal government is stuck with a bigger problem - demand way outrunning the supply of money - and until Russia launches another Sputnik, science will continue to lose in the budget politics. Unfortunately, SBIR which has effectively squandered its 3% offers no brightened corner in pleas for science and innovation money. The sovereign wealth funds set up by producers have more cash than they can reasonably invest in skyscrapers in their own cities. Their investments in America’s financial institutions have proved a costly adventure so far, but these are long-term investors, the best kind from the point of view of the managers of our banks - so long as they remain passive - and so will remain key players in American financial markets. ...My own guess is that the emergence of richer Chinese and Indians as competitors for the world’s resources will mean a gradual decline in American and western living standards as more food, oil, iron, coal and other resources head for Asia and the Middle East. ... [western industrialised countries] will have to produce more every hour, which means that their governments will have to provide some substitute for today’s failed state-run education systems ... They will have to change their tax systems to encourage investment and discourage consumption. Unfortunately, the number of Solomons serving in our Congress is quite limited. So the outlook is less than bright. [Irwin Stelzer, The Sunday Times, Jun 22] No, handing SBIR money to uncompetitive life-style companies is not the answer to American productivity and competitiveness. The U.S. has long depended on the kindness of strangers to finance its import bill. These days, those strangers are likely to be in China, Brazil, Mexico or some other emerging nation. The U.S. has to import, on net, almost $2 billion in capital a day to cover its enormous trade gap. Of the $920 billion that foreigners pumped into U.S. stocks, bonds and government securities last year, $361 billion -- a stunning 39% -- came from emerging-market nations, according to calculations by Bank of America, using Treasury Department data. China alone accounted for 21 percentage points of the total, with Brazil at 8.4 points, Russia at 2.8 points, and Mexico, Singapore, Malaysia, South Korea and others in the mix. That's probably just the tip of the iceberg. Capital from the oil-soaked Persian Gulf states often flows through London on its way to New York, so billions of dollars in investment flows that look British in the government reports are actually Arab. Why? [Kristin Forbes, a former Bush adviser] concludes that it's not the profits that attract foreign money to the U.S., it's the sophistication of U.S. capital markets. [Michael Phillips, Wall Street Journal, Jun 23] Treat them well, for if they ever change their attitudes, US capital market chaos. Walter Wriston had the idea: Capital goes where it is welcome and stays where it is well treated. Remember that nativist xenophobia could spoil the whole deal with isolationist ideas like the Department of Homeland Security begins electronic prescreening for travelers from countries with favored travel status ... Travelers rejected by the new screening process would need to apply for a visa, which could double the number of visa applicants from Great Britain, Japan and much of Western Europe. [Brad Haynes, Wall Street Journal, Jun 23] Obsession with physical security could conceivably damage economic security. That's one of the dangers of inventing a government department with a vested interest in "seeing a Red under every bed.". I suppose it’s better than nothing. Because it’s really close to being nothing. The 2008 legislative session recently came to a close and once again supporters of an angel investor/venture capital tax credit were left empty-handed. Well, that’s not exactly true. Investors can now get a 45 percent tax credit up to $112,500….in Breckenridge, Dilworth, East Grand Forks, Moorhead and Ortonville. [Thomas Lee, Minneapolis Star Tribune, Jun 18, 08] Such legislative inconstancy is just what would happen if SBIR were directly appropriated with regular need for justification since it has no quantitative return worth measuring after two decades. [The candidate] announced a new program to offer matching grants that encourage businesses, government and university leaders to collaborate on regional economic clusters, such as the North Carolina Research Triangle Park and Nashville's entertainment cluster. The campaign said the proposal would cost $200 million a year and would be funded by improving government efficiency [Nedra Pickler, AP, Jun 21] Blah, blah, the standard dodge to avoid saying how a handout would be funded. Stand by for another four months of such drivel. They Don't Want to Hear It. "I'd like to be a government activist. But if we don't have the resources, we're actually kidding ourselves about the direction we're taking." ... "We've borrowed until we're blue in the face," he added. "We've got to change. Change does not come easily." The Democrat's bleak message is not one that politicians normally like to deliver -- and his popularity has plummeted as a result. [Keith Richburg, Washington Post, Jun 22] The governor of New Jersey, a rich man who self-financed his getting elected Senator and then Governor. Maryland Gov. O'Malley outlined a strategy yesterday to invest $1.1 billion in the state's bioscience industry over the next decade or so, expanding tax credits, bolstering stem cell research and providing new support for start-ups. [Washington Post, Jun 17] Lamenting the Route 128 brand has lost its luster, leaders of the information technology, communications, and defense industries today called on state government to invest more than $64 million in new efforts to make Massachusetts an "innovation gateway." [Robert Weisman, Boston Globe, Jun 17] Early-stage companies in Wisconsin pulled in $147 million of funding last year, 43% more than in 2006, according to a report released by the Wisconsin Technology Council. .... Wisconsin also showed gains in federal Small Business Innovation Research grants to $33.7 million and in initial public offerings. Four companies raised $343 million in IPOs in 2007, the report says. [Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel, Jun 19] An initiative in Iowa to disperse tax credits worth 20% of equity investments into pre-qualified businesses or seed capital funds has reached its $10 M cap and will not be continued in the next fiscal year. The Iowa Venture Capital Credit – Qualified Business or Seed Capital Fund was started in 2002 with a cap of $10 million, and as monitored by the Iowa Department of Revenue, all credits have been issued. Efforts in the most recent Iowa legislative session to increase the monetary cap of the program under House Bill 2484 by an additional $3 million did not succeed. The discontinuance of the initiative comes as the practice of utilizing tax credits in Iowa for various activities has grown dramatically over the last several years. However, the scrutiny of the tax credit programs has grown, as well. [SSTI, Jun 17] "They want what we've got," said Governor Patrick, who is leading a brigade of four dozen state and local officials at BIO in an attempt to persuade biotech executives to expand in Massachusetts. The scene at the convention - organizers call it the "Olympics" of the biotech industry - underscores the growing competition that Massachusetts faces to remain a leader in the industry. ....But it is difficult for other states to compete with Cambridge's Kendall Square and San Francisco's Bay Area, especially if they are trying to build an industry from scratch. Both areas have deep roots in the industry. The commercial biotech revolution arguably began in 1976 with the founding of Genentech, a south San Francisco biotech giant. Cambridge-based Biogen (now Biogen Idec Inc.) launched just two years later. Today, the Bay Area has 77 publicly traded biotech companies, more than any other region, according to a recent study by Ernst & Young. Massachusetts is close behind with 62. [Todd Wallack, Boston Globe, Jun 19] They haven't rechristened a ship the Irony, but federal [NOAA] researchers are canceling and cutting back on voyages aimed at studying climate change and ocean ecosystems so they can save money on boat fuel. [Brian Skoloff, AP, Jun 18] An employer has no right to read an employee's text messages without the worker's knowledge and consent, and federal law bars service providers from turning over the contents of the messages to the employer who pays for the service, the 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled. [Maura Dolan, LA Times, Jun 18] It was reported last week that President Bush has signed an executive order requiring all federal contractors or subcontractors, including colleges and universities, to use DHS’s E-Verify system to establish the immigration status of newly hired employees and all workers on such contracts. ... Aug. 11 is the deadline for public comments on the proposed rule published in the June 12 Federal Register. [SSTI, Jun 17] 'S Wonderful. $165 billion to fund the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan into next year and more than $50 billion over 10 years in college funding for veterans of those wars. It also is expected to include more than $2 billion in aid for Midwestern states affected by flooding, plus a 13-week extension of jobless benefits in all states for the long-term unemployed. [Wall Street Journal, Jun 19] Paying for it? 'S wonderful, the magic of deficit finance: something for everybody and nobody has to pay. The Louisiana House of Representatives, by a vote of 94-3, last week passed an "academic freedom" bill that singles out evolution and other theories or fields of science and implies that they are controversial. [AAAS, Jun 18] So-called academics will now be free to opine that creationism is a credible alternative to evolution. I wonder how many academics in Louisiana will be able to safely argue tha |